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Full Episode
Folks, tons of news to get to today. We're gonna get to the Trump-Elon interview on Sean Hannity's show. We're also going to be talking about negotiations over Ukraine, which are getting quite fraught. And of course, Hamas has now announced that the Bibas family is dead, which many people had suspected, but is going to be a sort of earth-shattering piece of news over in Israel.
But begin today with a fascinating realization by Derek Thompson over at The Atlantic, talking about the radical shift that has happened with young people in the United States as far as their voting patterns. What he finds is that COVID and BLM basically shoved an entire generation of people to the right. Quote, for decades, America's young voters have been deeply and famously progressive.
In 2008, a youth quake sent Barack Obama to the White House. In 2016, voters ages 18 to 29 broke for Hillary Clinton by 18 points. In 2020, they voted for Biden by 24 points. But in 2024, Donald Trump closed most of the gap, losing voters under 30 by a 51 to 47 margin. In one recent CBS poll, Americans under 30 weren't just evenly split between the parties.
They were even more pro-Trump than boomers over the age of 65. So what exactly is happening? Well, Derek Thompson suggests that essentially this is a reaction to the government overreach during COVID.
that the bizarre institutional failures during COVID, ranging from the suggestion that you got to riot in the streets if you had the proper political credentials and COVID wouldn't attack you, to the idea that kids had to be locked out of schools, shoved an entire generation of young people to the right and radicalized them. And this, of course, is true.
But this does demonstrate, again, this is the warning, that people are incredibly variable and vacillating when it comes to their politics. Exogenous events can shove entire generations of people one way or another. And this has happened several times over the course of my lifetime.
I remember after 2001, a whole new security boom happened in which people, particularly suburban moms who had traditionally voted Democrat, suddenly were voting Republican. And then COVID apparently shoved a bunch of young people to the right. Wokeness shoved a bunch of young people to the right.
That is a good reminder to everyone in politics that while you think that the pendulum will never shift back over to the other side, it absolutely will. And so two things ought to be taken from that. One, you ought to be very careful in how you use your political power. That doesn't mean you shouldn't move fast and break things.
It means that you should be very careful that you don't set into motion a tripwire that is going to blow you up. And number two, it means that you actually do have to move with alacrity while I got to power because the left always does and the right rarely does. This is one of the differences between MAGA and prior conservative Republican movements.
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