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Decoder with Nilay Patel

Tech antitrust is about to get really weird

Wed, 18 Dec 2024

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Today we’re talking about antitrust policy and tech, which is at a particularly weird moment as we enter the second Trump administration. A lot of tech policy is at a weird moment, actually, but antitrust might be the weirdest of them all — the pendulum has swung back and forth on antitrust policy pretty wildly over the past few years, and it’s about to swing again under Trump. So I asked Leah Nylen, an antitrust reporter for Bloomberg News and a leading expert on this subject, to come on the show and help break it all down.  Links:  Trump’s antitrust trio heralds Big Tech crackdown to continue | Bloomberg Trump picks FTC Commissioner Andrew Ferguson to lead the agency | Politico Trump picks Gail Slater to head Justice Department's antitrust division | Reuters Trump names Brendan Carr as his FCC leader | The Verge Trump’s FTC pick promises to go after ‘censorship’ from tech companies | The Verge Breaking down the DOJ’s plan to end Google’s search monopoly | The Verge US v. Google redux: all the news from the ad tech trial | The Verge Tech leaders kiss the ring | The Verge DOJ antitrust chief is ‘overjoyed’ after Google monopoly verdict | Decoder This is Big Tech’s playbook for swallowing the AI industry | Command Line Credits: Decoder is a production of The Verge and part of the Vox Media Podcast Network. Our producers are Kate Cox and Nick Statt. Our editor is Callie Wright. Our supervising producer is Liam James. The Decoder music is by Breakmaster Cylinder. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Full Episode

0.289 - 19.798 Zelle Advertisement

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32.056 - 49.298 Nilay Patel

Hello, and welcome to Decoder. I'm Neil Apatow, editor-in-chief of The Verge, and Decoder is my show about big ideas and other problems. Today, we're talking about antitrust and tech, which is at a particularly weird moment as we enter the second Trump administration. A lot of tech policy is at a weird moment, actually, but antitrust might be the weirdest part of it all.

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49.698 - 68.177 Nilay Patel

The pendulum on antitrust has swung back and forth pretty wildly over the past few years, and it's about to swing again under Trump and his new appointees. To help me get a sense of these folks and what might be about to happen, I asked Leah Nyland, an antitrust reporter for Bloomberg News and one of the leading experts on the subject, to come on the show and help me break it all down.

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68.993 - 81.319 Nilay Patel

Now, if you're a Decoder listener, you know that the basic frameworks of how antitrust law in the United States work have been more or less the same since Ronald Reagan took office in 1980, all the way through the Obama presidency and the first Trump administration.

81.959 - 98.951 Nilay Patel

But under President Biden, Federal Trade Commission Chair Lena Kahn and Department of Justice antitrust chief Jonathan Cantor have taken a bold approach to antitrust that many of us have not really seen in our lifetimes. And they've been pretty public about it. Cantor has been on Decoder twice in the past year to talk about this approach and what it means.

99.912 - 117.127 Nilay Patel

After all, Amazon, Apple, and Meta are all currently facing major antitrust lawsuits, with Microsoft now under investigation as well. And then there's Google, which is potentially staring down a full breakup after already losing one major antitrust suit. with a ruling in a second case about advertising due basically any day now.

117.587 - 133.213 Nilay Patel

And a lot of this regulatory pressure has been designed to avoid what I like to call the Instagram problem, where everyone wishes the governments of the world had prevented Facebook from buying Instagram in 2012, which might have allowed Instagram to turn into a real competitor to Facebook. But that didn't happen.

133.853 - 149.842 Nilay Patel

For pretty much the entire 2010s, the tech industry grew and consolidated through mergers and acquisitions of startups at a breakneck pace, which is how you ended up with what some founders and venture capitalists called a kill zone around the big companies. If they saw a startup that might compete with them, they would just buy it, and that would be that.

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