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The Journal.

The U.S. Spent Billions Fighting AIDS. What Now?

Fri, 14 Feb 2025

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At the beginning of his presidency, Donald Trump suspended most U.S. foreign aid, causing vast confusion and concern around the world. One affected program was PEPFAR, the bipartisan initiative that works to fight HIV/AIDS globally. WSJ’s Nicholas Bariyo from Uganda and Michael M. Phillips from Kenya report. And we hear from Karl Hoffman, the CEO of the public health organization HealthX Partners.  Further Listening: -Inside USAID as Elon Musk and DOGE Ripped It Apart  Further Reading: -Trump Aid Whiplash Hits Refugees, AIDS Patients Worldwide  -Trump Order Freezing Foreign Aid Halts Programs Worldwide, Prompts Confusion and Rush for Waivers  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Transcription

Chapter 1: What impact did Trump's freeze on foreign aid have on HIV clinics?

5.598 - 11.684 Ryan Knudson

Earlier this week, our colleague Nicholas Barillo went to visit an HIV-AIDS clinic in Kampala, Uganda.

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12.305 - 13.706 Nicholas Bariyo

Everything is quiet.

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14.487 - 22.775 Ryan Knudson

The clinic was closed, shut down after President Trump froze almost all foreign aid money. Only a security guard and a cleaner were on the premises.

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23.154 - 35.487 Nicholas Bariyo

The security guard at the gate says he's not allowed to let anyone inside. Now he tells me that people have been coming and being turned away and as a result no one now comes.

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37.216 - 47.782 Ryan Knudson

Before it closed, it was providing care to hundreds of patients with HIV-AIDS every day. In the meantime, all the medicine that's sitting inside this clinic is just locked away.

47.802 - 55.687 Nicholas Bariyo

Yes, all the medicine, yes. All the supplies because people have been working there were told not to return.

57.239 - 75.909 Ryan Knudson

Since its founding, this clinic has been funded almost entirely by U.S. foreign aid. For more than 20 years, it's been part of a program known as PEPFAR, a multi-billion dollar U.S. effort specifically designed to stop the spread of HIV-AIDS globally. And how important are the services provided by this clinic?

Chapter 2: Why is PEPFAR critical in the fight against HIV/AIDS?

76.529 - 96.793 Nicholas Bariyo

So they are very, very important because it helps people who live in rural areas, people who have no money to pay for these tests, and most importantly, expectant mothers, people who are pregnant, and these treatments help them from passing the virus onto their unborn children.

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97.573 - 119.455 Ryan Knudson

PEPFAR has been swept up in President Trump's 90-day freeze on foreign aid. Although the administration has signaled that it didn't intend to pause PEPFAR entirely, the order is having that effect. At this moment, PEPFAR programs are mostly at a halt all across Africa. I asked our other colleague, Michael Phillips, about the effect of the funding freeze in Kenya, where he's based.

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Chapter 3: What are the consequences of halting PEPFAR funding?

120.135 - 142.343 Michael M. Phillips

Well, I think there's been a general sense of panic. So I spoke to somebody the other day. This person has family members who are HIV positive. And they've been on antiretrovirals through PEPFAR. And some of those family members are literally going out and picking out grave sites for themselves because they don't think they're going to make it. Oh, my goodness.

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143.348 - 160.816 Michael M. Phillips

So imagine that, like you thought you were okay. You thought you'd gotten past this disease. You could live with it. You're not transmitting it to anybody. And suddenly you're looking around and thinking, I can't afford to buy drugs and no one's going to give them to me anymore. So, well, I'll save my family the trouble and I'll pick a place to bury myself.

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161.536 - 161.876 Karl Hoffman

Wow.

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162.357 - 165.158 Michael M. Phillips

And, you know, it's a stunning thought.

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169.321 - 208.812 Ryan Knudson

Welcome to The Journal, our show about money, business, and power. I'm Ryan Knudson. It's Friday, February 14th. Coming up on the show, America has spent billions combating AIDS around the world. Is that era now over? Fighting HIV-AIDS has been a big part of America's foreign aid spending for decades.

Chapter 4: How did PEPFAR become a significant U.S. initiative?

209.392 - 223.221 George W. Bush

Many hospitals tell people, you've got AIDS. We can't help you. Go home and die. In an age of miraculous medicines, no person should have to hear those words.

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227.073 - 235.155 Ryan Knudson

In 2003, then-President George W. Bush announced a new governmental initiative called the President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief, or PEPFAR.

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235.975 - 254.603 Michael M. Phillips

PEPFAR is a program that the United States government finances to combat AIDS worldwide and to treat people who have HIV to prevent them from becoming AIDS patients and then ultimately from dying. And Bush started this program as a way sort of to... reach out to people who cared about Africa.

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254.623 - 266.862 Karl Hoffman

He was exhibiting his own concern about Africa. Yet across that continent, only 50,000 AIDS victims. Only 50,000. are receiving the medicine they need.

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267.722 - 291.995 Michael M. Phillips

And the real innovation of PEPFAR was that the U.S. agreed to pay to keep poor Africans who had HIV infections alive. And the results have been really astounding. Something like 25 or 26 million people in Africa are alive today because the United States helps them stay alive.

292.947 - 310.571 Ryan Knudson

PEPFAR is the largest commitment by any nation to address a single disease in the world. It's credited with not only saving millions of lives in Africa, but also helping prevent HIV from spreading across the globe, in Asia and Latin America. Congress has reauthorized funding for the program every few years since its inception.

311.431 - 325.024 Ryan Knudson

Last year, funding for PEPFAR was estimated at about $6.5 billion, which is less than a tenth of a percent of the US government's $7 trillion total budget. So how successful would you say this program has been?

325.044 - 341.949 Michael M. Phillips

I think that most people would say it's been extraordinarily successful. People who would otherwise be dead by the millions are alive today. So I think, medically speaking, and for many, many, many years, politically speaking, it was a very popular project.

Chapter 5: What are the political perspectives on PEPFAR's role?

342.849 - 352.504 Joe Biden

I had some disagreements with my predecessor. But one of the outstanding things that President Bush did was to initiate the PEPFAR program.

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353.025 - 371.779 Ryan Knudson

Its supporters have also included former Vice President Mike Pence. PEPFAR was an extraordinary bipartisan achievement of compassion. Former President Joe Biden. George W. Bush deserves great credit. And even Trump during his first administration. What we've done for AIDS in Africa is unbelievable. We spent...

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373.237 - 388.442 Ryan Knudson

But when Trump took office a second time, cutting foreign aid funding was one of his first actions. He signed an executive order that essentially froze all of the roughly $65 billion the government spends on foreign aid in total around the world, including PEPFAR.

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389.676 - 409.45 Michael M. Phillips

I think there are people in the administration who believe that the aid industry or the world of foreign assistance was beyond repair in some way, wasn't achieving what they wanted to achieve, wasn't oriented enough towards American self-interest, which is clearly what the America First agenda is.

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410.49 - 416.695 Michael M. Phillips

They just thought that you couldn't fix it a little bit at a time and you had to fix it or kill it all at once.

417.674 - 430.873 Ryan Knudson

One reason the Trump administration says it paused aid is that much of it doesn't align with Trump's politics. Last week, Press Secretary Caroline Leavitt stood in front of the White House and listed off international aid programs that the Trump administration sees as wasteful.

432.205 - 448.052 Caroline Leavitt

$70,000 for a production of a DEI musical in Ireland. $47,000 for a transgender opera in Colombia. $32,000 for a transgender comic book in Peru. I don't know about you, but as an American taxpayer, I don't want my dollars going towards this crap.

449.152 - 471.528 Ryan Knudson

U.S. federal funds did go to all these programs through the State Department, although the amount of federal money spent on that opera in Colombia was actually closer to $25,000, not $47,000. So was PEPFAR just caught in the crossfire then? Because obviously it's not a program that's supposed to have anything to do with DEI.

Chapter 6: Why did the Trump administration pause foreign aid programs?

472.209 - 494.204 Michael M. Phillips

I think the freeze on PEPFAR and everything else was very intentional. You'd have to know absolutely nothing about U.S. foreign assistance to not know about PEPFAR. I don't know what percentage of foreign aid has anything to do with diversity and those issues. It's not very large. I think we can be confident of that. Most of it is simply helping other people.

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495.004 - 503.971 Michael M. Phillips

And then, you know, there's a debate about whether that's what you want to do with taxpayer money. I won't make a judgment about that, but the administration has clearly signaled what their judgment is.

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504.969 - 521.444 Ryan Knudson

On PEPFAR specifically, the Trump administration has sent mixed messages. Clinics around the world are closed, and there isn't much guidance from the State Department. But Trump's Secretary of State, Marco Rubio, said he supports PEPFAR, and the administration says that some life-saving activities can get a waiver to resume work.

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521.964 - 531.032 Michael M. Phillips

The problem is, the waiver itself has to be approved. It's not just a blanket waiver, go out and spend the money that was already allocated.

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531.735 - 542.645 Ryan Knudson

meaning each PEPFAR program has to get specific approval. And since so much work has stopped back in Washington, D.C. because of the freeze, in some cases, people on the ground don't know who to call for help.

543.566 - 557.032 Michael M. Phillips

You've got nobody to call up and say, okay, you know, you and I have been working together for five years. Here's my new budget. There's no one that answered the phone. So it's like a promise of a waiver has been issued, but the waivers themselves have not.

557.812 - 570.44 Michael M. Phillips

So there's a lot of confusion amongst the people who implement these AIDS programs as to whether they can actually go ahead and give out drugs to people who are sick. And so the chaos around these programs is extraordinary.

571.547 - 586.054 Ryan Knudson

The State Department says some waivers for life-saving programs have been issued. And yesterday, a judge ruled that USAID funding should be allowed to flow again temporarily. But our colleagues in Africa say that doesn't seem to be happening yet.

586.854 - 596.138 Ryan Knudson

In Uganda, Zambia, and the Democratic Republic of the Congo, hundreds of health workers who were being paid under PEPFAR were told to go home, and they haven't gone back to work.

Chapter 7: Is there a path forward for PEPFAR under current policies?

678.82 - 685.607 Ryan Knudson

So how would you describe and how would you characterize what traditionally has been the role of U.S. aid abroad?

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686.664 - 713.07 Karl Hoffman

The US foreign aid enterprise, not just USAID, but the other parts of it too, are really about improving conditions in places far away so that threats don't manifest close to home. That's the underlying principle. It's better for Americans if people far away are healthier, more productive, safer, because that makes us healthier, more productive, and safer.

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714.318 - 728.623 Karl Hoffman

This is sometimes called soft power, but as somebody said to me the other day, soft power is power, and we should not be throwing it away at a time of great power competition for hearts and minds around the world.

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728.643 - 742.148 Ryan Knudson

So what do you make of the fact that the Trump administration and a number of his supporters seem to think that this is not money that the U.S. taxpayer should be spending money on?

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742.987 - 758.739 Karl Hoffman

That's a very understandable point of view, and it's been a longstanding view, I think. I mean, a lot of Americans are under the misimpression that foreign aid is a huge part of the federal budget. And we should be spending that money at home.

759.599 - 778.349 Karl Hoffman

But the whole foreign aid expenditure of the U.S., including the cost of the entire State Department, all of our contributions to the U.N., all the investments in global health, everything the U.S. does under the broad definition of foreign aid, foreign engagement on the civilian side is 1% of the federal budget.

778.991 - 780.932 Ryan Knudson

It's still tens of billions of dollars, though.

781.232 - 789.217 Karl Hoffman

Yeah, it's true. It's a lot of money. But the idea that we can sort of balance the budget by eliminating foreign aid, which you sometimes hear, is a fallacy.

792.879 - 797.862 Ryan Knudson

In Carl's view, the billions of dollars the U.S. spends on foreign aid has compounding benefits.

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