
Putin has been named a war criminal because of the Russian way of war in Ukraine—bombing Kyiv and other cities, attacking civilians and first aid workers, and destroying infrastructure. The administration's pause on aid and intelligence sharing with Ukraine made the US complicit in those crimes. Meanwhile, Trump does not have any leverage to force Russia to comply with the proposed cease-fire. Plus, the escalating trade war with the EU harms our national security, our allies' hesitancy to share intelligence because of Tulsi, and the South African DOGE bro's laughably absurd attack on Mark Kelly. Lt. Gen. Mark Hertling joins Tim Miller. show notes Hertling's Bulwark piece on the damage of Trump's pause on aid and intel sharing with Ukraine Hertling's Bulwark piece on a frozen conflict in Ukraine Andrew's interview with Sen. Mark Kelly
Chapter 1: What is the introduction and context for this episode?
Hey everybody, before we get to General Hurtling, I got a few news items and programming notes for you. For next level fans, JBL Sarah and I will be together on Thursday. So we're taping a little late this week. It'll be out probably Thursday evening, Friday morning. Keep an eye on your podcast feeds. Also a reminder to download our Bulwark Takes podcast feed on your podcast player of choice.
for bonus content, breaking news, hot takes, etc. Because there's no next level, I wanted to pop off quickly on a couple news items for you. The House passed a budget to keep the government open. It was a continuing resolution with support from one Democrat, Jared Golden of Maine. Now it goes to the Senate. where it will need seven votes to pass.
This is a little bit of a sticky wicket for Senate Dems. And while I think they should hold the line in opposition, I've already seen Chris Coons out saying that this morning. There's going to be some legitimate counter views. So I'm going to explore that more tomorrow with Sam Stein, etc. But I think that will be an interesting strategic battle coming this week.
One wrinkle in this budget for our DC listeners, one fucking enraging wrinkle really, is the bill includes $1.1 billion in cuts to the DC budget. That could affect policing. I thought these guys were tough on crime. It is going to affect access to health care services and other public services for people that live in D.C. And here's the crazy thing about this.
It doesn't actually even save a single cent. It is just the cruelty is the point all the way down. It is just revenge and resentment and going after these big city liberals and the D.C. swamp and whatever. This money is D.C. It's in the D.C. budget. So it will just sit around in the D.C. treasury. rather than be used as the mayor and the city council had determined.
So I expect there'll be a big fight over that in the Senate and a couple of other items as well. We'll have more on all that tomorrow. There's a new CNN poll out today I wanted to flag. It shows Trump with his lowest marks on the economy ever, for good reason. It looks like the economy's in shambles right now.
It's lower even than it was during COVID, as far as his personal approval ratings on the economy. 56% oppose. I think there's room to grow there. And there's already a Politico story out this AM where some internally are trying to blame Howard Lutnick for all this. That's right. The Secretary of Commerce is responsible for Donald Trump's impulsive, ridiculous, harmful trade wars.
and all of the other instability that is resulting in the market crash. It's resulting in the cuts to jobs, particularly in the federal workforce. But as my colleague Andrew Egger reported this morning, even in some private sector companies, we're starting to see announcements that there are going to be layoffs related directly to Trump's policies. So I don't know.
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Chapter 2: How does the current US administration's actions affect Ukraine?
Let Nick, maybe the fall guy for this, we'll see. But it's telling that even inside the administration, they're recognizing the trouble they're in on economic matters. So, all right, up ahead, we got a deep dive on foreign policy. Our good friend, excited to welcome him back to the podcast, Mark Hurtling. Stick around for that. Hello and welcome to the Borg Podcast. I'm your host, Tim Miller.
Delighted to welcome back a retired Lieutenant General and the former Commanding General of the U.S. Army in Europe and the pride of Christian Brothers College High School in St. Louis. It's General Mark Hertling coming at us from Florida. How are you doing, sir? Hey, Tim. How are you doing today? I'm doing all right.
We're both just living here, recovering from the flu and the red states, trying to hold the line. Yeah, just thankful it's not measles or COVID. That's the way I feel about it. No measles yet. No mumps. No rubella. I wanted to give people an update on the state of play regarding Ukraine, and then we've got a bunch of other kind of related issues. There was...
I guess the outlines of a deal, at least a deal between us and our adversary, Zelensky, in Riyadh. The U.S. put out a statement that was kind of weird and overly fawning towards the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, who hosted us. But they announced that Zelensky had agreed, if Russia agrees, to a 30-day pause in fighting. U.S. intel sharing has continued now. That's already happened. U.S.
weapons shipment are back on. That's already happened. The polls confirmed that this morning. Meanwhile, the Russians didn't really change their operations any. There were reports of explosions in Kiev last night, 14 killed across the day, across Ukraine.
And so Russia, I guess the other thing I should mention is that there's a Reuters report out this morning saying that they may not agree to a temporary truce with there's a Peskov statement saying, you're getting a little ahead of yourselves. We don't want to do that to reporters asking about the truce. So that's, I think, my summary of the state of play.
What I missed, what do you want to add to where we're at?
Yeah, I'll just say from the very beginning, I'm very, you know, I was skeptical of the Hamas-Israel ceasefire. This one, I'm very pessimistic because I agree with Peskov. The administration is getting out in front of their, way out in front of their skis, thinking they're going to
drive this deal through Russia the same way they did with Ukraine, because they don't have any tools to extort Russia that I know of. And what's going to happen is this could very easily follow the paths of other frozen conflicts which Russia has instigated inside of Europe. And I think there are all kinds of challenges
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Chapter 3: What are the implications of a potential ceasefire in Ukraine?
That's a good point. Let's actually roll back the clock a little bit before we go forward, because it does seem pretty clear at this point that the ending of intelligence sharing was aimed at forcing Ukraine to the table.
and that the United States, the President, Vice President Rubio Waltz, had decided that it was okay to sacrifice the Ukrainian deaths and the injuries and the destruction that we saw over the course of last week because that served the longer-term goal of, I guess, bullying Zelensky into coming to the table on this sort of deal.
That was pretty clear at the time, but with the view of hindsight, that seems like that's what happened, right?
Yeah, absolutely. And I think, too, we can't ignore the fact that there were moral implications to this. I mean, it's one thing to cut off intelligence when someone's on the battlefield and fighting. But what Russia has been doing is not just...
attempting to retake ground, which is typical of any kind of war fight, but they were continuing to destroy Ukrainian infrastructure, kill Ukrainian citizens. Those are all war crimes.
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Chapter 4: Why is Russia's strategy in Ukraine considered a war crime?
So I would even go to the point, Tim, where we were complicit and maybe even accessory to war crimes over those couple of days where we just kind of unplugged the intelligence servers within Kyiv and in the front lines, not just for the tactical fight, but for the defense of Ukraine infrastructure and citizens.
I thought I was really negative and outraged over what happened to it. That's really just settling in with me right now, the accessories to war crimes element of it. Because it is true. I mean, it's a great point because that's really what they were doing. I mean, they were attacking Kiev, attacking cities, attacking first aid workers.
Which they've been doing since the very beginning, by the way.
Right. But they had a lot more success because without the intel sharing, a lot more of the drones and bombs were getting through, essentially. That's basically what happened.
Yeah, absolutely.
And when you think about the Russian way of war, where they do area fire as opposed to precision fire, where they really don't do the targeting process the way most modern militaries do, where you're attempting to destroy the enemy's military and their enemy's capability, they were really focused primarily, as they have been from the start of the war, on causing pain to Ukrainian citizens and their government.
And that's the part that just kind of continuously. I mean, the Hague has said Putin is a war criminal and all the people who are executing his his operations, the special military operations are war criminals. And if that's the fact, if we're giving them an advantage, then we we do become complicit in their war crimes and maybe even accessories to to the act.
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Chapter 5: What could a frozen conflict in Ukraine mean for Europe?
After you purchase, they'll ask you where you heard about them. Please support our show and tell them we sent you. Invest in the health and longevity of your skin with One Skin, your future self will thank you. All right. So I want to look at where we go from here.
You wrote for us a really, I think, compelling piece about what a frozen conflict could look like and how it could benefit Russia if they do. And we don't know at this point, but if they do decide to agree to a ceasefire, that could be in their benefit. And you lean on your experience in Europe and having to monitor some of these other frozen conflicts.
So just talk about that and how you think the situation could benefit Russia if we do end up in a frozen conflict.
Yeah, well, I left the military in 2013. And at the time, Russia had not yet invaded Ukraine the first time in 2014. But prior to that, on a daily basis, when I'd go into the office, I'd get something called a black book, which showed intelligence capabilities of the U.S. force and what we were collecting on and how we were collecting it.
At the time, there were three major frozen conflicts in Europe. And it was interesting, Tim, the other night I was with a group of Americans and I said, has anyone heard the term Transnistria or Norgano-Karabakh or Kaliningrad or South Ossetia and Abkhazia?
I'm three for five on that.
So it's not too bad. None of them had heard of any of those places. Well, these were places where the Russians had invaded or had stoked conflict within Moldova, Georgia, between Armenia and Azerbaijan, and then most recently in the Donbass and Crimea. And in every single one of them, they have continued to stoke that over the years and the decades to disrupt governments.
I'll use the case of both Moldova and Georgia. They have prevented from attempting to join NATO because they can't right now. The member action plan says you can't have a conflict on your territory. And both of them have, in fact, irredentist or a minor civil war in Transnistria and Moldova and in the two provinces in Georgia.
So you can see not only those kind of active conflicts, the so-called asymmetric warfare of Russia, but then you include things like electronic attacks in Estonia or little green men going into different places or assassination attempts in Great Britain and Germany. So all of those things contribute to the kinds of turmoil that Russia creates. When we now go into Ukraine,
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Chapter 6: How might Europe's military capabilities fare without US support?
And I had one Georgian toast with a beer and he said to Putin's health, you know, they hate this guy. Because the majority of them have been under Putin's thumb. And I'll bring up the point too, it just shocked the bejesus out of me yesterday, Tim, when I saw all of the European force chiefs, all of the military chiefs from the European countries coming together with Macron.
Because back in the day, when I was the commander of US Army Europe, we used to have something called the Conference of European Armies, where we would have all the European defense chiefs in Heidelberg, and we would talk about commonalities and things we were going to do and exercises. And by the way, Hegseth has eliminated exercises from the European force.
So we can't work and play well with others next year. All of those things are detrimental to our security. And I can't see what level of earth these guys are living in right now to think any of this is good.
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