It wasn't the outcome we wanted in Wisconsin, and Charlie, Jack, Tyler, and Blake unpack all of the reasons why. They react in real time as votes come in, celebrate the few wins of the night, and brainstorm ideas to translate Trump's massive win of 2024 into victories in the many special elections and midterm races to come. Watch ad-free on members.charliekirk.com! Get new merch at charliekirkstore.com!Support the show: http://www.charliekirk.com/supportSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Chapter 1: Why did Republicans lose the Wisconsin election?
Donald Trump was able to basically get these people to appear. Donald Trump was able to get them to appear. And they've never been on anybody's data roll. They've never been on a voter file. They've never been anywhere. And poof, they show up and they say, and guess what? Wisconsin.
had same day registration now hate to break it to you guys decision desk which has not been right or wrong about much of anything has just said the wisconsin supreme court race is over uh defeating conservative brad shimmel so hate to break it to you guys but that is now decision desk
We'll keep an eye on here with how the rest of this report comes out. Again, we're still hanging in there. Waukesha is now at 77%, still hanging at 58%, which is not enough. Waukesha has got to be at 62%, 63%, again, because of the size, the magnitude of the county. It's big enough where if you win by that much, which...
waukesha used to win for conservatives by that much that is that is again the home of scott walker he lives he lives there not far in pewaukee pewaukee is one of the largest couch voter voting situations that we have we talked about with charlie the loss here isn't to the radical left the loss is to our own people not turning out and some of these wards we lost to the couch
Some of these wards just don't. They have thousands of people who don't show up for these votes.
So we're going to in last November, we had three point four million people vote. This is going to be an enormously high turnout off election, considering it's not a midterm, not a general in the fall. This is a spring election. We're going to break two million votes on this. It looks like it'll be two point three to two point four.
But that is a million missing voters where you'll be able to say if we'd had the fight, there will be 500000 Trump voters from last November who did not show up. And we're going it's going to be close enough that if we'd had, you know, plausibly half those people arrive, we might have won this. But.
Not enough of those and just you lose by a few points, you know, as much as we won it in November, but we won it by point nine percent. There was not a lot of room for it to move left at all. So we likely had a bit of that. And then if you have the enthusiasm gap, if you have Democrats spending more because they really want to win because they're really fired up.
And they're also just, as we say, the higher prop party right now. They get more meaning out of politics. They invest more of themselves into politics. They're more likely to track every single race, however obscure it is. They're going to be able to pick up one point, it looks like. And we've got to...
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Chapter 2: How did Donald Trump impact voter turnout in Wisconsin?
Sure, sure. So especially as we've been saying, this is it's a reflection that we have to be ready for races where Donald Trump isn't on the ballot. I know we've you know, he's been talking about finding a way to go for a third term.
But I will tell you, even if they find a way, it won't be with Trump as the number one guy on the ballot, because that is definitely constitutionally out of the picture. So you're going to have to have someone we have to start.
We have to develop the strategy for winning a post-Trump GOP on a Trumpian message, we hope, on a Trumpian platform, but there's clearly a singular charisma to Donald Trump that drives turnout, that really inspires people. And we haven't seen it pan out that without that, you can muster a nationwide majority. We can still win races. We can still do very well at the state level.
But that tipping point of getting the national majority that can save the country, you right now need Trump. And there's some systemic issues there that we have made that bargain of the GOP has become more populist. It's become more economically middle and even lower class instead of having as many high income voters.
And what that means is you've swapped out a lot of the people who care the most about politics. And that's not to say that that's a good thing. It's often a bad thing that a person cares obsessively about politics. We have people who care a lot about their church. They care a lot about their civic organizations. They care a lot about their families. All of us have finite amounts of attention.
And if you care a ton about your church and a ton about your family, you have less amount of care to invest into politics. And the left has a large share of the people who derive attention the most meaning in their life from their political engagement. You go to church on Sunday. They go to their Trans Lives Matters rally on Sunday, and that is church for them. You tithe to your church.
They tithe to this race. They would have money coming in from all across the country for this vote. They had money going from all across the country to those Florida races, races they had no hope of winning. And they got millions of dollars for it because some people just really get into that. For now, the Democrats have a systemic advantage with people who care a ton and who are obsessive.
And this will possibly get more intense because things are happening in politics that will fire them up. They're extremely fired up about Musk. I can see this. I can see this in places that aren't even political, that people are all riled up about Elon Musk. They're all riled up about Doge. They're all riled up about this or that thing that Trump is doing.
And that will probably continue, that there's always a natural balancing force to American politics. To give another example, this happened to Obama. Obama wins a gigantic landslide in 2008. He wins Indiana as he turns Indiana blue. You can look at how Indiana voted in this past election. That was a shocking result. It's And he gets 60 seats in the Senate.
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