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The Bulwark Podcast

S2 Ep1024: Anne Applebaum: Everything Is a Game to Trump

Fri, 18 Apr 2025

Description

Sen. Van Hollen showed that Congress actually does have agency, and a federal judge finally scorched the administration in crystal-clear language about how it's violating the essence of our constitutional republic. But the White House is just treating the whole Abrego Garcia affair like it's a joke. Meanwhile, Trump is elevating his own businesses over the nation's, and is quickly adopting the kleptocratic models of Russia and China—while overlooking the fact that the Chinese have maintained a functional and competent government. Plus, children all over the world are going to die because Elon wants our money to go to his companies, and Marco signaled that the big talker who promised to end the Russia-Ukraine war in 24 hours is ready to give up and walk away. Anne Applebaum joins Tim Miller for the weekend pod. show notes Anne's recent piece, "Kleptocracy, Inc." The Atlantic on Trump ending lifesaving humanitarian aid JVL's Triad on the mindset of ICE agents Tim's playlist

Audio
Transcription

Chapter 1: Who are the hosts and guests in this episode?

28.353 - 43.499 Tim Miller

Hallo und willkommen zu The Bulwark Podcast. Ich bin euer Host Tim Miller. Ich bin begeistert, hier mit Staff Writer at The Atlantic zu sein. Ihre Bücher sind Autocracy Inc., Twilight of Democracy und die Pulitzer Prize gewinnende Gulag A History. Es ist Anne Applebaum. Lass uns das machen, Anne.

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43.519 - 47.36 Tim Miller

Wie geht es dir?

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47.38 - 62.127 Tim Miller

Ich bin gut. Ich bin gut. Wie bist du? Gut genug, ja. Gut genug. Ich bin gut genug, hier in meiner persönlichen Leben. Geben all die Gulag News out there. I was talking to Katie and I was like, we better get Ian Applebaum on. Who better to have than the author of Gulag History?

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Chapter 2: What is the significance of the Kilmar Abrego-Garcia case and Congressional intervention?

62.167 - 89.363 Tim Miller

We had a minor, maybe positive green shoot late Thursday night when Chris Van Hollen got to meet with Kilmar Abrego-Garcia, possibly the first known person to actually get out of So I worried a little bit about why they let out Abrego Garcia to meet Chris Van Hollen. I mean, clearly, well, one of the reasons was to show he wasn't dead, which people were beginning to wonder about.

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101.946 - 120.633 Anne Applebaum

But it also, the way it was staged, you know, it was meant to say, look, this guy is absolutely fine, there's nothing wrong with him, he was wearing clean clothes, he was in some kind of restaurant-looking setting. It was clearly designed to show that nothing all that bad is happening. So I worried about that aspect of it. Obviously the fact, you know, a U.S.

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120.673 - 144.27 Anne Applebaum

Senator is willing to go there and put his reputation on the line and, you know, make an effort to save an innocent person from... A horrific and pointless fate is fantastic. And it's you know, I think it's gestures like these that will remind people that Congress has agency and senators can do things. I'm pleased that he did it. I mean, of course, what matters now is what happens next.

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144.31 - 192.133 Anne Applebaum

Does the administration listen to the Supreme Court, which has demanded that. Oh, das ist interessant. Ich wusste das nicht. It means Main Camp Administration. And SISOT is also an acronym. And, you know, these are names given to institutions that have unclear powers and exist outside of the rule of law.

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192.194 - 219.034 Anne Applebaum

And SISOT, from our point of view, is doubly outside the rule of law because it's outside of our country. So it's outside of our legal jurisdiction. It exists according to the unclear laws of some other country. Es ist vielleicht einfacher, mit Abrego Garcia zu sympathisieren, weil er unnötig ist und der Vater eines autistischen Kindes ist und er hat nie das Gesetz gebrochen.

219.963 - 243.961 Anne Applebaum

And he's married to a U.S. citizen and so on. But really, even the ugliest and most unpleasant people who were sent into this lawless zone, that was a grave violation of the spirit of our Constitution. What a rule of law society is designed to be is one where there aren't exceptions, there aren't emergencies, there aren't gray areas and gray zones.

243.981 - 255.284 Anne Applebaum

We have some already in our system, but this is an expansion of that. And it really is profoundly disturbing. And, you know, for that reason alone, it's really right that Senator Van Hollen went there to make that point.

255.52 - 263.644 Tim Miller

Yeah, do you worry at all about the propaganda side of it, with the taking him out? I guess that's the thing that I don't, it's hard for me to process, like, so, why did they do it, right?

263.664 - 277.791 Tim Miller

Like, there's the positive way to look at that, which is that he responded to pressure, you know, Van Halen is there, I've pointed out at a press conference that El Salvador is a party to this international covenant on civil and political rights, and as part of being that covenant, they...

Chapter 3: How is propaganda used in the Abrego-Garcia affair?

299.377 - 322.302 Tim Miller

Gregor Garcia ist ein schlechter MS-13-Mann, und die Demokraten werden sich aussehen, als würden sie MS-13-Mann zocken. Ich denke nur daran, wie das in anderen Ländern funktioniert. Es ist schwer für mich, meine Hände zu wenden, ob wir denken, dass Bukele das in Bezug auf Schwierigkeiten gemacht hat, wie in Bezug auf Druck, oder ob es ein Propagandaprogramm war.

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323.103 - 346.102 Anne Applebaum

Oh, I mean, it was certainly a propaganda tool. And, you know, everything is about how it's packaged and how it's sold. Probably it matters as much inside El Salvador as it does in the US. You know, this will be an effort to, you know, to portray the prisons as nice places and the regime as fair. And maybe, as you say, also to somehow smear this particular man.

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346.182 - 369.76 Anne Applebaum

You know, that doesn't mean that we are, we meaning the broader community, American community of people who still care about due process and the rule of law. We Democrats and Republicans and members of the legal establishment can't also use this incident as a way of making our points. And so I hope that we, I hope we find a way to do it.

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369.8 - 388.449 Anne Applebaum

But yeah, I mean, you know, when you're dealing with a regime like that, like everything is a game and everything is a trick and everything, you know, will be somehow used to attack you. It's important maybe that Americans start to learn that propaganda is not just words or images. Propaganda is also actions.

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388.769 - 412.252 Anne Applebaum

You can seek to make a political point through doing things, through staging events, through executive orders or through singling people out. Regimes like that of Bukele are adept at creating situations that are designed to um einen bestimmten Effekt zu haben. Und deshalb ist es Teil dessen, was die Antwort sein muss.

412.432 - 438.948 Tim Miller

Gibt es andere Lessons oder Vergleiche, die Sie sich vorstellen können? Für mich ist das natürlich ein bisschen wie ein Testplatz für die Trump-Administration. Sie legen den Fuß in die Wasser, um zu sehen, was sie mitnehmen können. Ich muss mir vorstellen, dass das... Slow walking towards the type of place where you're sending more and more people to prison camps such as this.

438.968 - 449.212 Tim Miller

There have got to be parallels, right? I don't know. I'm just wondering, as you've been watching this play out, has it struck any memories from the research you were doing for the book?

449.232 - 464.47 Anne Applebaum

The Gulag was also something that developed very slowly and it began with justifications. These were labor camps. People who had committed some minor crime or some offense or were a problem for the state were going to be made useful to the state.

464.51 - 486.121 Anne Applebaum

So there was a whole ideology about labor and work and how these people were working off their crimes or their misdemeanors and they were contributing to the construction of socialism. And that was the slow build-up to it. But of course, as time went on and as it expanded, the faster it expanded, there were a couple moments when it went very fast, you know, in the 1930s.

Chapter 4: What historical parallels exist between the Gulag system and current prison camps?

754.399 - 771.148 Tim Miller

Weiterhin beurteilt es im Grunde, dass es, weil es sich von der Beurteilung gerettet hat, nichts machen kann. Das sollte nicht nur den Juden schockierend sein, sondern auch dem intuitiven Sinn der Freiheit, that Americans far removed from courthouses still hold dear. Extremely blunt from a Reagan appointee judge there.

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771.949 - 791.222 Anne Applebaum

And this is the kind of statement that we've been waiting for. I mean, this is what the courts should be doing. They should be making it absolutely as clear as possible why this is a violation of, it's not just the law, it's the essence of our constitutional republic. A rule of law, it's older than American democracy.

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791.262 - 811.575 Anne Applebaum

I mean, preceding the Declaration of Independence and preceding the Constitution, there were courts in colonial America, there were arguments about independence of judges. One of the reasons for the American Revolution was the fear that judges were being influenced by the king. Colonists wanted independent judges. They wanted also separation of powers.

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811.615 - 838.006 Anne Applebaum

Those arguments have been around for, as I said, longer than the United States itself. And the rule of law is a very deep part of how the US became prosperous, how we remain a unified republic, how we became one of the leaders in the world, how we came to be widely admired, at least by some people some of the time, how we came to be so influential, why so many people imitated us.

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838.066 - 857.918 Anne Applebaum

I mean, it wasn't just democracy. I mean, actually the The flaws of our electoral system are pretty clear to everybody else, especially to people who live in parliamentary democracies and have somewhat more civilized politics than we do. But the advantages of the separation of powers and the rule of law is clear, even in countries that aren't democracies.

857.978 - 878.302 Anne Applebaum

So I think the judge, by drawing everyone's attention to this really basic point, has done us a huge favor. And the more, I would say, the more that the judiciary can speak in plain English and und nicht komplizierte juristische Sprache benutzen, desto mehr werden sie es den Amerikanern durchführen. Ich meine, ich denke, die Amerikaner haben diesen grundlegenden Sinn.

878.342 - 893.877 Anne Applebaum

Wir haben dieses Gefühl, das ist ein freies Land. Es gibt Dinge, die wir uns über uns sagen, dass ich denke, einige davon ist so viel in Verletzung der grundlegenden Selbstdefinition, wer wir sind, dass es über Partisanship hinausgeht, hoffe ich. Ja, speaking of before the declaration, I was struck by this from...

904.065 - 915.759 Tim Miller

The Magna Carta 1215, the other day, no free man shall be seized, imprisoned, dispossessed, outlawed, exiled or ruined in any way except by the lawful judgment of his peers and the law of the land. And this is pretty old material.

915.819 - 924.548 Anne Applebaum

It's pretty old material. And those ideas, which were English ideas, you know, are the basis of our legal system, too, at some, you know, long time ago.

Chapter 5: What legal challenges has the administration faced regarding detainees?

1380.053 - 1405.842 Anne Applebaum

illegal deportations i mean if you don't begin to react when the law is broken and when you're referring to the emoluments clause of the constitution which says that you know american leaders can't take money in any form from foreigners or from foreign governments which you know trump now blatantly does you know when those things aren't enforced when they're broken then that makes it much easier for somebody to push you know you open the door a crack and then it can be burst open

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1406.206 - 1424.736 Anne Applebaum

Es kann zu einem bestimmten Zeitpunkt geöffnet werden. Ich habe keine Antwort darauf. Vielleicht haben Sie eine Meinung dazu. Während des ersten Termins von Trump haben viele Leute gefeuert, dass die Leute, die über Demokratie oder Gesetzesverbrechen gesprochen haben, hysterisch waren und sie exagerierten.

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1424.796 - 1445.384 Anne Applebaum

Es gab das Trump-Derangement-Syndrom und sie reagierten überreaktiv zu Dingen, die Trump gemacht hatte. I never knew quite whether that was right or not. It's true that if you speak at a very high pitch the whole time, then people stop listening to you. So there's something right about that. On the other hand, it certainly looks in retrospect like we underreacted.

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1445.524 - 1463.6 Anne Applebaum

We underreacted to the corruption. We underreacted to the beginnings of oligarchy. We certainly underreacted to January the 6th and a whole series of violations after that. And that people are only beginning to see that now, you know, years later. ist tragisch. Ich meine, jetzt ist es ein bisschen zu spät.

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1463.68 - 1467.445 Anne Applebaum

Ich meine, jetzt ist das Pferd aus dem Garten, weißt du, was auch immer Metapher du benutzen willst.

1468.458 - 1490.113 Tim Miller

My only thought on that is 100% agree. I don't know how to fix that. The image I always bring up whenever people talk about overreacting is, if you went back and showed a front page of the newspaper the day after January 6th to anyone in January of 2015, they would say, that is impossible, that is insane, there's no way that could happen here, right?

1490.173 - 1508.649 Tim Miller

And so then, how can you convince the people that would have had that view in January 2015 to act So wie sie es im Januar 2021 oder 2025 haben. Es ist wie ein menschlicher Instinkt. Es ist mehr ein psychologischer als ein politischer Frage. Menschen sind adaptabel.

1508.709 - 1524.121 Tim Miller

Und ich glaube, vielleicht gibt es eine Lektion hier von dem anderen Artikel, den du geschrieben hast, den ich referieren möchte, nämlich dieses Amerika's future is hungry. Und ich weiß nicht, ob es Möglichkeiten gibt, dass wir von dem lernen können, welche Bedingungen es jetzt gibt. Ich meine, ein solches Beispiel ist genau an diesem Punkt.

1524.221 - 1538.689 Tim Miller

Ich glaube, Orban versuchte Menschen, in seinem Sohn- und Sohnhotels zu bleiben. Das ist nur eine direkte Vergleiche zu dem, was wir hier sehen. Aber was ist noch, seit wir vielleicht ein bisschen hinter der Zeitung sind, passiert da, das eine nützliche Lektion sein könnte?

Chapter 6: How is kleptocracy affecting the US government under Trump’s administration?

1734.825 - 1744.951 Tim Miller

That must be somebody in the back of the heritage building. They don't even realize the guy is still back there. He's been there since 1983. It's like, we got to fire this guy that's coming up with a bad metric here.

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1746.836 - 1792.764 Anne Applebaum

It's some kind of index they do. And Hungary ranks near the bottom in Europe. And the point is that all these measures, these kind of flamboyant transformation of By some measures, they're poorer than Romanians, which is one of their historic rivals, which annoys them in particular. But it's also a really profoundly corrupt country.

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1792.804 - 1810.616 Anne Applebaum

Something like, depending on how you count, like 20 to 30 percent of Hungarian companies are in effect part of this group of companies who are reliant on, who have special arrangements with the government. They prosper because they get access to lucrative government contracts. And so the hotel that you read about, where

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1811.329 - 1830.295 Anne Applebaum

Orban's son-in-law owns, he owns a bunch of stuff actually, but you know, the hotel that they were trying to get dignitaries to stay in, you know, that's just one tiny piece of it. I mean, the son-in-law has had lucrative procurement, you know, contracts. all kinds of special relationships with the state, but he's not the only one.

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1830.335 - 1851.728 Anne Applebaum

And those companies are this huge weight on the Hungarian economy. They're a big chunk of it. They drag it down. You know, they aren't productive. They exist and they're managed in order to please the ruling party. In that sense, they're kind of like Soviet companies used to be. And it's been a disaster for the economy. And the point is, is that authoritarianism makes you poor.

1851.748 - 1874.63 Tim Miller

This is the problem with the link. There's like... I don't know how to do this. This is another political challenge, right? Where the remaining Wall Street Journal Republican types that are out there, they haven't accepted the reality of how far down the path we are towards the authoritarianism element of it. And they think that is, as you were mentioning earlier, like TDS or hyperbolic.

1874.73 - 1882.156 Tim Miller

And since they don't accept the premise, I don't feel like they have... It's also true that, you know, the...

1904.475 - 1923.213 Anne Applebaum

In some ways an economic crisis or a recession, that's one of the best things that could happen by comparison to the other things that could happen because of our destruction of state institutions. ein Cyber-Attack, der die Elektrizitätsgritte auslöst oder so etwas. Ich mache das nur auf. Ich weiß nicht, ob das möglich ist oder nicht.

1923.233 - 1946.716 Anne Applebaum

Aber wenn man Regulatoren eliminiert und wenn man, wenn man Teile des Sicherheitsstaates auslöst, dann riskiert man sich. Und so könnte eine Rezession der Wachstumskolle sein. Ich meine, ich denke, ein Teil des Problems ist auch, dass Menschen von China verletzt werden. Und China ist also ein autoritäres Staat, das sich sehr gut ökonomisch over many years.

Chapter 7: What conflicts of interest involve Elon Musk and government agencies?

Chapter 8: Why is the rule of law crucial for American democracy and how is it challenged?

1468.458 - 1490.113 Tim Miller

My only thought on that is 100% agree. I don't know how to fix that. The image I always bring up whenever people talk about overreacting is, if you went back and showed a front page of the newspaper the day after January 6th to anyone in January of 2015, they would say, that is impossible, that is insane, there's no way that could happen here, right?

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1490.173 - 1508.649 Tim Miller

And so then, how can you convince the people that would have had that view in January 2015 to act So wie sie es im Januar 2021 oder 2025 haben. Es ist wie ein menschlicher Instinkt. Es ist mehr ein psychologischer als ein politischer Frage. Menschen sind adaptabel.

0

1508.709 - 1524.121 Tim Miller

Und ich glaube, vielleicht gibt es eine Lektion hier von dem anderen Artikel, den du geschrieben hast, den ich referieren möchte, nämlich dieses Amerika's future is hungry. Und ich weiß nicht, ob es Möglichkeiten gibt, dass wir von dem lernen können, welche Bedingungen es jetzt gibt. Ich meine, ein solches Beispiel ist genau an diesem Punkt.

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1524.221 - 1538.689 Tim Miller

Ich glaube, Orban versuchte Menschen, in seinem Sohn- und Sohnhotels zu bleiben. Das ist nur eine direkte Vergleiche zu dem, was wir hier sehen. Aber was ist noch, seit wir vielleicht ein bisschen hinter der Zeitung sind, passiert da, das eine nützliche Lektion sein könnte?

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1539.938 - 1563.492 Anne Applebaum

So actually, what happened in Hungary is a little different from what's happening here. What happened in Hungary was a very slow attack on institutions. I mean, it was over a long period of time and it's more the boiling the frog theory. You keep turning up the heat a little bit and the frog doesn't notice and doesn't notice until finally it's dead. So it was hard to pinpoint the moment when

1563.831 - 1583.462 Anne Applebaum

Stopped being a democracy. You know, it was, it was a small, lots and lots of small changes over a long period of time. Orban was able to change the constitution. He kept manipulating it. He undermined the judiciary. There was a slow process of taking over the media, which he mostly did through business groups who were close to him. I mean, it's not like he, there was censorship instead.

1583.482 - 1601.762 Anne Applebaum

There were the media, you know, companies would begin to have a lot of financial trouble and then somebody would take them over and shut them down. You know, that was the, it was rather that system. And until we got to a point where it was suddenly almost impossible to unseat him, he controlled all the media in the country. He controlled 95% of the public conversation.

1601.802 - 1615.292 Anne Applebaum

You know, he took over the universities. He took over all the cultural institutions. And all that stuff happened one by one. I mean, actually what's happening here in the United States is much faster. It's going much faster. The Doge...

1615.865 - 1635.56 Anne Applebaum

Ich glaube, es ist nur Musks persönliche Entscheidung oder vielleicht einige von diesen Kindern persönliche Entscheidung darüber, was sie finanzieren werden oder was sie nicht finanzieren werden. Ich meine, ich weiß nicht mal, ob Trump all diese Dinge vollständig bewusst ist. Ich meine, das kind of thing didn't happen in Hungary.

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