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The Daily

Pete Hegseth Was Toast. The MAGA Swarm Came to His Rescue.

Mon, 16 Dec 2024

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Warning: this episode contains strong language.Over the past few weeks, the resistance of a single Republican senator, Joni Ernst of Iowa, had threatened to derail Donald J. Trump’s choice of Pete Hegseth to run the Department of Defense.Karoun Demirjian, who covers Congress for The Times, and Jonathan Swan, who covers politics, discuss how Mr. Trump and his allies ensured that Ms. Ernst’s resistance went away.Guest: Karoun Demirjian, who covers Congress for The New York Times, with a focus on national security.Jonathan Swan, a Times reporter covering politics and Donald J. Trump’s presidential campaign.Background reading: Mr. Trump became convinced that letting Mr. Hegseth fail would set off a feeding frenzy among senators.Ms. Ernst, who is facing re-election in 2026, appeared less skeptical about the pick after MAGA supporters threatened her with political retribution.For more information on today’s episode, visit nytimes.com/thedaily. Transcripts of each episode will be made available by the next workday. Unlock full access to New York Times podcasts and explore everything from politics to pop culture. Subscribe today at nytimes.com/podcasts or on Apple Podcasts and Spotify.

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Transcription

1.451 - 35.03 Michael Barbaro

From The New York Times, I'm Michael Barbaro. This is The Daily. Over the past few weeks, the resistance of a single Republican senator has threatened to derail Donald Trump's controversial choice of Pete Hegseth to run the Department of Defense. Today... Karin Demersian and Jonathan Swan with the story of how Trump and his allies ensured that that senator's resistance quickly went away.

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43.875 - 73.005 Michael Barbaro

It's Monday, December 16th. Karin, in your role as a congressional reporter, you have been closely tracking the fate of Trump's pick to run the U.S. military, Pete Hegseth, a pick that was controversial from the start but has become only more controversial over the past couple of weeks.

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74.122 - 95.709 Karoun Demirjian

Right. I think everyone was pretty surprised when President-elect Trump picked a Fox News host to be his next secretary of defense. And the surprise turned into discomfort for a lot of people and shock as allegations started coming out about these fairly sordid details from his past. First, it was an accusation that he had committed sexual assault.

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96.429 - 116.93 Karoun Demirjian

And then after that, it became this article for The New Yorker, which alleged that he was... Drinking on the job and harassing female employees and was mismanaging the veterans nonprofits that he was running. In the middle of all that, there was this email that cropped up that his mother had written him in 2018, calling him an abuser of women and telling him what a reprehensible person he was.

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117.03 - 135.546 Karoun Demirjian

And so as that mountain of allegations grew... there started to be more senators, including some of Trump's allies, who started to express real discomfort with having to back this guy, or at least with the fact that they were having to grapple with these allegations and, you know, calling them disturbing, calling them troublesome.

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135.626 - 156.058 Karoun Demirjian

And that's a problem for Trump because even though Senate Republicans are going to take the majority in the new year, it's a very slim majority. they cannot afford to lose more than three of their own if they actually want to get these nominees confirmed. And it becomes clear that there's really one senator who has the potential to swing things one way or another.

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156.078 - 167.123 Karoun Demirjian

It's a senator whose whole brand, basically, has been built on these issues around which Hegseth is having problems with these allegations. And that senator is Joni Ernst of Iowa.

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170.506 - 179.757 Michael Barbaro

Well, just explain that. Tell us about Senator Joni Ernst and how her career ends up so at odds with Hexeth.

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180.319 - 197.349 Karoun Demirjian

So when Joni Ernst runs for the Senate a decade ago, a centerpiece of her campaign is the fact that she's a combat veteran. And she's one of the first generation of female combat veterans. And she's actually becomes the first female combat veteran to serve in the Senate. There have been others since, but she breaks that glass ceiling.

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198.109 - 214.336 Karoun Demirjian

That becomes a big part of her resume and a reason that people look to her on defense issues. A couple of years later, she talks about how she was a victim of sexual assault. And this becomes this very, you know, raw disclosure that she writes about in her memoir that is discussed publicly.

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214.356 - 221.299 Karoun Demirjian

And she becomes a figure, again, you know, rare in the Republican Party that a woman would step forward and start to discuss this all very personally.

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221.319 - 223.3 Unknown

Thank you, Senator Heinrich. Senator Ernst.

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224.738 - 232.744 Senator Joni Ernst

Thank you, Mr. Chair. General Hyten, you have been nominated to be the second highest ranking military officer in the United States.

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232.764 - 239.389 Karoun Demirjian

In 2019, she breaks with her party to oppose the nomination of John Hyten, who's up to become vice chair of the Joint Chiefs of Staff.

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239.809 - 245.133 Senator Joni Ernst

I have reviewed the evidence as well as your performance while serving as the STRATCOM commander.

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245.834 - 252.519 Karoun Demirjian

He's been accused by a subordinate of sexual assault. And her whole party waves him through and she says, no, I'm not going to do that.

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252.679 - 260.362 Senator Joni Ernst

The facts have left me with concerns regarding your judgment, leadership, and fitness to serve as the next vice chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff.

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261.062 - 283.409 Karoun Demirjian

Two years after that, she's joining with Kirsten Gillibrand to rally support for a bill that is trying to address how sexual assault cases in the military are adjudicated. It had been in the chain of command forever, and they were trying to take it out of the chain of command so that victims wouldn't have their cases basically muzzled if it was inconvenient to their unit.

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284.149 - 288.47 Karoun Demirjian

And she really opens the floodgates for more Republicans to say, OK, I'm on board with this.

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288.89 - 299.095 Senator Joni Ernst

Abuse is not something you can just simply forget. It stays with you forever. Forever. And I know this personally.

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299.595 - 321.624 Karoun Demirjian

And so she basically built this brand where people look to her and the GOP, and Democrats consider her a partner and ally for talking about these issues of women's experience in the military, for bringing to light various sexual assault issues. And then Trump picks Hegseth, who is accused of sexually assaulting and harassing women.

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322.425 - 338.582 Karoun Demirjian

And, oh, by the way, has said publicly he doesn't believe women should serve in combat roles. And Joni Ernst is a combat veteran. So there's just a lot of tension and clashing there between her resume and what she stands for and the allegations against him and the problems that are associated with his pick.

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339.122 - 356.612 Michael Barbaro

Well, so given her role as a Republican leader on all of these issues, issues that do not seem to align with Hegseth's biography and these accusations that he faces, what is Ernst's response to Hegseth being tapped to run the military?

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357.216 - 369.641 Karoun Demirjian

Well, the day that Hegseth is announced as Trump's pick, I caught her in the hallway of the basement of the Capitol and asked her what she thought. And she said he's going to have his work cut out for him. At that point, we didn't even know all these allegations against him.

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369.741 - 385.252 Karoun Demirjian

But as the allegations began to mount, she became that much more resolute of, I will talk to him, but very, very clearly not saying anything nice about him. And this all leads to a whole lot of scrutiny and focus on the first in-person meeting they have.

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385.612 - 395.683 Karoun Demirjian

Peg Seth goes to her office for a sit down and comes out and he talks to reporters, but she doesn't really say anything else except for, OK, we met.

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395.923 - 401.029 Michael Barbaro

Yesterday, you had a significant meeting with Pete Hegseth, our former colleague. And right now.

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401.129 - 417.237 Karoun Demirjian

And then she goes on Fox News the next morning, and the host kind of has to drag it out of her, but he basically, after asking her about the meeting, he says, Okay, it doesn't sound on your answer that you've gotten to a yes. If I'm wrong about that... It doesn't sound like you got to yes yet, and she says that's right. Hmm.

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417.957 - 435.043 Senator Joni Ernst

I think you are right. I think for a number of our senators, they want to make sure that any allegations have been cleared. And that's why we have to have a very thorough vetting process. And that's why I was happy to sit down with Pete and have that conversation with him.

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435.143 - 442.285 Karoun Demirjian

Which is a pretty big confession of uneasiness. And it just kind of confirms what everybody was sensing, which is that she's not OK with this guy.

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443.044 - 464.302 Michael Barbaro

So quite understandably, this senator who has led her party on all these issues like sexual assault is deciding that these accusations against him might be disqualifying. And she's saying so on of all occasions. networks, Fox News, which she and everyone else in the Republican Party know that the president-elect watches so closely.

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464.862 - 483.966 Karoun Demirjian

Correct. And what Ernst is expressing is something that a lot of people in the GOP are starting to feel and worry about. And aides start to whisper that, you know, this nomination might just be dead already. Because if Joni Ernst can't get to yes, how can other people cross her? She's been such a moral leader on these issues that are of concern to Hegseth.

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484.406 - 484.546 Jonathan Swan

Hmm.

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485.026 - 494.949 Karoun Demirjian

And so that's trickling up to the Trump team. And there's this general sense that if they can't get Ernst on board, then Hegseth really doesn't have a path to being confirmed.

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499.21 - 510.033 Michael Barbaro

After the break, my colleague Jonathan Swan on how Ernst's resistance triggered a MAGA swarm that has brought Hegseth back from the brink.

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513.834 - 514.374 Michael Barbaro

We'll be right back.

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524.235 - 538.804 Michael Barbaro

So, Jonathan, as Hegseth's path becomes messier and messier, and he's kind of just flapping in the wind there with senators like Joni Ernst saying she can't get behind him, what's happening inside Trump world?

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540.267 - 564.416 Jonathan Swan

Well, Trump himself is starting to have second thoughts about Hegseth. I was actually in Palm Beach two weeks ago when this is all happening, meeting with Trump officials, talking to advisors of his, and... I can't overstate to you how universal the view was in Trump's inner circle that Hegseth was done.

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565.437 - 590.05 Jonathan Swan

Donald Trump was criticizing him behind his back, saying, you know, he could have told me about all this stuff. You know, he was seeing the negative stories. He wasn't happy about them. And so Trump actually starts to think about picking a replacement for Hegseth. The ultimate sign that he's done with you. Totally. And he started to court Ron DeSantis.

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590.49 - 605.3 Michael Barbaro

And we should just say that is surprising, not just because it means Trump is writing off Pete Hegseth, but because he has hated DeSantis. I mean, DeSantis went against him. They destroyed him in that campaign. That is a very unexpected alternative.

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606.189 - 626.342 Jonathan Swan

They didn't only defeat him. It was personal, as you say. And for many people on Trump's team, it's deeply personal. Susie Wiles, who's going to come in as Trump's chief of staff, used to work for Ron DeSantis, left on very bad terms with him. There are others on the team who used to work for him. None of them like Ron DeSantis. So...

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627.302 - 647.449 Jonathan Swan

As soon as Trump's advisers realise that he's actually serious about the DeSantis idea, there is a panic. Many people go into gear of how do we kill this? At the same time, there are others in Trump's orbit, some of the same people, but different people like Steve Bannon and others, who thought that...

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648.129 - 672.559 Jonathan Swan

There was actually something larger at play that if he allowed Pete Hegseth to be blocked by Senate Republicans, that would set the tone for the rest of his administration. That was the argument that they were making to Trump indirectly, in some cases directly. But basically what they were saying was, you already let one person go.

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672.819 - 673.239 Michael Barbaro

Matt Gaetz.

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673.399 - 693.405 Jonathan Swan

Matt Gaetz, right? Trump put up Matt Gaetz for Attorney General, which horrified Republicans. And within a very short period of time, it became clear that he wasn't going to have the votes and he quit. People like Steve Bannon and others in Trump's orbit thought that was a really bad message. They thought at a minimum, strategically, they should have kept Matt Gaetz in because...

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694.065 - 718.411 Jonathan Swan

Him soaking up all the media attention and controversy actually is useful because Trump has a whole bunch of other controversial picks and they can slide through with less media attention. But also letting him quit was a bad idea in terms of setting the terms of Trump's return to Washington. in terms of the power template, in terms of Trump saying, I'm the king around here.

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718.951 - 743.321 Jonathan Swan

So what they wanted to do with Hegseth, they decided very quickly, like within 24 hours, was we're going to turn him into a cause. We're going to make him sort of a Brett Kavanaugh type figure. And we are going to make this a litmus test for Republicans defying Donald Trump. And if you dare step out of line... the mob is going to come for you, the online mob, the pressure, the constituents.

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743.381 - 746.322 Jonathan Swan

We are going to make you toxic with the Republican base.

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746.982 - 773.393 Michael Barbaro

So what might have begun as a bunch of people around Trump kind of revolting against the idea of Ron DeSantis as the next Secretary of Defense morphs into this larger objection to the idea that Trump would back down again on one of his picks for the Cabinet and show weakness in a way that might completely shape his presidency. Exactly.

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774.134 - 782.003 Michael Barbaro

So what does it actually look like once Team Trump decides we are not going to back down and actually we're going to go on the offense here?

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782.443 - 804.73 Jonathan Swan

Well, two things happened. One, Pete Hegseth and his team decide they're going to abandon the sort of traditional Washington playbook of keeping your head down, talking to senators, but not making this a huge spectacle. Trump wanted to see a spectacle. He picked Hegseth in the first place because he liked watching him on Fox News. So Trump encouraged Hegseth to get out there.

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805.211 - 810.982 Pete Hegseth

What you're seeing right now with me. is the art of the smear. It is the classic art of the smear.

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811.643 - 815.187 Jonathan Swan

Hegseth does these sort of defiant interviews and performances.

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816.048 - 827.34 Pete Hegseth

Take whatever tiny kernels of truth, and there are tiny, tiny ones in there, and blow them up. into a masquerade of a narrative about somebody that I am definitely not.

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827.46 - 837.225 Unknown

And what they'd never... And Pete's mother, Penelope Hegseth, joins us live on the set to tell us what she wanted to tell us. You called us yesterday and you said you wanted to come on.

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837.446 - 837.766 Penelope Hegseth

I did.

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838.366 - 840.928 Jonathan Swan

His mother goes on Fox & Friends.

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841.348 - 849.893 Penelope Hegseth

I am here to tell the truth to the American people and tell the truth to the senators on the Hill, especially our female senators.

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850.629 - 853.63 Jonathan Swan

in this highly unusual performance.

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853.97 - 860.352 Penelope Hegseth

I wrote that in haste. I wrote that with deep emotions. I wrote that as a parent.

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861.153 - 867.535 Jonathan Swan

Where she renounces a letter she sent him in 2018, where she took him to task for his treatment of women.

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867.555 - 876.238 Penelope Hegseth

I don't believe any of that is true, any of it. And I'm here, I wouldn't be sitting in this chair today if I didn't believe that about my son.

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876.498 - 905.943 Jonathan Swan

Right. And then the second part is basically, you know, it's an intimidation strategy. It's we need to get our most powerful allies in terms of who has the biggest following with the Republican base, who are most effective at whipping up anger and emotion in the base, and set them onto the wavering senators. And Senator Joni Ernst of Iowa became their number one target.

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906.663 - 916.488 Jonathan Swan

She was seen as the biggest problem. So all pressure was focused on her. Obviously others too, but she was the focal point.

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916.888 - 923.191 Michael Barbaro

And what does it look like for Senator Ernst to be the focus of this campaign?

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926.813 - 932.23 Unknown

You are in for another Tea Party revolution. We're getting tired of this shit.

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932.49 - 939.993 Jonathan Swan

You had influential MAGA figures with huge audiences. I mean, these people have millions and millions of followers between them.

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940.713 - 943.815 Unknown

Senator Ernst just got to understand, I mean, you got to get with the program here.

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944.055 - 950.678 Unknown

People like Steve Bannon. This is the red line. This is not a joke, everybody. The radio host Charlie Cook.

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951.383 - 969.327 Unknown

And look, I get it that senators got their various processes that they got to go through. That's fine. That's all well and good. But eventually they got to get to the point where they can say yes. And the Breitbart reporter Matt Boyle. Senator Ernst is the big one here. Joni Ernst from Iowa. All of these people, they all start going after her.

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969.587 - 978.659 Unknown

You go up against Pete Hegsath, the president, repeatedly. then don't be surprised Joni Ernst, all of a sudden you've got a primary challenge in Iowa. Don't be surprised.

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978.679 - 988.326 Jonathan Swan

People like Kirk were threatening to recruit a primary challenger against Ernst. Remember, she's going to be running again in 2026, so this carries real weight.

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988.547 - 994.051 Unknown

The funding has already been put together. Donors are calling like crazy. Primaries are going to be launched.

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994.631 - 1022.338 Jonathan Swan

I mean, it's feral. Nothing is off the table. Get on the phone and start tweeting at Joni Ernst. They sent threatening posts on social media. They urged their listeners on their radio shows to pressure Ernst and to call her congressional office. Get on the phone. Folks, this stuff matters. And that then kicks off this whole movement, and it gets really personal and close to home.

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1023.119 - 1049.273 Jonathan Swan

You had people online scraping up information about her, ostensibly from her divorce, and making it public. This is what I mean by feral. You know, Brenna Bird, who's the popular attorney general of Iowa, she writes this opinion column in Breitbart News saying that Washington politicians are trying to obstruct Trump's administration. And she didn't mention Ernst, but her message was very clear.

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1049.293 - 1057.319 Jonathan Swan

I mean, coming from someone of her stature in the state, that was a really big deal. And then you had the money side.

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1058.228 - 1061.49 Unknown

America needs a defense secretary who knows what it means to fight.

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1062.09 - 1072.477 Jonathan Swan

So you have this dark money group that Elon Musk has used for political spending. That group starts running digital ads in Iowa.

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1072.917 - 1078.221 Unknown

Call your senator today and urge them to confirm Pete Hegseth for secretary of defense.

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1079.141 - 1100.121 Jonathan Swan

Calling on people to urge their senator to vote for Hegseth. And no prizes for guessing which senator the ads were referring to. Right. So it's all of the above. It's the threat of big money coming in against you, you know, with Musk and his billionaire friends. It's people in the state that have real power, Brenna Byrd.

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1100.641 - 1117.872 Jonathan Swan

And then it's the most influential figures on the right who have real followings and have the ability to activate the most intense faction within the Trump base. Very unpleasant. It makes your life miserable if you're a sitting senator and that's what comes down on you.

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1118.552 - 1137.243 Michael Barbaro

Right. And the message that they're sending her via this onslaught from all sides seems to be, Senator Ernst, if you like being in the U.S. Senate as a Republican from Iowa, if you don't want us to find someone to run against you, if you don't want your phones ringing off the hook and our...

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1138.644 - 1147.646 Michael Barbaro

Trump MAGA base turning against you, you should probably just find a way to get behind Pete Hexeth as Secretary of Defense, because then all this will probably go away.

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1147.886 - 1169.915 Jonathan Swan

That's right. And none of these people would say this, but it's absolutely a fact that when pressure campaigns like this happen, there's the fear of... some crazy supporter committing an act of violence or coming up to you and harassing you in person. I mean, it's a factor. It's a factor in this era.

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1170.836 - 1173.757 Michael Barbaro

So how does Ernst respond to all of this?

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1174.598 - 1184.523 Jonathan Swan

I mean, I've seen these pressure campaigns before from Trump's movement, and this might be the fastest effect that I've ever seen.

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1186.909 - 1190.273 Unknown

With Defense Secretary nominee Pete Hegseth for a second time.

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1191.034 - 1204.348 Jonathan Swan

Within 72 hours after this campaign really kicked off, she meets with him again and she puts out this statement and her language was unrecognizable.

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1205.34 - 1217.274 Unknown

Following our encouraging conversations, Pete committed to completing a full audit of the Pentagon and selecting a senior official who will uphold the roles and value of our servicemen and women.

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1217.634 - 1234.625 Jonathan Swan

He will continue, she says, to support the roles of both servicemen and women. As I support Pete through this process. And as I support Pete through this process, so that's very different. She's now saying she's supporting him through this process. The second half of the statement was even more remarkable.

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1235.146 - 1239.307 Unknown

I look forward to a fair hearing based on truth, not anonymous sources.

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1239.467 - 1264.51 Jonathan Swan

I look forward to a hearing based on truth, not anonymous sources. So those last three words, those are the talking points of the Trump team. I mean, to say a hearing based on truth, not anonymous sources, you're essentially setting up two categories. You're saying there are statements that are true and there are statements or accusations made by anonymous sources that are therefore false.

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1265.03 - 1290.03 Jonathan Swan

And so by doing that, given that the accusations against Pete Hegseth are from anonymous sources, you are invalidating on its face the accusations against Pete Hegseth. The fact that she's willing to support me through this process means a lot. And pretty quickly, we saw Hegseth make some comments that indicate that he seems to believe he's got her vote.

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1290.11 - 1297.895 Pete Hegseth

And I also want an opportunity here to clarify comments that have been misconstrued that I somehow don't support women in the military.

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1298.275 - 1315.206 Jonathan Swan

Now, it's worth noting, in this statement, Hegseth also seemed to back off his earlier position about not supporting women in the military. Some of our greatest warriors, our best warriors out there are women. And Ernst says this is based on a pledge he made to her in that second meeting.

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1316.366 - 1339.125 Jonathan Swan

It's all a little vague, but essentially this is why she claims she's softening her position on him, that he's made concessions on issues that matter to her. And to be clear, she's still not coming right out and saying he absolutely has her vote, but she certainly seems to have reversed course and put herself in a situation where, at this point, it's very hard to imagine her backing out.

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1340.006 - 1352.988 Jonathan Swan

She would, if she did that, be a pariah with the MAGA base. They would make sure of that. And just from her actions so far, it seems pretty clear that she wants to stay on the right side of the Trump movement.

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1354.261 - 1361.646 Michael Barbaro

So this ends up becoming a pretty extraordinary demonstration of the president-elect's power.

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1362.427 - 1383.255 Jonathan Swan

Absolutely. And when I talk to people close to President-elect Trump and people who work for him, people on the outside, allies, they already see this as a resounding success. You know, they will say, look, who knows, maybe more accusations will come out against Pete Hexeth. Maybe we end up losing four senators and he goes down.

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1383.495 - 1401.329 Jonathan Swan

But even if that happens, they see this as a cautionary tale for Republicans. They are putting Republicans on notice that they're not going to tolerate dissent. They're not going to tolerate opposition to Donald Trump anymore. during his return to Washington.

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1402.05 - 1431.572 Jonathan Swan

And by making such a fight of this, by publicly forcing these senators to bend the knee, they are creating a template for what we're likely to see next year as Trump tries to pass legislation, as he inevitably does controversial things that will make some senators squeamish. The Trump team is sending out the message now there will be a very steep cost. if you go against Donald Trump.

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1432.714 - 1438.384 Jonathan Swan

Well, Jonathan, thank you very much. Thanks for having me.

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1445.538 - 1477.58 Michael Barbaro

On Sunday, the Republican campaign to rally support for Pete Hegseth continued. Senator Lindsey Graham, a close Trump ally, said that Hegseth has agreed to release the woman who accused him of sexual assault from a confidential legal settlement. That, Graham told NBC News, would allow his accuser to come forward publicly with her allegations and let senators evaluate whether or not they are true.

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1477.86 - 1485.183 Unknown

He's given me his side of the story. It makes sense to me. I believe him. Unless somebody's willing to come forward, I think he's going to get through.

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1492.427 - 1492.927 Michael Barbaro

We'll be right back.

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1508.368 - 1510.528 Michael Barbaro

Here's what else you need to know today.

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1511.489 - 1536.714 Michael Barbaro

Over the weekend, South Korea's legislature voted to impeach the country's leader, President Yoon Seok-yool, as punishment for his decision to impose martial law on the country. The vote, which immediately strips Yoon of his presidential powers, was met with cheers in the streets of South Korea's capital.

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1541.468 - 1565.064 Michael Barbaro

Yoon's martial law decree, issued on December 3, lasted only six hours, but it threw South Korea's democracy into chaos and triggered massive public protests. Yoon's fate now rests with South Korea's Constitutional Court, which will decide within the next six months whether to reinstate or formally remove him from office.

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1566.926 - 1606.657 Michael Barbaro

Today's episode was produced by Rob Zipko, Luke Vanderplug, and Asta Chaturvedi, with help from Nina Feldman. It was edited by Rachel Quester and Devin Taylor, contains original music by Dan Powell, Pat McCusker, and Marion Lozano, and was engineered by Chris Wood. Our theme music is by Jim Brunberg and Ben Landsberg of Wonderland. That's it for the day. I'm Michael Barbaro. See you tomorrow.

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