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WSJ What’s News

What’s in President Trump’s Tax Bill as it Heads to the Senate

Thu, 22 May 2025

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P.M. Edition for May 22. The House passed President Trump’s sprawling tax-and-spending bill, after some last-minute changes this morning united Republican holdouts. WSJ tax policy reporter Richard Rubin talks about what made it into the bill, and what happens next. Plus, the Trump administration has blocked Harvard’s ability to enroll foreign students. And U.S. antitrust enforcers argue that large institutional investors who own shares in rival companies may be violating antitrust laws. Dave Michaels, who covers corporate law enforcement, joins to discuss what this could mean for those big institutional investors. Alex Ossola hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Transcription

Chapter 1: What is in President Trump's tax and spending bill?

50.302 - 64.272 Dan Michaels

If courts eventually ruled that this kind of common ownership could be a violation of antitrust law, it would be a huge deal, frankly, for the business model of this kind of fund investing, which is huge.

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Chapter 2: What are the implications of the antitrust concerns?

64.813 - 89.095 Alex Ossola

It's Thursday, May 22nd. I'm Alex Osola for The Wall Street Journal. This is the PM edition of What's News, the top headlines and business stories that move the world today. Early this morning, the Republican-led House passed President Trump's sprawling tax and spending bill after party leaders made a series of last-minute changes that united their warring wings.

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89.596 - 102.228 Alex Ossola

The vote was 215 to 214, with one lawmaker voting present. Richard Rubin, who covers tax policy for the journal, joins me now. Okay, Richard, what was actually in this final bill that did eventually pass?

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Chapter 3: What changes were made to the tax bill before passing?

102.768 - 122.106 Richard Rubin

This bill is a combination of, weirdly, tax cuts, tax increases, spending cuts, and spending increases. It extends the expiring 2017 tax cuts, which laps at the end of this year, and adds some new tax cuts, versions of the no tax on tips and overtime and Social Security benefits. some business tax provisions in there. It also increases taxes.

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122.146 - 145.883 Richard Rubin

It limits itemized deductions for some high earners, and it repeals or phases out very quickly some tax credits for clean energy. It's got spending cuts, so Medicaid and nutrition assistance programs in particular will have less money, more frequent eligibility checks, more cost-sharing, pushing some costs to states, and some new work requirements for Medicaid in particular for able-bodied people.

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146.343 - 160.489 Richard Rubin

And then the custom spending increases. There's more money in there for border security and for national defense. And so this is a mishmash. It really is just sort of smushing as many administration and Republican priorities into one piece of legislation as they possibly can.

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160.929 - 166.831 Alex Ossola

Let's talk about what happens next. Are we expecting any sort of meaningful resistance to the bill and its passage in the Senate?

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Chapter 4: How does the Senate plan to address the bill?

167.125 - 186.952 Richard Rubin

The Republicans have a 53 to 47 majority in the Senate, so they've got three votes to spare because the vice president can break a tie. The Senate is off next week for Memorial Day, so they'll return in June and get cranking on this. The ultimate goal is to get this to President Trump's desk by July 4th. That's a bit of a stretch. In some ways, the real deadline may be the end of July when...

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187.712 - 207.095 Richard Rubin

We're approaching the debt limit, the need to raise the debt limit. I do expect some changes in the Senate, and we've heard that from senators today. They've got some concerns about the clean energy tax breaks. They've got some concerns about Medicaid. Some want more spending cuts. Some want fewer spending cuts. That said, senators have been working with the House all along.

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207.215 - 212.296 Richard Rubin

So the House bill does already reflect some Senate priorities, but there are going to be some changes.

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212.776 - 215.477 Alex Ossola

That was WSJ reporter Richard Rubin. Thank you, Richard.

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215.797 - 216.137 Richard Rubin

Thank you.

219.69 - 243.078 Alex Ossola

The bond market showed signs of stabilizing today after the House passed President Trump's tax bill. U.S. markets ended the day mixed. The Nasdaq rose about 0.3 percent, while the S&P 500 and the Dow edged lower. U.S. existing home sales fell by 0.5% in April from the prior month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $4 million.

243.678 - 261.684 Alex Ossola

According to the National Association of Realtors, that's the slowest sales pace for any April since 2009. Meanwhile, mortgage rates climbed to the highest level in three months, approaching 7%. According to a survey of lenders by Freddie Mac, the average rate on the standard 30-year fixed mortgage is now 6.86%.

264.345 - 276.171 Alex Ossola

WSJ reporter Nicole Friedman told our Your Money Briefing podcast that these recent sales numbers are spoiling hopes that the housing market can break out of a rut in these spring months, which are critical for the real estate industry.

Chapter 5: What effects are seen in the housing market?

276.471 - 293.22 Nicole Friedman

The data really shows that this spring has gotten off to a slow start. The number of existing home sales fell in March and fell again in April. And that's on a seasonally adjusted basis. But it does indicate that buyers are hesitant right now.

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293.32 - 310.971 Nicole Friedman

They're still on the sidelines and we're seeing the inventory rise, but we're not seeing sales rise with it, which means that even though buyers have more to choose from, it's really that affordability, those mortgage rates and home prices that are hard to swallow. So really all eyes are on mortgage rates.

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311.551 - 328.777 Nicole Friedman

And we have seen mortgage rates are tied to Treasury yields, and we have seen Treasury yields rising in recent days. And so that could indicate mortgage rates going up as well, which probably means that the market isn't going to break out of this rut in the next couple of months at least.

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329.177 - 350.919 Alex Ossola

For more on the latest housing market data, check out tomorrow's episode of Your Money Briefing. The Trump administration is withdrawing Harvard University's authorization to enroll foreign students. It's a major escalation and financial blow in the government's pressure campaign against the nation's most prominent university.

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351.659 - 367.392 Alex Ossola

A Harvard spokesman called the government's move unlawful and said the school is committed to maintaining its ability to host international students. Harvard enrolls about 7,000 international students and, like many U.S. universities, it relies on their tuition payments, which are often full freight.

367.972 - 388.26 Alex Ossola

The administration has already pulled billions of dollars in federal research funding from the school and threatened to revoke its tax-exempt status, citing concerns about anti-Semitism and DEI. A federal judge has blocked the Trump administration's wide-scale efforts to dismantle the Education Department. A U.S.

388.3 - 406.409 Alex Ossola

district judge in Boston said the Education Department's cuts have effectively gutted the agency without Congress's consent. It's the latest legal setback for the administration, which said it will appeal the ruling. And the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a plea to require state charter school programs to fund religious schools.

407.01 - 428.878 Alex Ossola

The court divided four to four on the case, as Justice Amy Coney Barrett recused herself. The tie affirms an Oklahoma Supreme Court decision that found it unconstitutional to require the state to fund religious education through its public charter program. It's an unexpected setback for social conservatives, who had won a string of cases expanding sectarian involvement in public education.

432.659 - 450.903 Alex Ossola

The GOP-led Senate voted today to take away California's ability to set its own tailpipe emissions standards, effectively killing the country's biggest driver of EV investment. The vote was 51 to 44. The move nullifies California's 2022 measure banning the sale of new gasoline-powered cars by 2035.

Chapter 6: What is the impact of the Trump administration on Harvard?

531.357 - 550.42 Alex Ossola

The federal government's filing, known as a statement of interest, says the asset manager's holdings of multiple companies in the coal industry, known as common ownership, could violate competition laws. For more, I'm joined by Dave Michaels, who covers corporate law enforcement for The Wall Street Journal. Dave, why are antitrust enforcers taking this stance now? Why the change of heart?

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550.964 - 567.94 Dan Michaels

This is an issue that has been on the verge for antitrust enforcers for a few years now, and a few different factors collided here to make this a ripe opportunity for the Justice Department and the Federal Trade Commission to intervene.

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568.721 - 601.102 Dan Michaels

The lawsuit alleges that because the fund giants own collectively across their different funds, large percentages of competing coal companies, that in fact, those holdings are potentially illegal under antitrust law. And there's this additional allegation that the three asset managers are We're in cahoots and we're pressuring the coal companies to produce less coal, which then drove up the price.

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601.723 - 603.748 Alex Ossola

What are asset managers saying about this?

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604.252 - 627.76 Dan Michaels

BlackRock, Vanguard, and State Street say that the state's lawsuit is just a total conspiracy theory. The asset managers say they never tried to influence the coal companies, but it is a big deal that the Justice Department and the FTC are intervening here and expressing this point of view on common ownership within this case. It adds to the pressure that these asset managers are under.

628.8 - 638.026 Alex Ossola

Dave, I understand that we're a bit ways away from having an actual outcome or decision on this case, but what could the outcome mean for institutional investors?

638.787 - 663.021 Dan Michaels

If courts eventually ruled that this kind of common ownership could be a violation of antitrust law, it would be a big deal because the market has always thought of these fund giants as passive investors. They buy and sell stocks according to indices. and they do not represent that they are active or activist investors.

663.842 - 671.624 Dan Michaels

So it would be a huge deal, frankly, for the business model of this kind of fund investing, which is huge.

672.304 - 675.085 Alex Ossola

That was WSJ reporter Dave Michaels. Thank you, Dave.

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