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Real Coffee with Scott Adams

Episode 2825 CWSA 04/30/25

Wed, 30 Apr 2025

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God's Debris: The Complete Works, Amazon https://tinyurl.com/GodsDebrisCompleteWorksFind my "extra" content on Locals: https://ScottAdams.Locals.comContent:Politics, Members-Only Clubs, Hair Restoration Product, Trump Admin Hoax List, President Trump, Trump ABC Interview, DOGE Fraud Referrals, MS-13 Knuckle Tattoos, Tariff Tax Replacement, Unpredictable Tariff Policy,  China Meds Tariff Exemption, Spain Renewables Blackout, California Policy Failures, Governor Newsom, Oil Prices Decline, Robby Starbuck's Lawsuit, META AI Defamatory Allegations, James Carville, Jaime Raskin, Hitler's Big Lie Technique, Harvard President's Apology, Fake Polls, AG Leticia James, Jack Posobiec Roughed Up, Democrat Violence, John Bolton, Complexity Corruption Technique, Michael Shellenberger, USAID Money Machine, USGLC IRI NDI, DataRepublican, Anti-Drone Swarm Weapon, Ukraine Mineral Deal, Mexico Water Deal, UK Refugee Asylum, Red States Reading Performance, Scott Adams~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.

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Chapter 1: What is the highlight of today's Coffee with Scott Adams?

0.189 - 32.632 Scott Adams

We'll talk about that. Let me get your comments working so that we have a full and satisfying podcast. The best you've ever seen probably. Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of Human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and you've never had a better time.

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33.373 - 49.177 Scott Adams

But if you'd like to take it up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny, shiny human brains, all you need for that is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a shell, a tiny canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

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50.198 - 75.872 Scott Adams

And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine at the end of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip, and Guess what? Happens right now. Go. Now I feel complete. All right. Thank you, Paul. Good to know everything's working.

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Chapter 2: How are robots changing warehouse jobs?

78.342 - 118.647 Scott Adams

Well, UPS is talking to the robot company called Figure, and they're talking about maybe bringing in these 506 robots to work on sorting boxes, according to Bloomberg. Do you think that's real or fake news? I don't think there's any robot company that's making a robot that doesn't act like it's stoned. Like all the robots are like, pick up a box. look at the box, walk slowly. I don't know.

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119.407 - 154.683 Scott Adams

I just do not think we're quite ready to replace a bunch of warehouse people with robots. So maybe they're just looking at the future. According to CNBC, 30% of Microsoft's code is now AI-generated. According to the CEO, there might even be some other software that is completely written by AI. So I'm thinking of becoming a programmer because apparently all you need is AI and you can make anything.

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155.785 - 180.32 Scott Adams

Is anybody tempted? to just become a computer programmer without any experience? I don't think we can get there yet. I think you have to be a programmer to make sure that AI is doing what it's supposed to do. Meanwhile, Waymo, the self-driving car company, and Toyota are in some kind of partnership. I assume they have to do that.

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Chapter 3: What are the implications of AI in programming?

181.189 - 211.086 Scott Adams

because they're going to be competing with Tesla really quickly, and Tesla is going to lap them unless they do something big and bold. So we'll see if Waymo and Toyota can make something work. So does that mean that your Toyotas will have a self-driving car option? I don't know. Or maybe it's just a cheaper way to get the Waymo cars. Could be either one. We'll see.

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214.807 - 241.648 Scott Adams

I saw a post by Michael Miraflor that apparently in New York City there's a sudden boom in what they call members clubs. So you pay a sub amount of money and you can go to a members club and there's just a bunch of them that popped up. And so Michael's theory is that the reason that these are all popping up is the deterioration of civil society.

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242.648 - 270.812 Scott Adams

In other words, people are looking for a place they can go where they don't have to worry about their laptop getting stolen and getting beaten up and some fentanyl addict falling on their lap. So they're starting their own little private member clubs. Now, you can get canceled for that kind of thinking. that you have to start at your own private member club just to get away from the riffraff.

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272.876 - 299.638 Scott Adams

But it looks like it's going to be kind of popular, so you might want to start your own members club to stay away from the people you want to avoid. I've often thought that the secret to happiness is who you avoid. You know, you think of it in terms of making friends and, you know, being with people you love and stuff like that. And that's good. You should be with good people.

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300.318 - 336.324 Scott Adams

But at least half of happiness is avoiding bad people. So these member clubs get you there. Well, there's a hair loss pill. I didn't even know this existed. But apparently there's this pill you can take to grow back your hair. But now the doctors, the top urologist is saying that it might have a really bad side effect, which is it will affect your penis if you're a man.

337.304 - 370.494 Scott Adams

So it can make your testicles burn and give you suicidal thoughts and make your penis bend and get smaller. Now, this reminds me of a rule that I developed 30 years ago. Every time I saw anything that was supposed to help you grow hair, it would be bad for your penis. Every time. How in the world is your hair and your penis so connected? So if you see a bald guy, probably has a great penis.

371.454 - 401.804 Scott Adams

But if you see a guy who's like 50 and has a full head of hair, I don't know, 1 in 10 chance he's got something going on down there. So that's the iron rule of science, that whatever is good for your hair is bad for your penis. So remember that. Apparently, the Trump administration has published a hoax list. So, don't you love that?

402.505 - 430.634 Scott Adams

So, you're probably, most of you are aware that I used to publish a hoax list. You know, the top 12, and then it was the top 14, and then it was the top 20. And it got a lot of attention. And now the White House is publishing their own hoax list. So it shows all the fake news and Trump deranged syndrome. Now, it's not the same as the list that I would post so that there's no overlap.

Chapter 4: Why are private member clubs becoming popular?

431.255 - 467.821 Scott Adams

So theirs is more like the more recent stuff. And of course, they have plenty of material to work with. The hoax list. Good idea. Well, if you didn't see it, Trump did an interview with ABC News with... with a reporter named Moran, last name Moran. Here are some of the highlights from the interview. So the ABC News guy says to Trump, do you have a 100% confidence in P. Agseth?

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468.681 - 502.175 Scott Adams

And Trump says, that's a stupid question. I don't have 100% confidence that we're going to finish this interview. I will never get enough of that. Every time Trump insults a reporter who had it coming, it just gets funnier. Do you have 100% confidence? That's a stupid question. I don't have 100% confidence that we're going to finish this interview. Oh, then the same interviewer.

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505.262 - 537.229 Scott Adams

said to Trump that there had been no fraud referrals from Doge. So he couldn't understand why nothing had been referred to the Department of Justice for prosecution if they found all these fraud instances. And Trump says, well, you don't know that, do you? And he forced the reporter to admit that he wouldn't know if any referrals had been made or not. So the question was more like an accusation.

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538.149 - 565.929 Scott Adams

But Trump very cleverly made him sort of admit, okay, I have no idea whether you've referred anything or not because it would be too early to know. But Trump says yes, that there have been fraud referrals. Do you believe that? We'll find out. Then there's a, I hate to say this, but there's a little fake news that I think Trump himself fell for.

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566.829 - 603.495 Scott Adams

So the topic of that so-called Maryland dad, the potential or alleged MS-13 gang member came up. And the topic of his tattoos on his hand, his knuckles came up. Now, you might remember that Trump held up a photo that showed that each of his knuckles had a tattoo and that the images on the knuckles, if you took the first letter of each of the images, it would say MS-13.

604.496 - 631.956 Scott Adams

And so the thinking was that it was just a sort of a clever, subtle way to say he was MS-13 without actually using the letters MS-13. But... to make it easier to know that that was the point. The photo had just the actual letters M, S, and 13 to help you know what each of the images was standing for.

632.797 - 659.05 Scott Adams

But apparently, and I'll take a fact check on this, but it sure sounded like Trump believed that the actual text letters were part of the tattoo. Because the way it was put on the page, it looked like, that was actually my first thought too. The first time I saw it, I was like, really? Why does he have the letters on his knuckles? But the letters are not on his knuckles. It's only the images.

659.21 - 689.041 Scott Adams

And the reporter knew that. So he fact-checked Trump in real time. But Trump wasn't having it. And he was insisting that it actually said MS-13. And the reporter said, well, you know, the tattoos suggested that it could be, but it didn't actually say. And Trump was, oh, yes, it said it was right there. Didn't you see the picture? And I thought, oh, well, that's not good.

689.621 - 706.215 Scott Adams

But I have to admit, the very first time I saw the same picture, I thought that was part of the tattoo. And I couldn't believe it when I saw it. But then After thinking about it a little bit, I thought, oh no, they're labeling the tattoo. That's not the actual tattoo.

Chapter 5: What are the side effects of hair restoration products?

874.437 - 902.567 Scott Adams

And he said that he's got lawyers, you know, basically the ones that tell him he can't do it or shouldn't do it. But as Turley points out, if he admits that he can do it, it's going to look like he's ignoring the court order to facilitate it, which he sort of is. So that story could change pretty quickly. based on what he said in that ABC interview. Here's some more fake news.

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902.607 - 931.979 Scott Adams

Do you remember the story that said that Amazon was going to show the tariffs as part of your checkout basket so you can see how much more expensive things were with the tariffs? That was never true. Apparently there's some sub-entity within Amazon where they were plagued with that idea. But it was never Amazon. It was just some sub-entity that you and I have never seen.

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933.039 - 956.612 Scott Adams

And then Trump's version is that he called Jeff Bezos and asked him to get rid of those tariff things. And then Jeff Bezos was a great guy, according to Trump, but did exactly what he was asked. But I think all they did was change that little sub-unit that had some special purpose that you and I had never seen anyway.

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959.142 - 993.17 Scott Adams

But just so you have a little better understanding of the whole tariff situation, I saw a post by Dr. Insensitive Jerk, who is a working economist. He obviously doesn't go by his real name. And he was explaining that even if Amazon had shown the tariff cost on top of the base price, you still wouldn't know how much extra you're paying because the vendor might be eating some of it.

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993.826 - 1024.711 Scott Adams

So for example, if somebody was producing something for 10 cents and selling it for $2, and they had a big tariff, they might say, our margins are so good, we won't pass it all onto the consumer. We'll just lower our base price. And then when you add the tariff on, it'll be pretty close to the price you were paying before. So you never know how much the vendor is eating.

1025.712 - 1048.765 Scott Adams

So even if you saw the tariff cost, that wouldn't necessarily tell you that you were seeing the extra cost. It might not be extra. So just know that. And Trump had mentioned something about that too. He said, you know, the tariff costs are not necessarily going to be what you pay because the vendor might, you know, have to eat some of it.

1052.131 - 1080.542 Scott Adams

There's also some, what I think is fake news, that Trump says he might be coming up with a huge tax cut because we'd be making so much money from the tariffs, they would use the tariff income instead of tax income. Does anybody think that's true? I don't think the numbers come even close to working because on one hand, he's put these big tariffs on everybody.

Chapter 6: What is the significance of Trump's hoax list?

1081.343 - 1106.431 Scott Adams

But on the other hand, the whole point of the tariffs is to negotiate away tariffs so that they're either really small or they go away. So he can't have it both ways. He can't be using it as a negotiating tool. with the purpose of getting rid of tariffs both directions. At the same time, he's going to use that as a major source of income. You got to pick one.

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1107.151 - 1130.108 Scott Adams

And I don't think the one where he uses that as a source of income makes sense. And also, it would be a tax. It would just be a different form of tax. It wouldn't be replacing a tax. And I also wonder, would that be better or worse for low-income people? If you're a low-income person, And you're probably not paying a lot in federal income tax in the first place.

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1130.868 - 1156.607 Scott Adams

But everything you buy is going to be a little more expensive if there's a tariff on top of it. So are you going to be happier because you're paying your taxes through a tariff than if you just paid it directly to the government? Yeah, none of this works. And then Trump says, in the coming weeks and months, we'll pass the largest tax cuts in American history.

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1157.168 - 1189.653 Scott Adams

I don't think that's even a little bit true, but there may be somebody who gets some tax cuts. We'll see. I doubt it will be the biggest one in American history. According to The Hill, the EU's Ursula von der Leyen, Ursula von der Leyen, she was... She was saying that Trump's tariff policy was, quote, unpredictable. Now, is that an insult to say that his tariff policy is unpredictable?

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1191.074 - 1219.364 Scott Adams

Well, it feels like she doesn't understand the tariff policy. Because you know how the Europeans could make the tariff policy predictable? They could negotiate. It doesn't matter if they're unpredictable now. The entire point is that they would sit in a room and come up with a very predictable but different set of tariffs and or no tariffs.

1220.224 - 1246.39 Scott Adams

So if anybody wants to solve the problem of the tariffs looking unpredictable, All you have to do is call a meeting and then negotiate it and you'll know exactly what you're getting. So all the Democrats were complaining because Trump's tariff rule looks like it was poorly planned and it looks like it's chaos and he keeps changing it and all that.

1247.57 - 1272.419 Scott Adams

None of that matters because the entire point is to get you in the same room and then make it predictable. So you don't have to worry about any of the unpredictable stuff. But the unpredictable part is what gets you in the room because you can't handle the unpredictable. Trump's approach to negotiating the tariffs is kind of perfect.

1273.36 - 1291.73 Scott Adams

It just doesn't look like it if you don't know how things work in the real world. Every one of these people complaining about the chaos and the unpredictability, they have complete control over that. Just call a meeting. negotiate a trade deal, you have all the predictability you want. Everybody's happy.

1294.031 - 1326.236 Scott Adams

Apparently, China has sort of quietly, they say, issued a whitelist, meaning some things that will not be tariffed. And that would include pharma, microchips, and aircraft parts. And they're doing it kind of quietly. Now, the pharma part I had not seen before. I'd seen the tech part before because I knew that they were getting flexible on microchips and aircraft parts.

Chapter 7: How does Trump's tariff policy affect the economy?

1552.523 - 1571.619 Scott Adams

Apparently, Governor Newsom has said about California, quote, we've been doing doge but better for literally six years. Do you think California has been cutting things with a scalpel for six years? Does that sound even a little bit true?

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1573.263 - 1604.55 Scott Adams

I saw Joel Pollack of Breitbart writing about this, and he points out that Gavin Newsom's first budget in 2019 was $209 billion, and his latest budget proposal for 2025 is $322 billion. So maybe he should have used the chainsaw and not the scalpel. And the state, as Joel points out, the state is borrowing money to fund basic health care.

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1607.613 - 1633.825 Scott Adams

It's unbelievable that Gavin Newsom would even try to convince people that he's been doing doge for six years. No, he hasn't. He's been doing the opposite. Meanwhile, according to the Financial Times, the big oil companies look like they're going to have their worst year since the pandemic because the price of oil keeps going down. But is that good news or bad news?

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1635.206 - 1665.241 Scott Adams

So if the price of oil goes down, won't that make your inflation go down? And if your inflation goes down, wouldn't that make the Federal Reserve lower interest rates? And if you got lower interest rates, wouldn't that make everything better? So if you're worried about the oil companies themselves, they might be having not their best year coming up.

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1666.122 - 1695.11 Scott Adams

But if you're looking at the country, what we're looking at is let's get a lot of oil going so that the supply and demand will fix our inflation. So that might be happening. At the same time, and also related to inflation, we got the new jobs report from ADP anyway. And it doesn't look so good. So not many jobs were added. Worse than expected.

1695.13 - 1734.095 Scott Adams

We were hoping for 114,000 jobs, but we got about half of that. And it was the lowest monthly total since February 2022. And then also February was revised down. So jobs not looking so strong. But what happens when jobs are not looking so strong? Then the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates. So if you look at the price of energy going down and you look at the employment going down,

1735.08 - 1752.331 Scott Adams

we should be in a situation where the Fed is almost certainly going to have to lower interest rates. And when you lower interest rates, stock market goes up and it's easier to handle your national debt and everything else is a little bit better.

1753.592 - 1777.12 Scott Adams

So with economics, it's hard to know what's good news and what's bad news because almost everything that's good news for somebody is bad news for somebody else and vice versa. This is a perfect example. According to Newsmax, some Republican senators are trying to make the Trump investment executive order a law.

1778.32 - 1800.454 Scott Adams

So apparently Trump has an executive order to accelerate the external investments in the United States. So if somebody wanted to invest a billion dollars or more in the United States, rather than hit a bunch of red tape and regulations and approvals and whatever else, that the United States would make it easy.

Chapter 8: What are the key updates on California's gas car ban?

2797.955 - 2826.805 Scott Adams

So Rasmussen, which is a polling company, had recently done some posts on X about how all the major polls were apparently rigged for Kamala. And we know that they were rigged because, first of all, Rasmussen is the only one that had the accurate number because they weren't rigging it. And the only other people who had the accurate number that Kamala was never had was Kamala's internal polling.

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2827.887 - 2855.498 Scott Adams

And the internal polling apparently is more accurate than the public ones. So even one of Kamala Harris's main advisors had admitted that their own internal polling, the good stuff, had never matched the fact that all of these other TV network polls were saying that Kamala was ahead. They actually knew those polls were fake. They knew it the entire time.

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2857.379 - 2898.693 Scott Adams

And so Stephen Miller is just going out in an interview with Fox News. He even blamed Fox News' polling as being, as being anawak according to him. So I guess we're going from fake news to fake polls. I saw some extra accusations about Tish James, Letitia James, the one who prosecuted Trump, and she had her own problems of allegedly falsifying some mortgage records and Something in that domain.

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2899.334 - 2930.675 Scott Adams

But according to crowdsource the truth and two researchers, Charles Ortel and Bob Bishop, there might be something more to it. So I didn't really understand the argument. So we'll have to wait and see. But there is something about a fake charity and a changing the name. There's a whole complicated thing that looks like maybe she was up to something deeper than just trying to get a good mortgage.

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But we'll wait for that. I don't think the details of this quite make sense to me, but we'll find out. So just know that there's some deeper accusations, but in my view, not really proven. So I guess it involves a fake nonprofit, some kind of sketchy bank in India, some kind of liens, and $100 million of taxpayer dollars.

2959.173 - 2991.157 Scott Adams

So what any of those things would have to do with her getting a mortgage on her house? I don't know, but that's the accusation, so we'll wait on that. You may have seen some clips of Jack Posadik getting roughed up at a Jamie Raskin event where Raskin was talking to some union guys, and Jack yelled out some things to Raskin at the end of Raskin's talk,

2992.103 - 3019.499 Scott Adams

And the union guys didn't like it because it was not exactly pro-Raskin. And they actually roughed him up. They actually roughed him up. And I guess he's going to get law enforcement involved. I don't know how bad it was, but just based on the hard to determine video, they got physical right away. Now, Does that ever happen in the other direction?

3020.419 - 3046.065 Scott Adams

If there had been a Trump event and somebody had yelled out something, because all he did was yell out something, do you think that the Trump supporters would have started roughing that person up? I don't think so. I mean, in 2015 or 16, there were some rallies where there were some accusations that people were going to rough people up, but for the most part, it's not a thing.

3046.957 - 3077.94 Scott Adams

But the Democrats just immediately went to violence. And I think this is all part of the Hitler stuff. If you believe that the Trump people are all just Hitler supporters, then violence is called for. It would make sense if that's what you believed. So if you look at the Carville and Raskin persuasion, they're using Hitler's technique. That's why a Jack Basabic gets roughed up.

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