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The Daily

A Conversation With the Architect of Trump's New Trade War

Tue, 18 Feb 2025

Description

During less than a month in office, President Trump has pursued more trade actions against adversaries and allies than all the trade measures he took in his entire first four-year term. There is one man guiding it all: his trade adviser Peter Navarro.Ana Swanson, who covers trade and international economics for The Times, explains why Mr. Navarro thinks tariffs will usher in a new age of American prosperity.Guest: Ana Swanson, who covers trade and international economics for The New York Times.Background reading: Mr. Navarro, a loyalist in Mr. Trump’s first term, was a thorn in the side of Wall Street.Mr. Trump’s tariffs are threatening to upend the global economic order.For more information on today’s episode, visit nytimes.com/thedaily. Transcripts of each episode will be made available by the next workday. Unlock full access to New York Times podcasts and explore everything from politics to pop culture. Subscribe today at nytimes.com/podcasts or on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. Unlock full access to New York Times podcasts and explore everything from politics to pop culture. Subscribe today at nytimes.com/podcasts or on Apple Podcasts and Spotify.

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Transcription

Chapter 1: Who is guiding Trump's new trade actions?

2.782 - 19.207 Rachel Abrams

From The New York Times, I'm Rachel Abrams. This is The Daily. President Trump says he's going to announce so-called reciprocal tariffs on every country with duties placed on the U.S. With less than a month in office, we're just hours into a new trade conflict.

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19.487 - 34.46 Rachel Abrams

President Trump has pursued more trade actions against adversaries and allies than all the trade measures he took in his entire first term. Tariffs ordered by President Trump went into effect at midnight. Canada and Mexico will be among the hardest hit by these tariffs.

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34.6 - 38.543 News Narration

These tariffs more than triple what was done during the first term.

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39.104 - 40.845 Rachel Abrams

And there's one man guiding it all.

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40.945 - 45.75 News Narration

President-elect Trump choosing Peter Navarro for a top economic position in his next administration.

46.05 - 84.277 Rachel Abrams

Today, my colleague Ana Swanson on how Peter Navarro rose to become one of Trump's key advisors and why he thinks tariffs will usher in a new era of American prosperity. It's Tuesday, February 18th. Hi, Ana. Hey, how are you? Good. Thank you for being here. I wanted to talk to you because you covered President Trump in his first term and you focused a ton on international trade.

84.698 - 95.442 Rachel Abrams

So I figured you would be the right person to talk to and help me understand this key advisor, Peter Navarro, who's been advising Trump on all of these tariff policies that we've been hearing about recently. Okay.

96.002 - 116.959 Ana Swanson

Right. So I met Peter Navarro when I was covering trade policy in Trump's first term. And he's an interesting person because he had a very unusual journey to the White House. And he had views about trade in China that were considered pretty unconventional and unpopular. But over time, these views have become one of the driving forces of Trump's trade policy. Exactly.

117.319 - 121.44 Lulu Garcia Navarro

So I'm pleased to see you after four long years of exile.

Chapter 2: How did Peter Navarro become Trump's key trade advisor?

647.719 - 677.572 Ana Swanson

And they didn't anticipate, I think, that this transition was a lot more disruptive and painful. And the pain was really localized and vivid and sharp, particularly in the industrial Northeast and Midwest, where people now are really hurting because they don't have factory employment anymore. And economists have found that then other problems follow, like drug addiction.

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677.592 - 681.554 Ana Swanson

And these are all things that Peter Navarro was focused on, too, actually.

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681.934 - 700.449 Lulu Garcia Navarro

When I did my Death by China movie I went to Dayton and I saw the people who would otherwise be in factories walking around with shopping carts, stealing copper out of homes and buildings, whatever they could, and then going and using the money to get high.

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701.144 - 711.253 Rachel Abrams

It really does sound like Peter Navarro is ringing the alarm bell on China kind of well before a lot of other people are. How does he actually get attached to Donald Trump, though?

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712.154 - 717.238 Ana Swanson

So Trump at this point has been complaining about China and its trade practices for a really long time.

718.099 - 727.046 Lulu Garcia Navarro

President Trump, the way we intersected was through an interview, interestingly enough, that he did for the Los Angeles Times in 2011.

728.061 - 733.468 Ana Swanson

At one point, Trump is asked by the L.A. Times, what are some of your favorite books on China?

734.089 - 746.325 Lulu Garcia Navarro

And he proceeded to do something I'm not sure I could even do. He listed his top 10 books by title and author. And I was number six, the Coming China Award.

746.796 - 760.859 Ana Swanson

And he mentions one of Peter Navarro's books. So they start corresponding and... One thing led to another. Ultimately, then candidate Trump decides to bring Navarro on to his campaign.

Chapter 3: What is Peter Navarro's background and his views on trade?

1402.273 - 1426.591 Ana Swanson

Instead, he talked about how Chinese companies would absorb some of the cost of the tariffs to keep prices low. Your goal is to help U.S. factories. But a lot of U.S. factories do buy components and parts from abroad. And, you know, I've talked to a lot of manufacturers who say that would raise their costs. It would make them harder, you know, harder for them to make things.

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1426.871 - 1428.873 Ana Swanson

Does that kind of backfire on your agenda?

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1429.213 - 1442.689 Lulu Garcia Navarro

So here's one of the iron laws of manufacturing. If manufacturing goes abroad, the supply chains follow and vice versa. Okay.

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1443.609 - 1466.401 Ana Swanson

I also asked him about U.S. manufacturers who are buying parts from abroad and whether tariffs would hurt their business. And he didn't seem all that concerned with what I've been hearing from some American manufacturers. He just kept coming back to the idea that ultimately tariffs will incentivize both American and foreign companies to build factories in the U.S.,

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1466.641 - 1468.822 Lulu Garcia Navarro

You can have a domestic investment come quickly.

1468.862 - 1473.623 Ana Swanson

Which he believes will then lead to higher wages for Americans.

1474.163 - 1487.906 Lulu Garcia Navarro

You see wages go up, and that gives consumers more spending power and offsets any rise in prices. If real wages rise faster than any other types of inflation, people are still better off.

1488.586 - 1491.827 Ana Swanson

And he said these tariffs aren't happening in a vacuum.

1492.492 - 1513.003 Lulu Garcia Navarro

When I was a campaign advisor in 2016, I had a mantra. It was tax cuts, deregulation, strategic energy dominance, fair trade. Those were the four components, the tires on the car towards economic prosperity.

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