Simon Willison

I have no interest in the AI replacing people stuff at all. I'm all about the tools. I love the idea of giving, like the artist example, giving people tools that let them take on more ambitious things and do more stuff. The AGI-ASI thing feels like that's almost dystopia without any further details, you know?

I have no interest in the AI replacing people stuff at all. I'm all about the tools. I love the idea of giving, like the artist example, giving people tools that let them take on more ambitious things and do more stuff. The AGI-ASI thing feels like that's almost dystopia without any further details, you know?

I mean, I'm personally not really, no. But you asked me to predict six years in advance. And in this space, the way things are going right now. Who knows, right? So my thing is more that if we achieve AGI and ASI, I think it will go very poorly and everyone will be very, you know, I think there will be massive disruptions. There will be civil unrest.

I mean, I'm personally not really, no. But you asked me to predict six years in advance. And in this space, the way things are going right now. Who knows, right? So my thing is more that if we achieve AGI and ASI, I think it will go very poorly and everyone will be very, you know, I think there will be massive disruptions. There will be civil unrest.

I think the world will look pretty, pretty shoddy if we do manage to pull that off.

I think the world will look pretty, pretty shoddy if we do manage to pull that off.

I think they might get to AGI there. I wouldn't rule against them managing to make, well, it's $100 billion in revenue, and then they've hit AGI, right? That's their...

I think they might get to AGI there. I wouldn't rule against them managing to make, well, it's $100 billion in revenue, and then they've hit AGI, right? That's their...

What is funny about AGI is OpenAI's structure as a non-profit is that they've got a non-profit board, and the board's only job is to spot when they've got to AGI and then click a button, which means everyone's investments are now worthless. Yes.

What is funny about AGI is OpenAI's structure as a non-profit is that they've got a non-profit board, and the board's only job is to spot when they've got to AGI and then click a button, which means everyone's investments are now worthless. Yes.

Sorry, Microsoft. My dystopian prediction is the version of AGI which just means everyone's out of a job. That sucks. So yeah, that's my dystopian version.

Sorry, Microsoft. My dystopian prediction is the version of AGI which just means everyone's out of a job. That sucks. So yeah, that's my dystopian version.

I think in three years' time, I think they are greatly diminished as an influential player in the space. You know, I don't think... It's already happening now, to be honest. Like, six months ago, they were still in the lead. Today... They're in the top sort of four companies, but they don't have that same. They kind of pulled ahead again with the O3 stuff.

I think in three years' time, I think they are greatly diminished as an influential player in the space. You know, I don't think... It's already happening now, to be honest. Like, six months ago, they were still in the lead. Today... They're in the top sort of four companies, but they don't have that same. They kind of pulled ahead again with the O3 stuff.

But yeah, I don't see them holding on to their position as the leading entity in the whole of this space now.

But yeah, I don't see them holding on to their position as the leading entity in the whole of this space now.

It cost, I mean, it'd be kind of interesting if they begin to tell you, because I feel that if we move to... Sam Altman said on the record the other day that they're losing money on the $200 a month plans they've got for O1 Pro. Easy. I don't know if I believe him or not, but that's what he said, you know?

It cost, I mean, it'd be kind of interesting if they begin to tell you, because I feel that if we move to... Sam Altman said on the record the other day that they're losing money on the $200 a month plans they've got for O1 Pro. Easy. I don't know if I believe him or not, but that's what he said, you know?

It gives you unlimited O1, I think, or mostly unlimited O1. It gives you access to O1 Pro. It gives you Sora as well. And I think the indication he was giving was that the people who are paying for it are using it so heavily that they're blowing through the amount of money.

It gives you unlimited O1, I think, or mostly unlimited O1. It gives you access to O1 Pro. It gives you Sora as well. And I think the indication he was giving was that the people who are paying for it are using it so heavily that they're blowing through the amount of money.