Three years into Russia's invasion of Ukraine, Ryan McBeth brings us in from Out of the Loop to explain tech advances, geopolitical shifts, and what's next.Full show notes and resources can be found here: jordanharbinger.com/1134Welcome to what we're calling our "Out of the Loop" episodes, where we dig a little deeper into fascinating current events that may only register as a blip on the media's news cycle and have conversations with the people who find themselves immersed in them.On This Episode of Out of the Loop:Three years in, the Ukraine conflict initiated by Russian invasion is deeply intertwined with broader global power plays, shifting alliances in NATO, and the rising influence of China — underscoring that military conflicts today are as much about political maneuvering as they are about battlefield tactics.The speed of technological advances — such as fiberoptic–tethered drones and adaptive intelligence systems — is reshaping modern combat with development cycles dropping from months to weeks.Russia is running low on armored vehicles (with only about 200-400 left from Soviet-era stockpiles), but has become more dangerous due to the combat experience gained during three years of war, making their military more adaptable and effective.Ukraine provides valuable intelligence to NATO through a school in Poland (JATEC), where Ukrainian soldiers share battlefield lessons about Russian tactics, electronic warfare, drone usage, and other combat insights that NATO countries would otherwise have to learn the hard way.Despite multifaceted challenges, Ukraine’s experience provides a live case study in resilience and rapid innovation. By embracing agile production methods, decentralized innovation, and strategic intelligence, Ukraine and its partners can learn to adapt more effectively to modern warfare conditions. Policymakers and military planners can use these lessons to foster systems that are flexible, continuously improving, and better prepared for future conflicts.And much more!Connect with Jordan on Twitter, on Instagram, and on YouTube. If you have something you'd like us to tackle here on an Out of the Loop episode, drop Jordan a line at jordan@jordanharbinger.com and let him know!Connect with Ryan McBeth at his website, Twitter, Instagram, and on YouTube. If you’d like to stay on top of what’s happening in the world, subscribe to Ryan’s Substack!And if you're still game to support us, please leave a review here — even one sentence helps! Consider including your Twitter handle so we can thank you personally!This Episode Is Brought To You By Our Fine Sponsors: jordanharbinger.com/dealsSign up for Six-Minute Networking — our free networking and relationship development mini course — at jordanharbinger.com/course!Subscribe to our once-a-week Wee Bit Wiser newsletter today and start filling your Wednesdays with wisdom!Do you even Reddit, bro? Join us at r/JordanHarbinger!See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Chapter 1: What is the focus of the Ukraine 2025 episode?
theoretically, you can pay somebody to do that or figure out how to do that if you have the warhead in your possession.
Yes, that's correct. Eventually, you will be able to do that. That's what we're afraid of. And also, a lot of people don't know that you can't just take a nuclear weapon off the shelf and detonate it. The reason we came up with these permissive action links is that originally our nuclear weapons were essentially protected with bike locks. Like back in the 1950s, 1960s.
Wow. These people have never seen a angle grinder, I guess.
Yeah. One Air Force guy grabbed a plane that happened to have a nuclear weapon on it, took off, flew around for a while, and Russia went absolutely nuts that we allowed that to happen.
He just sort of went for a joyride and he had a nuclear weapon on board?
Don't even know if this guy knew whether he had a nuclear weapon on board or not, but yeah.
That's mildly terrifying. I mean, we had so many close calls with this thing. Like, what's the story with the Russian guy? They saw the launch and he's like, this doesn't look right. And he didn't launch. And it turned out to be like a reflection. And it almost ended the entire world. You know what I'm talking about?
The man who saved the world.
Yes.
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Chapter 2: How is the Russia-Ukraine conflict evolving geopolitically?
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All right, now back to Ryan McBeth. Jeez, how much of this is automated? Isn't AI but no wire the next thing? You can jam whatever you want. The thing's not remote control anymore.
It's already a thing. Ukraine actually has, it's almost like a copy of the Shahid. Seth, that was the name of it. Seth kind of looks like a mini Iranian Shahid. But Ukraine has a drone where they essentially set the drone up and they say, OK, you need to go after a target that looks like this. And if that target isn't available, then you need to find another kind of target.
So you essentially program the stuff drone where you say, all right, find something that looks like this tank. If you can't find a tank, find an armored personnel carrier. If you can't find an armored personnel carrier, find a truck and so on. And then they just launch that and it's totally automated. We already have computer controlled killers. That's already here.
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