Zico Colter

This question is, I think, super interesting. And those are not actually mutually exclusive, to be clear. One thing I'll also say is that the term AGI is thrown around a whole lot. I define AGI as a system that acts functionally equivalent to a close collaborator of yours over the course of about a year-long project.

So this is something that, you know, you would value as much as a close collaborator, you know, a student of mine or a colleague of mine over working on a project for a year. Let's think about me. AGI would be a system that could automate everything that I do for the most part over a year. That's a pretty high bar.

So this is something that, you know, you would value as much as a close collaborator, you know, a student of mine or a colleague of mine over working on a project for a year. Let's think about me. AGI would be a system that could automate everything that I do for the most part over a year. That's a pretty high bar.

So this is something that, you know, you would value as much as a close collaborator, you know, a student of mine or a colleague of mine over working on a project for a year. Let's think about me. AGI would be a system that could automate everything that I do for the most part over a year. That's a pretty high bar.

I am massively uncertain as to when this will happen, but a massive shift that I've undergone is I think this will probably happen in my lifetime. I think the answer to AGI has always been in academia, not in my lifetime. And the timeframe I give this right now is I think this is between four and 50 years or something like this, right? Which really captures my massive uncertainty.

I am massively uncertain as to when this will happen, but a massive shift that I've undergone is I think this will probably happen in my lifetime. I think the answer to AGI has always been in academia, not in my lifetime. And the timeframe I give this right now is I think this is between four and 50 years or something like this, right? Which really captures my massive uncertainty.

I am massively uncertain as to when this will happen, but a massive shift that I've undergone is I think this will probably happen in my lifetime. I think the answer to AGI has always been in academia, not in my lifetime. And the timeframe I give this right now is I think this is between four and 50 years or something like this, right? Which really captures my massive uncertainty.

But I have a hard time dismissing it also, given the rate of progress and the things that I sort of see evolving here. We have to take that possibility very seriously.

But I have a hard time dismissing it also, given the rate of progress and the things that I sort of see evolving here. We have to take that possibility very seriously.

But I have a hard time dismissing it also, given the rate of progress and the things that I sort of see evolving here. We have to take that possibility very seriously.

I actually also agree with you that we will adapt to it. I don't want to downplay the extent of transformation that might be necessary here. But I also think the companies that say survive and thrive and become dominant in this new world, the ones that succeed best will not be the ones that fire all their workers to have an AI that does the exact same thing as their old workers.

I actually also agree with you that we will adapt to it. I don't want to downplay the extent of transformation that might be necessary here. But I also think the companies that say survive and thrive and become dominant in this new world, the ones that succeed best will not be the ones that fire all their workers to have an AI that does the exact same thing as their old workers.

I actually also agree with you that we will adapt to it. I don't want to downplay the extent of transformation that might be necessary here. But I also think the companies that say survive and thrive and become dominant in this new world, the ones that succeed best will not be the ones that fire all their workers to have an AI that does the exact same thing as their old workers.

They'll be the ones that understand, okay, what's changing and what are the things that people can best do now in terms of steering these systems, in terms of sort of providing the overall guidance and framework about where we want to go with with all this intelligence.

They'll be the ones that understand, okay, what's changing and what are the things that people can best do now in terms of steering these systems, in terms of sort of providing the overall guidance and framework about where we want to go with with all this intelligence.

They'll be the ones that understand, okay, what's changing and what are the things that people can best do now in terms of steering these systems, in terms of sort of providing the overall guidance and framework about where we want to go with with all this intelligence.

The companies that survive, I think, will be the ones that best leverage their workforce to make the best use of this new technology.

The companies that survive, I think, will be the ones that best leverage their workforce to make the best use of this new technology.

The companies that survive, I think, will be the ones that best leverage their workforce to make the best use of this new technology.

This is actually a very nuanced question. Do we have AI products that are able to be maximally used by workforces? The answer to this right now is no. Clearly, there is a gap between what people could use these things for and what they're using them for right now.