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Iran Loses Regional Ally, U.S. Colleges Prepare For Trump, Drone Sightings

Fri, 13 Dec 2024

Description

The fall of Syria's regime is a blow to Iran. Iranian money and troops propped up former Syrian President Bashar al-Assad's government. How much do the developments in Syria set back an adversary of Israel and the U.S.? Some American colleges have issued a warning to their international students. They're suggesting students should try to return before Inauguration Day, to avoid any trouble at the border. Also, who's flying drones over New Jersey?Want more comprehensive analysis of the most important news of the day, plus a little fun? Subscribe to the Up First newsletter. Today's episode of Up First was edited by Didrik Schanche, Steven Drummond, Ally Schweitzer, HJ Mai and Mohamad ElBardicy. It was produced by Ziad Buchh, Nia Dumas and Ben Abrams. We get engineering support from Arthur Laurent, and our technical director is Carleigh Strange.Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoicesNPR Privacy Policy

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Transcription

2.858 - 5.782 E. Martinez

The fall of Syria's ruler is a blow against Iran.

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5.942 - 14.974 Steve Inskeep

Iranian money and troops propped up the old Syrian leaders, so how much does his government's collapse set back an adversary of Israel and the United States?

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15.134 - 32.638 E. Martinez

I'm E. Martinez, that's Steve Inskeep, and this is Up First from NPR News. Some American colleges have a warning for their international students. They're suggesting students who leave for the holidays should try to return before Inauguration Day to avoid any trouble at the border. How real is that concern?

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32.938 - 48.602 Steve Inskeep

Also, who's flying drones over New Jersey? Could it be a Springsteen fan? Someone who's afraid of the drivers? And is it a coincidence that the radio broadcast of War of the Worlds was set there? We won't just drone on about the state where I used to live, but stay with us. We've got the news you need to start your day.

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133.342 - 142.247 Steve Inskeep

The fall of Syria's longtime president prompted celebrations by many of its people. It's safe to say the same event led to dismay in the capital of Iran.

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142.267 - 161.361 E. Martinez

Yeah, that's because the longtime enemy of Israel in the U.S. relied on Syria as one of its allies in a bid for power across the Middle East. Iranian troops and money propped up the ruler Bashar al-Assad during years of civil war. Now, if you look at a map... You can actually see why. Syria offered a connection to Iran's proxies in nearby Lebanon.

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161.782 - 165.326 E. Martinez

Now the government's collapse amounts to Iran's latest disaster.

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165.426 - 173.116 Steve Inskeep

NPR international affairs correspondent Jackie Northam covers Iran. Hey there, Jackie. Good morning, Steve. How did the Iranians use the old Syrian government?

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173.956 - 194.611 Jackie Northam

Well, the most important way that it used it is Syria allowed Iran to set up a critical land bridge to Lebanon, so a corridor to Lebanon, so it could funnel weapons to Hezbollah for many years. You know, this was crucial to get fighters, weapons going both ways, actually. But now that the anti-government rebels control Syria,

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195.131 - 203.898 Jackie Northam

That strategic route to Lebanon is really most likely off-limits to Iran, and that's a huge blow for the regime's long-term goals in the region.

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204.078 - 207.601 Steve Inskeep

What were or are the regime's long-term goals exactly?

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208.442 - 231.052 Jackie Northam

Well, there are two key ones. They want to see the destruction or the collapse of Israel as a Jewish state. Iran also wants to counter any power influence that the U.S. has in the Middle East, you know, at the same time projecting the regime's own power in the region using its military and proxies, you know, such as Hezbollah in Lebanon, Hamas in Gaza, and certainly the Houthis in Yemen.

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231.292 - 243.754 Steve Inskeep

Oh, which underlines how disastrous the last few months have been for Iran because Hezbollah has been decimated by Israel's military. This is just a moment when you would think Iran would want to be resupplying Hezbollah. I guess that's not going to happen.

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244.184 - 265.334 Jackie Northam

Oh, absolutely. Yeah. You know, this is just really going to make it much, much harder to get, you know, missiles and drones and the like to Hezbollah in Lebanon if this corridor is out of reach now. But, you know, Steve, this isn't the only setback that Iran has faced recently. I spoke with Afshan Ostavar, and he's a specialist on Iran and its proxies at the Naval Postgraduate School.

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265.374 - 275.421 Jackie Northam

And, you know, he said... Losing Syria as an ally really marks a profound turnaround for Iran. You know, if you consider just a year ago, it was one of the most powerful states in the Middle East. Here he is.

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275.962 - 293.562 Afshan Ostavar

It controlled politics on the ground in Iraq, in much of Syria. in much of Lebanon. It was losing ground in Gaza, but only just. And its allies in Yemen controlled much of Yemen. But in the last two months, three months, all of that has been reversed.

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294.083 - 306.59 Jackie Northam

So Steve, you know, not only has Israel degraded Hezbollah, as you mentioned, but Hamas in Gaza, it assassinated senior Iranian officials and pounded Iran's air defenses. And now it's lost a powerful ally in Syria.

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306.73 - 312.245 Steve Inskeep

Okay, so might Iran change its strategy of seeking domination through the region?

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313.376 - 326.182 Jackie Northam

That's highly unlikely. And you know, Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei warned earlier this week not to underestimate the regime. One of the concerns is if Tehran feels cornered, it may try to use its nuclear program as leverage.

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326.222 - 344.094 Jackie Northam

But you know, the other thing that's worth noting in the wake of the shakeup in Syria is that Iran's hardline regime may also be worried about a threat of upheaval from its own population. You Any kind of dissent is crushed. And Tehran's watching what's happening in Syria. I wonder if the same thing could happen in Iran.

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344.274 - 346.617 Steve Inskeep

NPR's Jackie Northam, thanks for the insights.

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346.997 - 347.658 Jackie Northam

Thanks very much, Steve.

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356.127 - 360.09 Steve Inskeep

Some American colleges are preparing for President-elect Trump's second term.

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360.25 - 376.561 E. Martinez

And here's one of the ways they're doing that. Several universities, including USC, Penn, and Cornell, are giving advice to international students. If they're going home for the holidays, the university suggests returning before Inauguration Day, January 20, to avoid any trouble at the border.

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376.661 - 383.145 Steve Inskeep

Kirk Carrapeza is covering this. He follows higher education from member station GBH in Boston. Kirk, good morning.

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383.305 - 405.162 Kirk Carrapeza

Hey, good morning, Steve. What exactly are colleges saying? Well, most colleges aren't saying much, but there are some. The ones you mentioned and a handful of schools here in New England, UMass Amherst, MIT, and Wesleyan have all reached out to international students urging them to return to the U.S. before January 20th. Harvard also contacted its international students this week.

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405.623 - 415.711 Kirk Carrapeza

The college suggested those traveling overseas for the holidays, quote, budget time ahead of Martin Luther King Day, which coincidentally is also Inauguration Day.

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415.891 - 422.993 Steve Inskeep

Okay, so I guess we can imagine why they would make this suggestion, but let's try to get the facts out. What is driving this?

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423.313 - 446.021 Kirk Carrapeza

Well, I think many administrators are revisiting Trump's track record. You know, in his first term, new foreign student enrollment dropped by 12 percentage points. You'll remember there was the travel ban targeting several majority Muslim countries, heightened visa scrutiny, and then in 2020, the mandate for all international students to attend classes in person, even during the pandemic.

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446.101 - 456.107 Kirk Carrapeza

Now, this time around, Trump is promising even stricter policies. At a rally in New Jersey this summer, he warned foreign students involved in campus protests.

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456.508 - 467.555 Donald Trump

If you come here from another country and try to bring jihadism or anti-Americanism or anti-Semitism to our campuses, we will immediately deport you. You'll be out of that school.

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468.587 - 476.934 Steve Inskeep

Okay, so he said that, but there's an if at the beginning of that. Is it entirely clear what specifically the new president will do regarding international students?

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477.815 - 489.746 Kirk Carrapeza

No, there are no concrete proposals at this point from Trump or his transition team. But, you know, these colleges are trying to make sure their students don't get stuck out of the country when the new semester begins.

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490.006 - 493.409 Steve Inskeep

What do you hear when you reach out to administrators as well as students?

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493.869 - 510.592 Kirk Carrapeza

They're really anxious. You know, behind closed doors, they tell me they're worried. Ted Mitchell is president of the American Council on Education, and he calls the potential decline of international students a tragedy because he says these students create a global atmosphere that's critical to American campuses.

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511.052 - 525.669 Ted Mitchell (recording)

It's kind of a brain sweep in which American institutions help bring the best and the brightest from other countries to our shores. And I think that the rhetoric of the campaign suggested that immigrants were the opposite of that.

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526.149 - 543.363 Kirk Carrapeza

And Steve, you know, some faculty members I talk to, they tell me their students are genuinely afraid. Here's Professor Gerardo Blanco. Blanco runs Boston College's Center for International Higher Education. And he says there's a real disconnect on campus between students and administrators.

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543.863 - 551.429 Professor Gerardo Blanco (recording)

Having talked with colleagues, they feel like there is no evidence of a change in policy, and this is not a time to panic.

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552.249 - 561.056 Kirk Carrapeza

But Blanco says many students are already very concerned, and these colleges are taking precautions to protect them and ease their anxiety.

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561.116 - 580.516 Steve Inskeep

Yeah, although, fair point, policy hasn't changed yet. We don't really know what's going to happen. Kirk, thanks so much. Thank you, Steve. Kirk Carrapeza covers higher education for GBH in Boston. What in the world is going on in the skies over New Jersey?

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580.616 - 602.516 Steve Inskeep

New Jersey's own Bruce Springsteen once described North Jersey's sky with the line, the sun's just a red ball rising over them refinery towers. But now we need to add a few drones to the lyrics and to that picture because people have been reporting flying objects. Federal authorities say the drones are not a security threat, which still leaves the question of what they are.

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603.037 - 615.98 E. Martinez

For more on what we do know about the aircraft, we're joined by WNYC reporter Julie Hayward, who has been covering this story. So is the federal government planning to investigate these alleged drone sightings?

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617.082 - 642.846 Julie Hayward

Yes. So the FBI and other federal agencies have confirmed that there's an active ongoing investigation into what exactly is going on with these drones that people are seeing in the sky. It is happening. The latest information we have is that the federal government's actually sending specialized radar technology to local police departments in New Jersey. Okay, but at least they're on the case.

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642.866 - 684.128 Julie Hayward

Have they said anything about whether they're a threat at all? So we've heard now repeatedly, both from federal officials as well as some state officials, for example, the New Jersey governor has said this as well, that the drones seemingly pose no public safety risk and that folks should remain calm. However, you'll often hear a little bit of a divide between local lawmakers and

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684.768 - 695.174 Julie Hayward

There are some state senators, some reps, some mayors even, who have gone on the record and expressed a lot more concern over how safe people actually are.

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696.052 - 714.535 E. Martinez

Yeah, especially if we don't know really anything about what we're seeing. So you reported that New Jersey residents have been spotting these objects for weeks now. But we've also seen some accounts from folks in Pennsylvania saying that they've seen them now, too. I mean, what are locals saying about what they're actually seeing in the skies? I mean, what does it look like?

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714.995 - 736.904 Julie Hayward

Yeah, so right now the count is Pennsylvania, New York, Maryland, and Connecticut as well as New Jersey. So they're starting to pop up in other places other than New Jersey at this point. Folks just seem to be posting what they're seeing online. This is getting a lot of traction on social media. There are now Facebook groups.

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736.964 - 742.586 Julie Hayward

There are folks commenting, coming up with theories for what's going on with these drones. It's getting a lot of attention online.

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743.326 - 744.527 E. Martinez

Aliens? Any talk of aliens?

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745.239 - 755.084 Julie Hayward

Definitely aliens. There are some people concerned that this is a national security threat, spies from foreign nations. You name it, someone has said it.

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755.104 - 760.846 E. Martinez

If it's been going on since last month, why are most Americans just hearing about this now?

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761.647 - 782.516 Julie Hayward

That's a great question. This has been going on for weeks. I'm talking since mid-November. People in New Jersey originally were the ones to say that they were spotting drones in the air and nobody was really sure why. Part of why it's gaining so much traction now is that it's spreading outside of New Jersey. We're now having sightings in New York, Pennsylvania, Connecticut, elsewhere.

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782.536 - 802.144 Julie Hayward

And then on top of that, it's all the attention it's getting on social media as well. And then you also add to that the fact that you now have lawmakers who are talking about it. There was a hearing in Congress about it earlier this month. So people are now paying more attention, which is then sparking more interest and is fanning the flames more, so to speak.

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802.699 - 810.889 E. Martinez

If the FBI just sends Mulder and Scully out to investigate, they'll get to the bottom of this. Julia Hayward is a reporter for WNYC. Julia, thanks a lot. Thanks for having me.

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815.612 - 819.335 Steve Inskeep

And that's Up First for this Friday, December 13th. I'm Steve Inskeep.

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819.575 - 828.241 E. Martinez

And I'm A. Martinez. Don't forget, Up First airs on the weekend, too. Ayesha Roscoe and Scott Simon have all the news. It'll be right here in this feed or wherever you go get those podcasts.

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828.301 - 847.687 Steve Inskeep

Today's episode of Up First was edited by Didi Skanky, Stephen Drummond, Ali Schweitzer, H.J. Mai, and Mohamed El-Bardisi. It was produced by Ziad Batch, Nia Dumas, and Ben Abrams. We get engineering support from Arthur Laurent, and our technical director is Carly Strange. Our executive producer is Kelly Dickens. Join us Monday.

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