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Real Coffee with Scott Adams

Episode 2735 CWSA 01/30/25

Thu, 30 Jan 2025

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Find my Dilbert 2025 Calendar at: https://dilbert.com/ God's Debris: The Complete Works, Amazon https://tinyurl.com/GodsDebrisCompleteWorks Find my "extra" content on Locals: https://ScottAdams.Locals.com Content: Politics, Potomac Mid-Air Collision, Aaron Rupar, META Lawsuit Settlement, Tesla FSD Unsupervised, Optimus Robots Launch, Gold-Bar Bob Sentenced, Tax Lowering Opposed Democrats, RFK Jr. Hearing, Bernie Sanders Onesie, Big-Pharma Owned Congress, Junk Food Owned Congress, Nicole Shanahan, Edward Snowden, Tulsi Gabbard, Lyme Disease Origin, TDS Jon Stewart, DeepSeek Cost Questions, AI Copyright Ruling, Greenland Purchase, Gitmo Criminal Migrants Holding, Anti-Trump UK Ambassador, Ambassador Peter Mandelson, White House Press Credentials, NGO Funding Halt, Home Schooling, School Choice, US Reading Level Demographics, Scott Adams ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.

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Chapter 1: What tragic event occurred in the Potomac?

46.949 - 68.161 Scott Adams

Well, as you know, the big news, tragically, is a jet crashed with an American Airlines regional flight. It was a Black Hawk jet. And it fell in the Potomac, I guess. The debris from both. Everybody died. It was a mid-air collision, so there was not much chance. And they fell in the icy water.

0

70.241 - 93.435 Scott Adams

So it looks like at least 60 people, which would be all the people on the jet, and maybe a crew of three, I think. Not everybody's been located, but there's not much chance of survival. Zero, basically. So we're still in the fog of war period, but people are speculating, how could this happen?

0

94.095 - 117.48 Scott Adams

It's such a normal thing for there to be traffic in that part of the world, and all of that advanced technology should have seen each other. But that's what people who are not pilots say. Would you like to hear what a pilot says? Which is very different from what you and I are saying. Because here's you and I trying to figure out the situation. Huh.

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118.54 - 142.099 Scott Adams

If I looked out the window of my helicopter, would I be able to see a gigantic airplane coming my way? I think I would. So it doesn't make sense I didn't see it. And if I were in a giant airline, would I be able to see a helicopter coming toward me? Well, of course I would, because... You know, I don't know anything about airplanes, but I can look out a window and I can see a thing.

0

143.219 - 169.302 Scott Adams

But here's what an actual, an expert in Black Hawk helicopters tells us. Here's somebody who follows me on X, so I was alerted to this one. Mark McEtherin says, I was a Black Hawk helicopter crew chief in the Army. Okay, that's exactly who I want to hear from. And not only that, but he was a flight instructor. Okay. Now we're talking to the right person.

170.323 - 199.724 Scott Adams

I want to know, somebody who's an expert in these helicopters, how hard is it to spot other traffic? And the bottom line is, it's super hard, even for the experts. So you could actually have this accident happen without much going wrong. I hate to say it, but It might not be that anybody did anything wrong in quotes. It could have been this is just a really hard thing to do.

201.085 - 222.201 Scott Adams

So he talks about the massive responsibility of the people who are the crew for the helicopter, Blackhawk specifically. And part of their job is to be the extra eyes for the pilot. So they're the ones who are looking for the extra things that the pilot might not spot. And he said, I can tell you after doing this for hundreds of hours,

223.473 - 251.816 Scott Adams

Even when you know exactly where a Black Hawk is and you have night vision goggles on, it is extremely, in all capital letters, hard to see the aircraft. So from the perspective of the commercial flight, seeing it probably wasn't even an option. I mean, it's just really, really, really, really hard to see. So my current view on this is that it's still fog of war.

252.797 - 283.913 Scott Adams

We don't know exactly when wrong, but the most likely is that it was just really, really hard situation for even experienced pilots, even with all the electronics in the world. And it probably was just a very unfortunate, perfect storm of something being in exactly the wrong place at the wrong time. That's my guess. My guess is that there will be no specific blame. I feel like it was just hard.

Chapter 2: How did Aaron Rupar respond to the accident?

711.132 - 735.726 Scott Adams

If you've ever tried, it doesn't seem to work the same way. But I can tell you from my own personal experience, you can change me from your raging anger to, oh, we're good now. We're just an apology, you know, depending on the situation. So this looks like a man-to-man apology, Zuckerberg to Trump, and it looks like the two of them handled it like men. Nicely done.

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737.887 - 759.206 Scott Adams

Some of you are going to say, oh, he's just covering his ass. Yeah, that's what we do, right? And there's some element to that. So it's never just one thing. You know, can Zuckerberg do what makes sense and what he thinks is right? But it also is good for business. It's also good for covering his ass. Nothing wrong with that. Give him a threefer.

0

760.413 - 788.988 Scott Adams

Meanwhile, Elon Musk says that now that the full self-driving capabilities of the Teslas have really reached breakout level, breakout meaning there's no question that the self-driving is safer than the human driver. Just no question. I believe that's over. I think the argument about who's safer, you could just put it completely to rest. So we'll see.

0

789.188 - 810.599 Scott Adams

I mean, we need data to prove it, but I think he's got the data on that. Anyway, so Musk says that Tesla is going to launch full self-driving unsupervised, meaning you don't have to touch the steering wheel or look at the road. And this service will be a paid ride share service in Austin in June.

0

812.367 - 839.244 Scott Adams

now that's a good way to you know take a halfway movement into um the full cyber cab world i think there's gonna be a lot of a lot of work to get that up and running but i'm pretty sure tesla can make that work so in june um that would be a great time to go to austin just to see how it works you know i probably won't do that but I can see how people would.

839.304 - 869.833 Scott Adams

That'd be an awesome American vacation just to go see the future, see how it feels. That'd be great. At the same time, I saw at the Optimus, also Tesla product, the Optimus robot, a little more information than we had about it. And it's 5'8", and it weighs 125 pounds. It can lift 150 pounds. And it can walk at a speed of 1.34 miles per hour.

870.733 - 901.756 Scott Adams

And it looks like the cost, maybe not the first models, but very soon, when they get to production of a million a year, I think, they expect the cost per unit to be $20,000 to $30,000. And it looks like it'll be launched this year. So 2025, if Tesla hits its target, this will be the year that you've got a robot. Now, I don't know what the first one is going to cost.

903.617 - 934.896 Scott Adams

I hate to be the one who spends way too much on the first robot and then six months later it's $25,000. But I really want one. So I would probably overpay. I wouldn't overpay stupid, crazy, idiot money. But I might overpay a little bit. So I'd love to see a price. I'll tell you if I'll pay it. That might help them with the research. But why did they have to make the thing exactly my height?

936.016 - 961.247 Scott Adams

They almost made it my height and my weight. Now, to make me feel like I live in a simulation, because one of the things I worry about with a robot is the same thing I worry about with a dog. I made sure that when we selected Snickers, I wanted to make sure that if things got out of control, I could still win in a fair fight against the dog.

Chapter 3: What are the latest updates on Tesla's self-driving technology?

1225.303 - 1245.3 Scott Adams

answers tough questions better than I maybe have ever seen anybody answer tough questions because he had the data, you know, right in the back of his or the front of his head. He didn't even have to go to the back of his head. He knew exactly what he was talking about. And every one of the gotchas,

0

1246.192 - 1273.189 Scott Adams

He had an explanation that when you were done, you'd say, oh, well, that actually is not what I thought it was. And it really tells you how fake the fake news was because that's all they had. It turns out that the only thing they had was fake news. So when he sits there and calmly explains why it's fake and what the real context is, it's really powerful. So I don't think they laid a glove on him.

0

1273.429 - 1302.997 Scott Adams

He's got maybe another day or so of testifying to a slightly different group, I think. But it's some of the best answers I've seen. But the funniest thing that came out of it was Bernie Sanders and his onesies. If you haven't seen the clip yet, Bernie Sanders thinks he has this real gotcha. Because somebody developed a onesie, which would be a clothing item for a baby or I guess a baby.

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1304.118 - 1330.401 Scott Adams

And the baby clothing would have some had some anti-vax message on it. So Bernie puts that up, puts up a picture of the onesies with the anti-vax message. He says, are you supportive of these onesies? And of course. RFK Jr. had nothing to do with the onesies. Not directly, not indirectly. So he decides not to answer that dumb question, and he just says, I'm supportive of vaccines.

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1331.321 - 1348.469 Scott Adams

Now, first of all, that's a perfect answer. Anything he said other than this sentence, I'm supportive of vaccines, would have been a mistake. Of all the billions and billions of things you could have said, there was only one perfect thing, and he said it. Now, I really noticed that.

1349.395 - 1370.359 Scott Adams

If there's only one perfect thing and everything else is a mistake, if you can find the one perfect thing and you lead with it, I'm supportive of vaccines. There's no hedging on that. Now, it doesn't mean every vaccine doesn't mean he wants to do it without testing, but he's generally supportive. So that should have been the end of the questioning, right?

1372.819 - 1400.828 Scott Adams

Once he says I'm in favor of vaccines, which is the opposite of the message on that onesie, Well, we're done here, right? But Bernie apparently had gone through the trouble to make this visual, and he wasn't going to quit on it. So he starts doing this ridiculous, are you supportive of the onesie? Well, I support vaccines. But what about the onesie? What about the onesie? Tell us about the onesie.

1403.69 - 1436.114 Scott Adams

And you could just see people behind RFK Jr. like Megyn Kelly just laughing. And then RFK Jr., he can't stifle his own laugh. So the video that got the most play was RFK Jr. literally laughing at Bernie being just a total idiot on this point. I mean, I respect Bernie in a lot of ways. Partly his stick-to-itiveness. He seems pretty committed to his principles, whether you like him or not.

Chapter 4: What is the significance of the Meta lawsuit settlement?

1436.86 - 1468.807 Scott Adams

But sorry, Bernie. This was the most absurd, ridiculous, anti-science, anti-useful, complete waste of time. But you made a clown of yourself, and it was entertaining. So we like that. We like the entertaining part. Anyway, here's what I think. I think that... The thing about RFK Jr. that is really unique is that it's not political.

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1469.987 - 1496.84 Scott Adams

It's a political process, but he's a lifelong Democrat, and he is selected for one of the top jobs by the top Republican. That's as nonpolitical as you can get when the top Republican picks one of the most famous Democrats. And by the way, RFK Jr. has never said, oh, now I'm a Republican. That never happened. He's the same guy he always was.

0

1497.5 - 1519.131 Scott Adams

It's just that he wants this one mission, and it's important enough that he'll do it in whatever way he can get it done. So it's the least political thing you'll ever see in your life, which makes me like it the most. It's also one of the most important things. I can't really come up with something besides the debt. The debt is existential. But beyond the debt...

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1519.833 - 1546.321 Scott Adams

This is really my number one and probably should be most people's number one. Now, I'll tell you why I'm more on the war path for this than other people. I've actually done the experiment where I cut off all processed foods for months. You won't believe how well you feel. If you do the experiment...

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1547.242 - 1568.068 Scott Adams

of just getting rid of, you know, it's expensive because processed food is cheaper and more convenient and everything else. But if you can do it and you just do your basic proteins and your basic organic, if you can do it, vegetables and fruits and stuff, you're going to find out that a lot of what you thought were your medical problems were food related.

1569.168 - 1591.391 Scott Adams

I thought I had terrible allergies all year long, all the time, no matter what. I don't. I had a reaction to poisoned food, and I never had any unpoisoned food, I guess, as an adult. So I didn't really notice. I didn't think it was food, because no matter what I ate, I had the same reaction.

1592.572 - 1616.377 Scott Adams

But I had to actually cut down the number of things I eat to just this tiny sliver of things I allow myself, and then all my symptoms go away. Now, if you haven't experienced that, you don't quite understand what's at stake. What's at stake is chronic illness for all your children. Forever. They'll die. They'll suffer. Their lives will be terrible.

1616.417 - 1638.965 Scott Adams

They'll barely be able to pay attention in school. And I don't even know if they can mate. It's the end of the fucking world if we don't get him in there. Maybe. You can't guarantee that, of course. But this is life and death for the children. This is bigger than abortion. I guess you could argue that.

1639.566 - 1663.591 Scott Adams

But one of the things I always appreciated about the most conservative Republicans, without necessarily agreeing with their opinion, I respect the fact that the Republicans said, we're going to move this decision out of the federal government, put it in the courts, and we're going to get killed in the elections. Now that has my respect.

Chapter 5: How did RFK Jr. perform in his confirmation hearings?

2847.514 - 2872.492 Scott Adams

It's one of the most viral things for years and years and years. Now, that's going around everywhere. And I would assume that AI has absorbed it because it's been in so many places and repeated and repeated and recopied and it's a meme and everything else. So the reason it got around is that nobody disagreed with it. The experts looked at it and said, that looks about right.

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2873.452 - 2897.58 Scott Adams

So have I become a permanent part of what it takes to be a good writer in the future? And would AI itself be influenced by anything I said? Does it recognize, oh, here's the guide to being a good writer. I'm trying to be succinct. I'll just do that. I don't know. No way to know that. But Here's what I'm saying more generally.

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2897.94 - 2930.724 Scott Adams

I'm using myself as the example because I know the most about my own work. But don't you think that the people who are the most effective voices at the moment on social media are going to get permanently a higher status in AI until the end of time? Because when AI decided to do its big learning... It seems like that's going to be the bias it will have forever.

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2931.685 - 2971.264 Scott Adams

So good luck canceling me now, suckers. I'm in the machine. I'm in the machine. All right. So the U.S. Copyright Office, according to Just the News, did a ruling that... artists can copyright some work that is created with the help of AI. So what is not copyrighted is if the only thing you did is put in a prompt, like, show me an image of Trump riding a bicycle. Can't copyright that. But if you...

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2972.878 - 3000.684 Scott Adams

I had Trump riding a bicycle, but then you painted your own image of something over it, so it's part AI and it's part you, you can copyright that. Copyright the whole thing. So there's going to be a lot of gray area. But I like that they've at least taken that step, that if the human artist has substantially added to the AI, the AI is just a tool, and then the

3002.18 - 3028.725 Scott Adams

The ownership and artistry of the creator still gets credit. So this is a step in the right direction. It's going to get really, really gray and messy, but at least we sorted that out. I like that. According to also in Just the News, somebody named Drew Horn, Drew Horn, which sounds a lot like what I used to do when I was doodling.

3029.385 - 3060.743 Scott Adams

I would just draw horns on people sometimes because I wondered what they would look like with horns. So that's his name, Drew Horns, something I've done so many times. Anyway, he's the CEO of something called GreenMet, and he said that Greenland deciding to leave Denmark and have some kind of association or joining America, would be easier than you think. Easier than you think.

3061.423 - 3084.831 Scott Adams

And indeed, if he's right, Greenland only has to vote on it. So apparently Denmark has been quite open-minded about letting Greenland manage itself. So Denmark seems to care about the national security, the big picture. They don't control the laws in Greenland. And the current law, according to

3085.764 - 3104.869 Scott Adams

Drew Horn, is that if they wanted to, the people in Greenland could simply have a vote and they can vote their own independence and Denmark would respect it because that's the current system. The current system gives them the right to vote anything they want. And if that's what they want to vote on, there's nothing stopping them.

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