God's Debris: The Complete Works, Amazon https://tinyurl.com/GodsDebrisCompleteWorksFind my "extra" content on Locals: https://ScottAdams.Locals.comContent:Politics, Mike Waltz, Signalgate, Tim Walz, Jake Tapper, Adam Schiff Protests Spin, Hands-Off Demographics, Forest Management, Hunter Biden FARA Violations, Military Parade Planning, Stock Market, Tariff Negotiations, Jamie Dimon, Low IQ City Fertility, Cartel Money Laundering, GARM Advertising Cartel, DeepSeek Self-Improving AI, Eric Schmidt AI Kill Switch, Hydrosponge Water Generation, Scott Adams~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
Chapter 1: What is the highlight of human civilization?
Coffee with Scott Adams. Usually this is what I tell you to check your stocks or I check them for you. Don't do that. Whatever you do, don't check your stocks. But let's get our comments going here. And we'll be in good shape. Do-do-do-do-do-do. Do-do-do-do-do. Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.
It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and you've never had a better time. But if you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody can understand with their tiny, shiny human brains, all you need for that is a cup or mug or a glass or tank or chalice or stein, a canteen jar or flask, a vessel of any kind, fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.
And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine end of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. And guess what? It happens now. Go. Oh, so good. Well, before we get into the politics... Let's check on science. There's already science that didn't need to be done.
Chapter 2: What is the simultaneous sip?
According to Cy Post of Vladimir Hedra, he's writing that there's a study that shows that men are more distracted by sexual images than women. Now, you probably know what I'm gonna say next. You could have just asked Scott. Yes, somebody got paid To show porn to men and women and then measure their response.
I feel like giving a slow clap, a standing ovation to whoever successfully got funding to do this study. If I were a scientist, I would spend most of my time trying to figure out how to do totally bullshit studies that were fun for me. It'd be whatever was my favorite thing. I'd be like, hmm, let's see. Do people who read cartoons have a better day? Does reading cartoons reduce your depression?
Anyway, next time, just ask me if you want to know who likes sexual images more, men or women. Let's see, do we have any backward science where they got the causation backwards? I don't know. Let's look at this one. According to SciPost, Eric Nolan is writing... that there's some new research that links gratitude development to lower adolescent depression.
So the more gratitude you develop, the less depression you have is the suggestion. But could that be working the other direction? Because you know what? When I'm depressed, I don't get depressed often, but if I got depressed, I don't think I'd be thinking about gratitude. But if for some reason I became less depressed, I would suddenly think, you know, I'm grateful for this or that.
Do you think they got the causation right? I don't know. Maybe. Maybe they did. But this is one where I say to myself, it could have gone the other way. Do you remember the news about the tariffs applying to those two islands that had no people on them, just penguins? Do you remember that story? It turns out there was a good reason for putting tariffs on the penguin islands.
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Chapter 3: What recent studies on distraction and gratitude reveal?
If you didn't hear this story, it's funny. When Trump put all of his tariffs on everything, it included two, I guess you'd call them countries, but they don't have any people, just penguins. But the reason is so that real countries with real people can't use the fake countries as a workaround for the tariffs. In other words, they can say, oh, it's not coming from my country.
It's coming from the penguin country. the penguin island there's no tariffs on the penguins so actually it made total sense they're just closing a loophole here's an update on the signal gate according to the guardian they did an investigation and mike waltz has been cleared now he did make the mistake But here's what he did not do.
He did not ever intentionally add Jeffrey Goldberg to his signal contacts. All right. So if you're asking yourself, well, you know, I understand, you know, punching the wrong button. But why in the world would he have Jeffrey Goldberg's contact in the first place? And the answer is he didn't know he had it. And there is an explanation that makes sense. So let's see if I can get this right.
So there was an email that got forward to the Trump administration. campaign, now not to Mike Walsh, but to the campaign, and then the campaign wanted to get some extra people's opinions. The email included Jeffrey Goldberg's contact information. So somebody named Brian Hughes copied and pasted the email from Jeffrey Goldberg into a Signal text message.
And then Signal healthfully thought to itself, hey, if Mike Walsh is looking at a message that has Jeffrey Goldberg's contact information, maybe he would like to add it to his contacts. And somehow, I think it confused the phone number for Goldberg or maybe Wallstead with Brian Hughes. So he thought he was adding Brian Hughes to his contacts based on a suggestion that popped up.
But he probably just didn't read the suggestion carefully. And the suggestion was to add Goldberg's name. Now, I accept that. That sounds just weird enough that that's a real world thing. So I think that's the end of that story, actually. How many of you have seen Jake Tapper use Tim Walz as a speed bag on CNN? Poor Tim Walz.
He is so bad at interviews, and he's so game, he's out there all the time. But here's a question that Jake Tapper asked Tim Walz on CNN. He said, I'm paraphrasing this, but were the Democrats gaslighting the country about Biden's health, inflation, and the border?
Imagine being the number two person who ran for president on the Democrat side, and even CNN is saying, essentially accusing him of gaslighting the country on three of the biggest issues, the health of the president, inflation, and the border. Now, here's how I interpret that. I know a lot of people are saying, that Jake Tapper, he's for the Democrats. Well, he might be.
I think he's registered independent or something. But if I wanted the Democrats to win, I would spend some time destroying Tim Walz just so he didn't accidentally get nominated because there's no way that guy could win the presidency. There's not even the slightest chance he could beat anybody for the presidency. So maybe that's what's going on, the destruction of Tim Walz.
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Chapter 4: How did tariffs affect penguin islands?
These are completely financed and organized by dark forces, which we have a good idea where they are. And they're all just basically Democrat operatives. So Schiff is trying to sell all this fake protest as, quote, the energy you're seeing now manifest around the country in these mass demonstrations is Show that the Democratic Party is waking up. Is that what you're saying?
It doesn't look like that to me. If you have to pay people to show up, they're not waking up. They're just cashing a check. But here's the thing that I would be. If I were... If I were going to talk to Adam Schiff, I would ask him the following question. I'd say, Adam Schiff, if this is the Democrats waking up, there's some kind of people who are missing from the protests. Let's take a look.
I see a lot of middle-aged women, and some of them brought their husbands. I saw a lot of senior citizens. They seem to be almost entirely white. But I don't see any young men. No young men, except for a couple of crazy ones. And what about black Americans? How in the world do you get that many people in the street who are Democrats and none of them are black?
That is the question which must be asked. Because what it does is it reveals that it's artificial. What else is it going to be? And it's funny that the news still allows people to pretend these are real. When do you call these protests the next big gaslighting? If you were Jake Tapper, and it's two years from now,
Are you going to say to somebody who's a guest, were you gaslighting the country, Adam Schiff, when you said that this was the energy manifesting as opposed to obviously paid and organized? So that's the new gaslight. These are real protests. No, they're not. Well, Trump has raised the logging quota 25%. Joel Pollack is writing about this in Breitbart. But there are two reasons.
One is to clear the forest to make them less forest fiery, less risk to forest fires. And the other reason is perhaps to get more lumber so that we can compensate for any loss of lumber from Canada from the tariffs, etc. But the question I wondered is, how often are those the same thing?
If you're clearing out a forest for the purpose of fire suppression, are you getting good wood, or are you just getting all the crap? And so I went to Grok. Now, I got to tell you, I use Grok several times a day now, and I'm quite impressed and quite happy with it. When I prepare for the show, there's always some context that's missing, and I always want that context, and it's just...
write one sentence into grok and boom context so here's what grok said um some of that some of that wood that you clear from the forest just for fire suppression can actually be used for construction depends on the kind of trees and how big they are you can't do much with the the small underbrush and there's a lot of that but depending on the trees you can use them or and if the trees are not the perfect kind
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Chapter 5: What did Mike Waltz's investigation reveal?
you can turn them into plywood or a particle board. But there are probably at least two different reasons why the quota went up. One of them probably is to get good trees for construction. Jonathan Turley is talking about the New York Times news story on Hunter Biden. Now, how many of you knew that the longer Biden is out of office, the more of the
let's say reputable news sources, would have to confess, yeah, well, there were some problems there. Yeah, we may have known about a few things. Yeah, Hunter may have done some bad things. So the latest is the New York Times ran a story that when Biden was vice president, that Hunter was working for Burisma and he went to the American ambassador,
to Italy and tried to get the American ambassador to Italy to help him get the Italians to make some kind of an energy deal. Now, if that's true, And remember, this is the New York Times reporting it, so they're not exactly pro-Republican. If it's true, then it's inexplicable why he wasn't prosecuted. Well, it's not inexplicable. Obviously, it's because of political connections.
But these are exactly the kind of crimes that other people were prosecuted for. Manafort, for example. So it is a crime. It's a fair violation of to be lobbying on behalf of a foreign country. You can't lobby the United States on behalf of a foreign country, which is exactly what he was accused of doing, unless you're a registered agent, and he was not a registered agent.
So will that turn into any kind of charges? I doubt it. I doubt it. Maybe he's already pre-pardoned for that. Well, there's a report that Trump is planning a big military parade to celebrate the Army's 250th birthday. I didn't know armies had birthdays, but all right. I didn't even get anything. And the route will be from the Pentagon to the White House, just like the Gulf War parade in 1991. So,
Here's what's going to be interesting about a military parade. The point of a military parade is to show how awesome your military is, right? I mean, you're kind of showing the rest of the world. That's why Kim Jong-un does it. It's not just for his local audience. It's to show the world you have this great military.
But the problem is almost everything that we're going to highlight in a military parade would be obsolete, right? I saw a post by Naval Ravikant, and he said this, I think it was last night or this morning. He said, any country that can't manufacture drones will be a vassal state. The military is just going to be drones. Everybody smart, I think, understands that. It's just going to be drones.
If you can't make drones entirely within your country... or at least, let's say, with a friendly neighbor who might have some parts you need, you're not going to be independent very long because whoever can make better drones is just going to own you. So it will be a weird kind of parade because it will be a parade of essentially obsolete military equipment. But it'll look impressive, I'm sure.
Well, let's talk about the stock market. How many times do you think the stock market has gone down 20% or more? Just off the top of your head. In the history of the United States, how many times has it dropped 20% or more? According to Grok, the answer is 20 times. How many times did it fail to come back to even higher levels? Zero. Every single time it came back. Now, sometimes it took years.
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Chapter 6: Are Jake Tapper's questions to Tim Walz revealing?
But let's say you had some artificial shock from the outside and it was a temporary shock and one that didn't involve resources too much. So it wasn't like a shortage of oil because that caused once. Is the S&P up? I see somebody posting in the comments something that looks like the S&P is up, but I don't know about that. So we'll check that after the show, I guess. So here's what I think.
I think that the question of how long it will take the stocks to come back, because they'll come back, but whether it takes five to ten years or it takes six months or it takes one year, is largely going to be based on how quickly the whole tariff situation gets resolved. So let's talk about that.
If the tariff situation is sort of quickly resolved, let's say by the summer, you're going to see the stock market just tearing back. But there are lots of, you know, that's not easy.
but here's what we know i saw a post by nick sorter he was saying that taiwan has agreed to drop all tariffs on the u.s they're joining india israel vietnam and cambodia who also want to have zero tariffs now here's the trick if you want to be the smartest person in the room It's not good enough that countries drop tariffs because they have other ways to screw us.
So anything from property, from currency manipulation to VAT taxes to duties to various restrictions. So some of these offers are kind of fake. Meaning that they're not really offering anything because they have other ways to you know, kind of nickel and dime us So these are negotiations.
These are not Even if somebody says we want to go to zero tariffs That's the beginning of the negotiation that that's not the end of the negotiation So we're closer to the beginning than the end, but that looks positive. So over 50 countries have allegedly called to negotiate with Trump. That might be an exaggeration, but I'll bet it's in that range. And here's something that mattered to me a lot.
I've mentioned this before a number of times, but the top banker in the country, in my opinion, would be Jamie Dimon. So if Jamie Dimon says something, you should listen, not only because he has a long track record of being you know, wise and somewhat nonpolitical. So he's just sort of calling it like he sees it. He said that he says the tariff policy issue should be resolved quickly.
That's the head banker of the country who, again, is not Republican, Democrat. He might be Democrat, but he's he's famously and I appreciate it. He's non-political. He's a little bit political on DEI stuff, but I'm just assuming he has a daughter that cares about him. I don't know if that's his actual opinion.
But when he's talking about economic stuff, he's one of the people you want to listen to. So if JB Diamond says, yeah, this will be fine. We'll just work out this tariff stuff pretty quickly. That is a really good signal to the market because he's not crazy. He's not lying. That's almost certainly his real opinion.
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Chapter 7: What are the implications of Adam Schiff's protests?
which is apparently true, not crashing as much as ours, but the Hong Kong market seems to be down, I don't know, 13% last time I checked. That would have changed by now. And the currency is having a problem over there in China. And so China will be the last
country to negotiate, just because I think China would be perfectly happy if they could force Trump out of office by not negotiating and not selling TikTok. So they may have a different game, whereas stocks are up. I'll be damned. So let's see what else is going. Then Trump also says he's not willing to make a deal with China unless the trade deficit is solved.
Now, there's a trillion dollar, I guess, annual trade deficit with China. And he says it has to be solved. It's not good enough just to negotiate. Wow. China is down. It's not good enough to negotiate just the tariffs. We need to make sure that we don't have the trade deficit. Now, the only way you could do that, I'll take a fact check on this, is if China moved production to the United States.
But is that going to happen? So can you really get China's trade deficit of a trillion dollars down? I don't know. Maybe. I don't know how you could do it, but maybe. I guess I'm open to hearing the argument for that, what that would look like. Well, Australia has contacted the U.S. They want to start negotiations because they obviously are getting hit pretty hard.
The European Union says we're ready to negotiate with the US on tariffs. Japan's prime minister just said we need to propose ideas about how we can together create jobs in the United States and contribute to their economy. Now, Japan really knows how to be an ally, don't they? Have we ever had a better ally? than Japan.
Now, I suppose the fact that they depend on us for military protection is a big part of this, but this is exactly what I want to hear. It's almost better than what I expected, that they want to work hard to come up with ideas about how to create jobs in the United States and contribute to our economy. Good. So I guess that would mean more other countries manufacturing over here. to avoid tariffs.
Do you remember Francis Macron? He had suggested that the French companies stop doing business with the United States. And I thought to myself, what? Can French companies really stop?
doing business with the united states is that even a thing and apparently uh the big french companies just told him to stuff it up his ass because they're not there's no way that there's no way that he can that the macron can tell them where they should invest and they're definitely going to invest in the united states a lot of them have you know gigantic entities why why am i seeing so many numbers
There's a whole bunch of numbers in the comments, but they're all over the place. What do the numbers refer to? Because a whole bunch of you are very insistent on saying something with numbers. What's this? Breaking. Trump considering a pause to tariffs for 90 days, excluding China. The market explodes green in celebration. Ah, pause in tariffs.
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Chapter 8: How does the stock market respond to tariffs?
So I just hope they don't put them in the ocean because it'll dry up the ocean. No, just kidding. It won't dry up the ocean. All right, those are the big stories of the day. I would like to give you a product review. Did you ever try to buy a blanket? You know, not for your bed, but let's say just a, you know, nice blanket that's soft.
And did you notice that some blankets are not the same on both sides? Like some blankets will have this nice, fuzzy, comfortable side, but then the other side is just kind of weirdly smooth. And it's like a half blanket. Don't ever buy a half blanket. It's ridiculous. If your blanket doesn't feel soft and fluffy on both sides, that's a throwaway blanket.
You just put that right in the garbage because it's going to make you mad every time you pick it up. So that's my recommendation. Never buy a blanket that's different on one side. All right. That's all I got for you today. And I'm going to talk to the locals people privately. And we'll catch up on what's happening in markets. It's like the markets are jumping all around.
because most people just don't even understand any of it. I've been seeing some of the worst takes on markets, especially the odds of the market coming back. I don't think people understand anything about tariffs or markets or anything. So, you know, maybe there are people like Scott Besant and Peter Navarro who understand enough to know what's going on. Jamie Dimon would be another.
But I see a lot of journalists writing about the end of the United States because the stock market went down for a week. Doesn't look like that to me. To me, it looks like it's temporary. And the other thing that makes me curious about how things come out is I remember seeing an interview with, I think it was Barbara Cochran. She's a real estate investor type who used to work with Trump and
Now, when I say work with him, I think meaning she was in on some of the same deals. And she said that he was the greatest salesman that she had ever witnessed in her life, like just crazy good at selling. Now, that was in the context of selling real estate deals and making deals. Now, what you're seeing is Trump selling something that's really hard to sell.
which is I'm going to make your stocks go down, but in the long run, through negotiation, it's going to be way, way better. That's a really tough sell. I think it was Mike Cernovich who pointed out that you need a second-term president who is not afraid of getting reelected and who just has balls of steel because the things that the United States needs to do are hard.
And they're going to be a little bit painful. And it's very much a dad energy that you're just going to have to do the hard thing to get to the good thing. And if you don't do the hard thing, you might be out of business. So watching Trump sell this is kind of exciting because it's the biggest sale of his life, maybe even bigger than getting elected.
You know, you'd think that would be the biggest, but this probably has more consequence. So it's the biggest sale of all time with the best salesperson of all time. And it does feel like he's turning the ship. And what you look for is he's going to play up any kind of activity that's on his side.
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