
In this episode of The David Frum Show, The Atlantic’s David Frum discusses how misinformation, distrust in science, and extremist rhetoric are fueling a deadly resurgence of preventable diseases in the United States—and urges clear and responsible leadership to protect public health. He’s then joined by Alan Bernstein, the director of global health at the University of Oxford, to examine the long-term consequences of the right’s war on science and vaccine research. Finally, David answers listener questions on creating laws to counter Donald Trump’s norm violations, on David’s confidence in the future of free and fair elections, and on how to teach civics to high schoolers in the Trump era. Get more from your favorite Atlantic voices when you subscribe. You’ll enjoy unlimited access to Pulitzer-winning journalism, from clear-eyed analysis and insight on breaking news to fascinating explorations of our world. Subscribe today at TheAtlantic.com/podsub. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Chapter 1: Who is Alan Bernstein and why is he a key guest on this episode?
My guest today is Alan Bernstein, Director of Global Public Health at Oxford University. Alan Bernstein there coordinates all the health and medical research across the vast domain of Oxford University and tries to ensure that scientists talk to each other and talk to the public in ways that benefit the safety of the whole planet.
Before that, Alan served as the founder and president of the Canadian Institutes for Health Research, a coordinating body for health research across all of Canada, much like the Centers for Disease Control in the United States. And before that, he rose to fame and eminence as one of the world's leading researchers in cancer and virology. So I'm very glad to be joined today by Alan Bernstein.
Chapter 2: What is causing the resurgence of preventable diseases like measles in the US?
And first, some preliminary remarks on the subjects we'll be talking about in today's discussion. As I record this episode in late April 2025, the United States is gripped by an outbreak of measles. More than 800 cases have been diagnosed in 24 states. Three people are dead, two of them unvaccinated school-age children, one of them an unvaccinated adult.
We are only about one third of the way through the year 2025. And yet the United States has suffered nearly triple the number of cases of measles in 2025 as it did in all of 2024. The measles is caused, of course, by a pathogen. But it is enabled by human ignorance and human neglect. Rising numbers of children are going unvaccinated.
About a third of American children fail to get the full suite of vaccines that the CDC's Centers for Disease Control recommends. And about 7% of American children go unvaccinated against measles, mumps, and rubella. These are invitations to human harm and human suffering.
And they come about because of a rise in American attitudes of ignorance and unawareness about the causes of disease and how diseases are prevented. Let me read you a recent statement from the Kaiser Family Foundation, an important source of health and medical research information. Here's Kaiser.
When it comes to false claims that the measles vaccines have been proven to cause autism, or that vitamin A can prevent the measles infections, or that getting the measles vaccine is more dangerous than becoming infected with measles, less than 5% of adults say they think these claims are definitely true, and much larger share say they are definitely false.
That's the good news, returning to Kaiser. However, at least half of adults are uncertain about whether these claims are true or false, falling in the malleable middle and saying each claim is either probably true or probably false.
While at least half of adults express some level of uncertainty, partisans differ in the shares who say each of these false claims is definitely probably true, with Republicans and independents at least twice as likely as Democrats to believe or lean toward believing each false claim about measles.
One third of Republicans and a quarter of independents say it is definitely or probably true that the MMR vaccines have been proven to cause autism compared to one in 10 Democrats. Three in 10 Republicans and independents say it is definitely or probably true that vitamin A can prevent measles, compared to 14% of Democrats.
And one in five Republicans and independents believe or lean toward believing that the measles vaccine is more dangerous than measles infection, compared to about one in 10 Democrats. Republicans are believing things that are putting their own children at risk. We see again here how the mega cult is becoming a death cult that consumes the lives of its believers.
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Chapter 3: How do political beliefs influence vaccine misinformation and public health outcomes?
It's a little unpleasant to contemplate the explanation of what they thought they were doing, but we can measure the effect of what they were doing in lost lives.
And now the spread of measles and the shrinkage of measles vaccines, according to political affiliation, we can see the same horrible process of death by political partisanship reoccurring in the middle 2020s as at the beginning of the 2020s.
Against this spread of weaponized ignorance, what is needed is the clearest possible messages from everyone in positions of authority, whether public or private. that it is your duty as a parent to see that your child is vaccinated against preventable disease. And if your children are unvaccinated, you have failed in your duty as a parent.
And that is a message that needs to be spread by everyone who's in a position to spread a message.
And the authorities should also say that in the hard cases where it can be shown that a child died because of an intentional failure by the parent to vaccinate the child, that parent should be held to account in much the same way as, in my opinion, if the child died because of an unsecured firearm in the child's home left there by a parent, the parent should be held to account.
Protecting your child is your most important duty as a parent. Put the gun in a safe and make sure the child is vaccinated. And yet, instead, we're seeing people put into positions of high authority who are not only hesitant to spread that message, but in fact, are the leading hoaxsters and fraudsters against the vaccines.
At the head of the Department of Health and Human Services is the most notorious proponent of letting people suffer the measles death, of spreading false claims, outrageous claims, debunked claims, exploded claims against the vaccines. And by the way... demeaning and insulting people who struggle with autism. People with autism can live meaningful lives.
Yet according to our present secretary, there are no better than wasted lives and useless people who need to be counted in some kind of registry so we can keep tab of their numbers for what sinister purpose who can barely begin to imagine, but clearly not for a purpose of respect and dignity.
And because of this outrageous and cruel lack of regard for people who are on the autism spectrum, many of which spans a lot of cases, both worse cases and less bad cases. He is urging Americans or he has over his lifetime urged Americans to leave their children unvaccinated.
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Chapter 4: What is the current state of American scientific institutions and research funding?
And I'm Yasmin Tayag, a staff writer at The Atlantic. This season, we're going to find out if longevity culture is keeping pace with the science. And what we can learn about taking a different approach to aging. Listen to How to Age Up. New episodes of How to Age Up come out every Monday. Listen and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts.
Alan Bernstein, welcome to The David Frum Show. Thank you for joining us. You have spent your career as a practitioner of science, as a director of science, as an advisor to governments about science. It looks to those of us who are not scientists, Like the government of the United States is engaged in a campaign against science of almost unprecedented historic proportions.
As you and I speak, there is a measles outbreak in the United States. Actually, there are 10 separate outbreaks, 800 cases, three dead as of the time we speak. There are dramatic firings and cuts to government agencies, the National Institutes for Health, the vaccine program. progress toward cures for Alzheimer's and Parkinson's is supposed to have been slowed or maybe halted altogether.
And of course, there are these extraordinary pressures on medical and scientific research at universities. So if you would offer your assessment of how much has been done to science in the United States in these past weeks.
So first, David, it's a pleasure to be on the show with you. First of all, backing up a little bit and just saying how important science has been to America's success. I think people don't quite appreciate that, but it goes back to actually World War II. And Harry Truman, when he was president, realized that in one way, science kind of won the war. It wasn't just the atomic bomb.
It was penicillin, it was radar, it was sonar. And so he asked a guy called Vannevar Bush, I don't think it's a relation to the other Bushes, to make some recommendations about what America should do. And he wrote what's a famous book in scientific circles called Science, the Endless Frontier.
And in that book, Bush recommended that America invest heavily in science, and particularly in American universities, because it would lead to economic well-being, it would lead to power in the world, it would lead to security for America. And I don't know that anybody at that time appreciated just how right he was.
Because if you look at the growth of the American economy and the growth of American well-being and health outcomes, anything you want to measure, the numbers are anywhere between 20 to 40 to 50 percent of America's well-being, if you will, and growth in GDP and all those things was due to science and innovation.
Today, as we're witnessing kind of the destruction of the institutions behind American science, It's hard to believe that any administration would do this. All right. Well, destruction is a dramatic word. How severe is the damage? I think it's very severe. And it's not just my own personal view. I was talking to a close friend at Stanford, actually.
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Chapter 5: How does immigration policy affect scientific research and innovation in the US?
You do, actually. That's sort of the etymology of American funding institutions. And there are some that cover at least two. So the NIH, for example— has a very large so-called intramural program that funds research within government in Bethesda, Maryland. And then there's also institutions that actually fund, the NIH also funds science at American universities. So it does both.
You also left off in that list a very important one, the Department of Energy. It funds about a billion dollars worth of research, both in-house and at American universities. And as you might imagine, the Department of Energy traditionally has been one of the leading research institutions for funding research on climate change.
And renewable energy. So there are budget cuts. There are personnel cuts. There also is this immigration squeeze, because the United States has often worked by attracting talent from all over the world, setting them to work in American universities. Many of those people then stay for the rest of their lives.
Or science being so global, there are many people in the scientific world who have spouses or partners who come from other countries. And their spouses or partners are under pressure, causing those scientists to reconsider their their own careers. Tell me a little bit about the way that the immigration pressures affect science.
Well, again, historically, America has been a magnet for scientific talent for almost the entire 20th century. It started with a flood during World War II when many emigres from Germany, Austria, France came to the US. And they set an important precedent The success in building the atomic bomb under Oppenheimer was in large part due to those emigres.
You know, the one person that jumps out to me is Enrique Fermi, who went to Fermi Labs in the University of Chicago. He was an emigre from Italy. And there's many, many others. That tradition has continued. And young people from around the world want to come to America to do science for lots of obvious reasons, I think. One is the institutions are so strong. They have the resources.
They have the energy, the culture of we can do anything. And if it's going to be done, it's going to be done in America. That sort of bravado is so characteristically American. And it's evaporating before our eyes.
Secondly, of course, having the immigration people descending on some of the immigrants who are here on visas in the United States and either taking them away and imprisoning them or sending them home at the drop of a hat without any kind of hearing is sending a clear signal, not an ambiguous one, a clear signal, you are not welcome in the United States anymore.
And so if I was a young person working in Europe, Canada, Australia, you name it, I would not go to the United States at the moment to do my postgraduate degree or training. It just wouldn't happen. And indeed, I think that that pipeline of talent from abroad has probably shut down completely.
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Chapter 6: Why is there special hostility toward infectious disease research under current leadership?
Kennedy's promised some kind of big review in September. I don't know why he's taking that long. He knows the answer he wants and is going to enforce. He could do it tomorrow. Why the pretense that there's any real work here? And we are seeing this extraordinary outbreak or outbreaks of measles across the United States. How does that connect with government policy?
How alarmed should people be about these outbreaks?
You know, what's particularly frustrating for me, and I'm sure many of my colleagues in American science and biomedical research in particular, is we are in a golden age in biomedical research. It is such an exciting time to be in this field, including in the vaccine field, because vaccines have been traditionally – used against infectious disease.
Indeed, it's hard to estimate the number of lives that have been saved because you can't count what hasn't happened. It's hard to count that. You can count how many people die, but you can't count how many people you've saved. It's of the order of hundreds of millions of people around the world whose lives have been saved because of vaccines.
Chapter 7: What are the historic achievements of vaccines and why should we value them?
Chapter 8: How can clear and responsible leadership protect public health and counter misinformation?
I think one of the reasons why it tended to maybe before the Trump era be so prevalent on certain parts of like the vegetarian left. If you believe that nature is kind and good and benign and the only wickedness is human.
And if you are unaware of how massively human lives were at risk from disease before the modern era, it may seem like, why am I intruding into my beautiful child's body, this sharp needle that makes them squawk for a moment, and introducing these foreign substances? Why would I do that when nature wants us all to live and rejoice? Well, nature doesn't want you to live and rejoice.
Nature is utterly indifferent to your hopes and wishes. And if it were up to nature, half your children would be dead. And you'd be dead too by age 50 at the latest. Nature is not our friend. Nature is a resource that we must protect and steward. But it is not our friend. It does not wish us well. It doesn't have wishes at all.
I think some of the anti-vax cult also comes from another myth, the myth of malign government. Not just that government is inefficient as it often is and clumsy as it often is.
but that actually there's some kind of secret conspiracy up there of people who, for some bizarre and nefarious purpose, want to prevent Americans from enjoying the beneficent benignity of nature and instead want to inject them with all of these artificial products like seatbelts.
I think this is the part of the myth that has gained the upper hand most recently, this myth of conspiracy and government in other high places. But the truth, nature is not benign and government is not malign. But there are a lot of fraudsters out there. That's the truth. And they have more ways of reaching people than ever before.
And the cost of these frauds is becoming ever more terrible in lost human lives. So as you listen to my talk today about Alan Bernstein, we're going to talk about many of these issues. I think we're going to try to talk as dispassionately as possible. But as I talk about them, I'm really angry about this. I'm really angry about this.
It should be one of those things that just as there are no Republican and Democrat ways to sweep the streets, shovel the snow, there should be no Republican or Democrat way, disagreement about protecting our children from preventable diseases. All of us should salute vaccination. It's one of the most magnificent achievements of human civilization.
One of the ways that marks us off from all the sad eras that went before us, when parents had to grieve half their children before their third birthday or before their 20th birthday. We have an opportunity to live better, healthier lives than ever before in history. How could we refuse such a thing?
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