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Wall Street Breakfast

TSMC revenue surges on pre-tariff rush

Thu, 10 Apr 2025

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TSMC Q1 sales top estimates on surging AI demand ahead of U.S. tariffs. (00:22) Amazon (AMZN) pulls the plug on China orders, leaving vendors in the lurch - Bloomberg. (02:03) U.S. Postal Service aims to raise stamp prices to 78 cents. (02:56) Episode transcripts seekingalpha.com/wsb.Show links: Biggest stock movers Thursday: DJT, X, and moreGoogle reiterates $75B spending plan for data centers amid tariff woesFormer Treasury secretary Summers says govt 'rightly scared after collapsing markets'EU said to weigh buying more U.S. gas, but green transition still in focusSign up for our daily newsletter here and for full access to analyst ratings, stock quant scores, dividend grades, subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium at seekingalpha.com/subscriptions.

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Chapter 1: What are the key highlights of TSMC's Q1 revenue report?

1.477 - 20.762 Julie Morgan

Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Breakfast, where we cover the top news for investors every morning. Good morning. Today is Thursday, April 10th. I'm Julie Morgan. TSMC reports Q1 revenue. Amazon backs away from China and the cost of snail mail could go up.

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22.185 - 52.582 Julie Morgan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing reported a nearly 42% surge in Q1 revenue, fueled by strong demand for AI servers and smartphones ahead of looming U.S. tariffs. First quarter revenue totaled $25.6 billion, up 41.6% compared to the same period in 2024, marking the company's fastest pace of growth since 2022. According to Bloomberg, analysts on average expected around $25.3 billion.

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Chapter 2: How is TSMC preparing for potential U.S. tariffs?

52.722 - 77.559 Julie Morgan

March revenue also rose 46.5 percent year-over-year as electronics makers built up inventories in U.S. warehouses, preparing for possible trade disruptions. If you remember last month, the CEO of TSMC and President Trump jointly unveiled a $100 billion expansion in U.S. chipmaking investments, supporting the White House's push to restore manufacturing.

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77.999 - 92.81 Julie Morgan

The president attributed the increased commitment to the impact of higher tariffs. Taiwan's semiconductor, whose customers include Apple, Nvidia, and AMD, will report its full Q1 earnings on April 17th, so just a week away.

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93.33 - 114.203 Julie Morgan

Investors will be watching for a possible downward revision to the full-year sales target in capital expenditure plans, as the outlook for global chip demand weakens amid uncertainty following U.S. tariffs. The company expects net revenue in the range of $25 to $25.8 billion, with a consensus estimate of $25.52 billion for the first quarter of 2025, with a gross margin of 57 to 59%.

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Chapter 3: Why is Amazon canceling orders from China?

123.01 - 146.407 Julie Morgan

Amazon has canceled orders that originate from China and Southeast Asian countries, leaving certain vendors on the hook with unsold inventory. According to a document viewed by Bloomberg, Amazon appears to be reducing its exposure to U.S. tariffs on imported merchandise from China-based suppliers who provide a significant portion of Amazon's components and finished goods.

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146.747 - 166.078 Julie Morgan

According to Bloomberg, a consultant to Amazon vendors claims the company has canceled several direct import orders of products made in China without warning. Because Amazon acts as the importer of record on these orders, it is responsible for paying import tariffs once the merchandise arrives in the U.S.

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Chapter 4: What changes are proposed by the U.S. Postal Service?

166.638 - 187.391 Julie Morgan

However, if the order is canceled once shipping is initiated, the tariff burden lies with the vendor once the merchandise reaches the United States. The United States Postal Service announced proposed price changes for its mailing services, set to take effect on July 13, pending approval from the Postal Regulatory Commission.

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187.632 - 207.12 Julie Morgan

Among the most notable changes is a 5-cent increase in the price of a first-class mail forever stamp, raising the cost to 78 cents. The adjustments approved by the USPS Board of Governors represent an average price increase of approximately 7.4% across mailing services.

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207.441 - 236.342 Julie Morgan

In addition to letter and postcard rates, the USPS is proposing adjustments to special services, including a 12% reduction in postal insurance rates, a rare cost decrease that may benefit shippers and online retailers. Now let's take a look at the top three stories that are trending on Seeking Alpha. Google reiterates its $75 billion spending plan for data centers amid tariff woes.

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237.522 - 266.025 Julie Morgan

Former Treasury Secretary Summers says the government is rightly scared after collapsing markets. And the EU is set to weigh buying more U.S. gas, but green transition is still in focus. On our Catalyst Watch for the Day, Walmart will hold its annual shareholder meeting and TD Sinex will hold its Investor Day event. Now for a look at the markets today ahead of the opening bell.

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266.465 - 298.019 Julie Morgan

Dow S&P and Nasdaq futures are in the red. Crude oil is also in the red, down 2.8% at $60 a barrel. Bitcoin is down 0.7% at $82,000. Gold is up 0.8% at $3,111. In the world markets, the FTSE 100 is up 3.9% and the DAX is up 5.5%. Constellation Brands is on our list of the biggest movers of the day pre-market.

298.559 - 318.787 Julie Morgan

STZ is down 4% despite a Q4 beat as the company's fiscal year 2026 outlook disappointed investors amid trade policy uncertainty. We have quite a bit to talk about on today's economic calendar. At 8.30 a.m., CPI. Also at 8.30 a.m., jobless claims.

318.947 - 342.16 Julie Morgan

And again at 8.30 a.m., the Fed's Thomas Barkin will speak on driving through the economic fog and participate in a moderated Q&A session before the Talbot County Chamber of Commerce. At 10 a.m., the Fed's Jeffrey Schmid will speak on the economic outlook and monetary policy before the Secured Finance Network Independent Finance Roundtable 2025.

342.56 - 364.095 Julie Morgan

At noon, the Fed's Austin Goolsbee will participate in a moderated Q&A session before the Economic Club of New York. And also at noon, the Fed's Patrick Harker will speak on fintech before the 2025 Fintech and Financial Institutions Research Conference. That's it for today's Wall Street Breakfast. Thanks for listening.

364.375 - 379.427 Julie Morgan

To take full advantage of Seeking Alpha with coverage on significant stocks and ETFs, become a premium subscriber. Check out seekingalpha.com slash subscriptions. I'm your host, Julie Morgan. Go out and make it a great day.

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