
All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
DOGE updates + Liberation Day Tariff Reactions with Ben Shapiro and Antonio Gracias
Sat, 05 Apr 2025
(0:00) The Besties welcome Ben Shapiro and Antonio Gracias (1:54) Why Antonio is helping out and what it's like working with DOGE (4:56) DOGE's latest findings: illegal immigration, social security, and more (27:59) Was Biden's open border policy a Dem strategy to expand their voter base? (39:55) Tariffs: Liberation Day chaos, reactions, strategy (55:26) Impact, consequences, and risks for the Trump Administration (1:13:50) How the US can thrive in a high-tariff world (1:31:33) Future US political landscape if the tariff strategy fails (1:42:27) Chamath recaps his best-performing asset of 2025 + wrap Follow Antonio: https://x.com/AntonioGracias Follow Ben: https://x.com/benshapiro Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://x.com/AntonioGracias/status/1906877800511893670 https://polymarket.com/event/magnificent-7-shrinks-below-30-of-sp-500-in-2025?tid=1743434648860 https://x.com/Geiger_Capital/status/1907553323387072774 https://x.com/enriqueabeyta/status/1907796286763409439 https://x.com/Geiger_Capital/status/1907622848149037509 https://x.com/litcapital/status/1907813630227173534 https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/asml-euv-machine-lithography-chips-967954d0 https://www.hoover.org/publications/goodfellows https://www.ft.com/content/bcb1d331-5d8e-4cac-811e-eac7d9448486
Chapter 1: Who are the special guests in this episode?
All right, everybody, welcome back to the number one podcast in the world with me again today, Chamath Palihapitiya, your chairman dictator, David Freiberg, our sultan of science, and two guests, obviously, Ben Shapiro, very famous for having the number two podcast in the world. How are you, Ben? I'm doing great and just honored to be here, you know. Yes, more work to do.
You could exceed all in in the rankings. No, we always judge ourselves, Ben, on three things. In the rankings, when we look at how we're doing, what we see is Ben Shapiro, prayer from the Bible, okay? The New Testament, I don't think you've got it yet. You have the Old Testament, but you haven't gotten the new, you haven't gotten the sequel. And then number three is,
Chapter 2: Why is Antonio Gracias working with DOGE?
Murder also with us from the White House. Yeah, welcome to all in where we have a live feed into the White House today. My good friend Antonio Gracias is here. He is taking, I guess you're taking, would it be safe to say a hiatus or you're from Valor to do a little tour of duty in our government working on Doge? Is that the way to say it?
I'm still doing my day job too, man. This is a seven day a week, six days an hour a day job because I'm trying to do both. I've got some great partners that are covering it for me and my firm has been tremendous in allowing me to do this. But no, I'm still trying to do both.
Was it public prior to this week, Antonio, that you were doing this role? Did you announce it anywhere? I didn't announce it anywhere.
No, the New York Times, they wrote a story about me going to SSA, which is sort of New York Times style. Not right, but I had been there. Yeah, I was out of Woodland, Maryland.
40% correct. Close enough.
Close enough for hand grenades.
Close enough. I'm sure they had no agenda.
Antonio, how does it work? So when you volunteered... Is it that you and Elon and Steve just kind of figure out, let's put a senior person at every part of the administration where there's real opportunity? Why did you end up at SSA versus someplace else?
Interesting question. And by the way, it's great to see you guys, man. Thanks for having me on. I can use your laughs. You're really making me laugh. We're really proud of you, man. Thank you.
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Chapter 3: What are DOGE's latest findings on illegal immigration and social security?
Thank you.
When do you have to return it?
The rental is due at the end of the week. Okay. So, yeah, no, what happened was I had actually volunteered to go to the VA because that's kind of, as you guys know, close to my heart. And Elon said to me, look, great, you can do that next, but will you go to SSA first and see what's going on there because it's the biggest internal employee we have and see what you find in fraud, waste, and abuse.
And so, of course, I said, sure, I'll do that. And I ended up out in Woodland, Maryland with the good people at the SSA, the Social Security Administration. And that's where I started. That's how all this started for me.
And so do you, Antonio, go in there with a Doge engineer as your kind of sidekick per se, or you just go there solo and you show up? What happens day one when you walk into the place? What do you do?
So I brought with me two great professionals, John and Peyton from Valor. One of them an engineer, the other one I'd say a finance ninja. Both these guys are ninjas. And there was already a team there, actually, that was working with some great engineers. And one senior person, Scott Coulter, who's from, actually worked at Lone Pine, started his own fund, and had come here as a volunteer as well.
So they were already doing some work, actually, particularly on the enumeration part of the system. So that is the system that you have numbers, the whole cleaning of the database, the numbers, they had already started that project when I got there.
And what is the mandate as given to you, you know, as part of Doge?
Fraud, waste, and abuse. I mean, exactly what Bill Clinton talked about, what Barack Obama talked about, what all presidents, but maybe President Biden talked about going back in time. It was go figure out how to save some money. Man, this system's going bankrupt. It's going to be bankrupt in 2037. The country overall, as you guys know and talked about many times, is on its way toward bankruptcy.
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Chapter 4: Was Biden's open border policy a strategic move to expand the voter base?
These 7.8 million people that ICE has that have come in illegally that know we're here and all the people that came illegally we don't know are here. I mean, this is not a political issue. I want to be really clear about this. This is about America.
Let's just take one step back because I just want you to repeat this. Because I think it's important and we may have just run over it a little too quickly. When you get a social security number, what you're saying is there's all of these important downstream consequences.
One of the downstream consequences is you could show up, register to vote, and that's an illegitimate action that's breaking federal law. That's one. But the second is that without knowing who this person is, they can start to absorb resources that could have otherwise gone to an American. I guess that's like a fundamental part of this. And so how do you quantify that?
Can you just maybe explain it a little bit more about all of the different ways in which you think now the United States ends up leaking services to these folks? Yeah.
And also, they could be contributing to right, they could be paying taxes into the system. So I guess there's both of those possibilities. And both of those have fingerprints to mop. So yeah, good question.
You know, the way this out, this is a very, it's massively complex, you can see the map I have on the whiteboard in our office, it's huge. And we're figuring it out right now. But let me just tell you this. And every benefit program we looked at, and this is just a handful of states, we found people on all the benefit programs. And we found them on unemployment. We found them on Medicaid.
So adjacent to your point, people on Medicaid and unemployment, they're not contributing. They're taking out. They're mooching. There are criminals. I mean, look, we sent this data list to the National Targeting Center.
And I don't want to get too far into the data, but I can tell you they found hard hits in the Targeting Center of very bad people, criminals and people on the terrorist watch list that are in this group. And so, yeah, I mean, it's a problem, we got to figure out how to deal with it. And the, of course, there are people that are also, you know, have jobs and paying the system.
That's, you know, that's, that's also true. All these things are true. And we're trying to sort the data and figure out how to actually deal with it.
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Chapter 5: How did the tariffs on Liberation Day cause chaos and what are the reactions?
We should find legal ways to become the country. And I think that's how we come together.
Do you believe that there is a Democratic Party motive to increase voter base for the Democrats behind all of this, as has been proclaimed by some?
Look, as I go through the data and I see it's all about the data. OK, David, I know you love the data. When you, just in a handful of states, man, I'm talking about four states, we looked at the voter rolls, we found these people, thousands of them on the voter rolls, and we found many of those people had voted, right? In one state in particular, well over a thousand voted.
Yeah, I think this was a move to import voters.
But really importantly, I just want to make sure, because when I talk to politicians from the Democratic Party about this, they say there's aspects of human rights doing the right thing for people in need that is motivating some of this behavior. Is that... a lie? And they actually have a different motive?
Or do some in the party think that way, but there are real kind of kind of call it a small group of highly influential folks at the top of the Democratic Party that recognize that this is going to grow the voter base. And they're they're kind of motivating this. What do you think is the construction of what sounds to some to be a conspiracy? And how much of this is really like widely understood?
Look, Ben, I'll tell you what I have seen. I'll tell you the actual information. If you look at Social Security Administration, we set all the defaults to kind of max open, no ID requirements, right? You get a social security number before we got here by walking in an office, answering with a medical record and a school ID that had your name and your date of birth on it. That's it. Okay.
We opened up. We set the defaults to open on Social Security. We set the defaults to open on pay, paying people out. And we set the collection defaults basically to zero. So that's how the system looks. I'm just reporting the facts. Do I think that the average person is a Democrat in Illinois or, you know, the guys I knew out of Chicago, they know this? They don't know this. They don't know this.
So were there people at the top of the system that did this? Yeah. People created this policy. The former administrators of these agencies created these policies. I've seen them. I've read them myself. I've gone to the data myself. They've seen them. Now, this isn't everybody. If you're the average person out there who's a Democrat and you see what I've seen, you, I believe,
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Chapter 6: What are the potential consequences for the Trump Administration regarding tariffs?
We don't care because you've cut us off. The rest of the world needs someone that will sell to them. I will also say China, one thing that's not talked about, which I'll add in, seems to have developed three nanometer semiconductor manufacturing technology, which is gonna go into production in Q3 of 2025, and will end up being in full production in 2026.
This will move the base from Taiwan potentially into China. They are developing lithography systems. They are developing advanced semiconductor manufacturing systems, and they will effectively have everything from energy to the minerals, to the manufacturing capacity, to support and service all, and the software now, all of technology.
And so we are in a really disadvantaged position if China does choose in this moment to disregard the IP rights of American businesses.
So that's a big- They have the ability to swing back at us. Chamath, do you want to wrap us up here? Yeah.
I'll take the other side of all of this. Yeah. I'll start with, again, there's no point prognosticating when they're just telling you
what they intend to do nick you want to play the clip i could see in the next few years that we are going to have to have some kind of a grand global economic reordering there's something on the equivalent of a new bretton woods or if you want to go back like a treat something back to the steel agreements or the treaty of versailles
I mean, what is that just a kind of like refresher? What are we talking about? We're talking about commercial relations between, at the time, 44 countries, right? This is a big statement. I don't think that these kinds of things are said casually at a Manhattan Institute cocktail hour.
And I think that people understand if you're kind of like steeped in the history of it, how important these kinds of statements are. So I think I take this similarly to how I take Trump's rhetoric on tariffs. And I'm spending some time trying to now understand how are the scenarios that could play out? Because I think David is right if you assume the status quo, meaning what are the risks?
But what they're saying is, we're going to question this. We're actually going to go here and just totally rewrite that. If that happens as part of this scenario, All bets are off, in my opinion. I don't think any of us know with any certainty what a new economic framework would look like.
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Chapter 7: How can the US thrive in a high-tariff world?
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etc. Like what is the plan here? Is it universal health care? Is it lowering their taxes? I mean, the administration says no taxes for people under 150k. We have to give something to the working man and woman of this country, the people who feel that they can't get rich, who can't get to the middle class.
Does anybody here have a suggestion for that? I mean, I actually do have a suggestion and it's actually shockingly easy. President Trump has a visceral connection to blue collar workers in this country. Clearly, he has a visceral connection. He should stop preaching that blue collar workers are getting screwed and start preaching that they're succeeding because it's actually true. Okay, yes.
Yes, I mean, I think that the fib that politicians always make bank on is the idea that, for example, the middle class in America is completely dissolved. That is not statistically true. The middle class has turned into the upper middle class, okay?
And actually, all Americans, I say this on my show all the time, people have this, again, this sort of rosy-eyed view of the 1950s, which, again, was a historical outlier because the rest of the world didn't exist, it had been destroyed. But they also have this bizarre idea that you were better off to be 30 years old in 1980 than you are to be 30 years old in 2025.
And all I can say is in 1980, the only dude with a cell phone was Gordon Gekko and he was a shoebox and he was holding it to his head. Okay, the reality is that everything in your life is better in 2025 on a material economic level than it was in 1980. And the lie that politicians tell in order to gain power is they say, you're getting screwed. Somebody is screwing you. I can unscrew the screwing.
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Chapter 8: What is the future US political landscape if the tariff strategy fails?
Newark says that 19 states now in the United States can face rolling blackouts during normal peak conditions if these issues aren't addressed. And by the way, that's a human capital problem.
But if you multiply that by 10 and 20 and 30 times, there was a different tweet, I don't know, Nick, if you could find it, that talked about an organization trying to find people to help build nuclear submarines. Did you guys see this quote? where they needed 100,000 people to build nuclear subs in the United States, and they could barely find like a few hundred
Yeah, we need to get better at this stuff. I mean, the good news is we're going to have robots to do this. Ben, you know, if I run for president, I'm one of the few people here on the pod who can. My position is going to be build three new cities with 5 million homes in each because, you know, starter homes, families can't buy starter homes. You ever consider running for office?
And if you did, what would be your platform?
I mean, it'd be pretty horrifying to run for office. It seems like a terrible job. And I think the age to run for president is now in your 70s. So I have like three decades to consider it. But, you know, if I were going to run, I would be running on the basic idea that in this country, the only thing that you are promised is the adventure.
And I'm not going to make you promises that I'm not going to lie to you. I'm not going to make you promises that I can't keep about how I'm going to fix your life, because the truth is, I really can't. All I can do is help get the obstacles out of the way so you can fix your life and you can make your life better. And I can help break the institutions that have a stranglehold on your future.
And there, when you're talking about electricians and plumbers, the truth is that we have set up an enormous con game that is our higher education system, particularly in the liberal arts, subsidized by the taxpayer when most jobs that we're talking about right here do not require a college degree.
And there's so many things that the Trump administration should be doing and is doing, again, that are great, that they could break the stranglehold on some of these things that allow for more opportunity.
But I think the thing that people really, you know, the thing that I would say that I really think that maybe no other politician would say, and I can say because I'm not a politician, is your future is, in America, your future is in your hands. It is not in somebody else's hands. It is your responsibility. It is your responsibility to go out and strive.
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