Find my Dilbert 2025 Calendar at: https://dilbert.com/God's Debris: The Complete Works, Amazon https://tinyurl.com/GodsDebrisCompleteWorksFind my "extra" content on Locals: https://ScottAdams.Locals.comContent:Politics, Grok 3 Hoax Spotting, AI Voice Trust, Pacing Technique, OpenAI Conversion Ruling, Elon Musk, Bionic Touch Aware Hand, Dept. of Education EO, Ian Carroll, Epstein Files, JFK Files, Transgender Mice Funding, RFK Jr., Vaccine Safety Testing, Affordability Czar, Chicken Life Cycle, Oil Prices Decline, Analyst Sarah Adams, Abbey Gate Terrorist, Senator Fetterman's Democrat Review, Ayanna Pressley Theatrics, Democrat Theatre Kids, Biological Males Female Sports, Chris Cuomo, Governor Walz Advises Canada, OMG Undercover State Farm, President Trump's Advisors, President Trump, China Anti-Fentanyl Efforts, Fentanyl Smuggling, American Kid Challenges, Traditional Wives, Modern Family Challenges, Intelligence Sharing Pause Ukraine, Hamas US Hostages, Scott Adams~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
Chapter 1: What is the highlight of human civilization according to Scott Adams?
Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and boy, you're lucky to be here. But if you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny, shiny human brains, all you need for that is a cup or mug or a glass, a tank or chalice, a stein, a canteen, a jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.
Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything way better. It's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now. Wasn't my best sip, but it was still great. Well, did you know that Grok, A.I.,
Allegedly, you can now, according to Maria Nofal, who's writing, doing a little write-up, according to Elon Musk, Grok can identify frauds. Let's say you get an email from a Nigerian prince. You could say, hmm, I wonder if that Nigerian prince really needs my money to free his fortune. And then you could run it through Grok, and Grok would say, no, Nigerian princes are not real. It is a scam.
Chapter 2: How can Grok AI identify frauds and scams?
And it can spot phishing, phishing as in P-H-I-S-H, phishing scams and all kinds of red flags. But what I wondered is, can Grok spot hoaxes? So, of course, I asked it about the fine people hoax, and it got it completely correct. And I asked myself, do you think that Grok got the fine people hoax completely correct? by itself?
Do you think it just looked at the facts and decided, yep, that's a hoax? I don't think there's any chance of that because I don't think the large language models can do that. I think the large language models would just look at the predominant opinion. And unfortunately, it would still look like there were more people saying it was real because most of the media would say that. So I think
that Grok is being, let's say, the finger is on the scale, just like all the AIs, except that the finger on the scale of Grok is trying to be accurate. I think some of the other AIs, if somebody puts their finger on it, is to keep the propaganda there. But in this case, the fine people hoax is definitely a hoax.
Chapter 3: Can Grok AI spot hoaxes effectively?
And so if there's a little bit of programming in there to make sure that it gets that one right, that wouldn't be the worst thing in the world. But it makes me wonder if it can spot hoaxes in general. Because, you know, I've taught you the two on the nose rule. I've taught you the one anonymous source rule. You know, I've given you all these rules for spotting hoaxes. Can Grok do that?
I'll bet no. but I'll bet it could do someday, and I'll bet it could be trained to do it. If the only thing he did was say, all right, there's a few people who are good at spotting hoaxes, so just look at their feed and try to imitate them, do what they would have done, then I think he could get there pretty quickly. For example, in this next story, there was a meta-analysis
to see if the public is good at detecting fake news. Oh, here you go. Do you think the public's good at detecting fake news? Well, somebody did a meta-analysis to find out if the public is good at spotting fake news. Do you see the joke yet? As I've taught you, meta-analysis is not real. It's fake science. They use fake analysis to determine whether people can spot fake news.
Chapter 4: What does the recent meta-analysis say about detecting fake news?
If the people in this study didn't know that they were part of a meta-analysis, well, they probably should have known. No, actually, if it's meta-analysis, it means they're looking at studies that other people already completed. So no, meta-analysis is like horoscopes. And I've given you the long explanation of why. But as soon as you see meta analysis, just discount it.
Just say, I mean, it could be true because a lot of questions are yes, no. Are people good at this? Yes, no. So meta analysis can be correct, but so can a coin flip. It's basically a coin flip because a human being decides what's in the analysis and what's not that that's the whole trick.
And if it's based on the assumption of the person doing it, as opposed to just the data, it's not really a real analysis. So for example, if there's one big study that overwhelms all the other studies, a meta analysis looks at all the studies and says, all right, you know, one study might be unreliable. But if I look at the average of the studies, you know, I'll get something useful.
No, you won't. Because let's say one study is big and you're looking at them and you go, oh, well, we'll throw that big study in there because it's so big. But then all the little ones don't even matter because the big one would overwhelm it. Or you say, hmm, this one study says that everything's wrong and these other studies say things are the other direction.
then use your judgment and say, huh, I think this one study that disagrees with the other ones was poorly done, in my opinion, because of reasons. And the other ones might be poorly done, but maybe you don't care or they agree with you. So meta-analysis, as soon as you hear those words, run away. So could AI do that yet? Could AI do what I just did?
and say, oh, yeah, meta-analysis, that's your trigger for not trusting it. Don't think so. Not yet, but it could. It seems well within what would be possible. According to a new study, so researchers found out that from, this is from a source called PLOS One. I've never heard of it. So I'm trying to give credit, but I don't know who that is.
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Chapter 5: How does AI voice trust affect user perception?
It turns out, according to the study, humans are more likely to trust an AI voice that sounds like them. So if you listen to an AI voice that sounded sort of like you, you would trust it more than if it sounded sort of like some stranger you never met. Now, do they need to do that study? Nope. They could have just asked me.
It's one of the most well-known, well-documented, well-understood phenomena in the entire world, and it's called pacing. Pacing. PLOS One is a scientific journal. Thank you, Owen. So pacing is when you match the person you're trying to persuade. But the matching could come in a lot of forms. One form would be if you do the same body language. This one is good in a meeting with your boss.
Let's say your boss is leaning on the table like I am with both arms. You do the same thing. Your boss won't even notice. Let's say the boss does this. You do the same thing. Boss won't even notice. Let's say you can detect the breathing pattern of your boss. Match it. Just breathe, inhale when they inhale, exhale when they exhale, and do as much as you can.
Let's say your boss has a certain way of talking. My best example is, some people like to use a lot of war analogies, like, oh, I jumped on that hand grenade, or we'll take that hill tomorrow or we'll die on that hill. And if you hear that, you just start using some of your own war analogies. It's like, well, it looks like we're going to be battling them today. So that's called pacing.
Chapter 6: What are the implications of the Department of Education executive order?
So although a human can't easily reproduce the voice sound of another human, you didn't have to study it. I could have told you with complete certainty that As could 100% of hypnotists. Every hypnotist in the world would have said, oh, yeah, obviously. If you could match somebody's voice, that would be killer. So, yeah, you didn't have to study it. Just ask me. Meanwhile, OpenAI...
according to TechCrunch, Kyle Wiggers is writing, that they're planning to charge for agents. And the charges could be up to $20,000 per month to have an AI-driven agent. Now, an agent would be something like a little humanoid entity that might help you with programming. Or it might be a little humanoid sort of entity that would help you with sales leads or stuff like that.
Now they would cost different. The prices would be different. So if you had like the best software developer, maybe 10,000 a month, if you had, you know, some lower level function that a human could do, let's say, let's say that the AI agent costs are probably similar to what a human would cost, but lower cost. So ideally you would save money. I'm going to bet against it working.
So I don't doubt that there will be a product and that it will be released, but I'm quite certain with my total lack of knowledge of AI, I still feel quite certain that the large language models will never be able to be a reliable agent because of the hallucinations and the lack of knowledge about current things and You know, the complete inability to even look at a file and tell you what's in it.
Just the most basic things they can't do. So I think what's going to happen is that the AI portion will just be the user interface. And that whatever is the agent is going to be a whole set of non-AI programs, which could be very extensive. And so if you put them together, it might be a good agent. But it won't be the AI that's doing the agent part.
It'll just be user interface to a whole bunch of specialized programming for each of these domains. That's what I think. I think the LLM is just a user interface, and it's going to be tough to get past that. But as long as the other programs are solid, the program, the agents might be good. It's just that they'd have to develop a whole new technology, not use AI to do the whole thing.
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Chapter 7: What does Scott Adams think about the Epstein files and JFK files?
That's what I think. I would love to be wrong about that, by the way. Well, a judge has denied Elon Musk's request to block OpenAI in their conversion from a non-profit to a for-profit company. Now, before you say, wow, I guess that's over. I guess OpenAI got what it wanted. The judge is only denying blocking it now.
And the reason for the denial is that it's not obvious that if it went to court, it would go one way or the other. So apparently, I don't know enough about the law to give you the fine details.
But the basic idea is that the judge would have probably blocked it if looking at the facts, the judge said, all right, if this goes to trial, it's going to get blocked by the court, by the jury or the judge.
after a trial, so I might as well block it now, because it's almost certainly going to go in that direction, and there's no reason to let them go too far down that road if you know they're going to, let's say 90% chance they're going to get blocked. But the judge called it a toss-up. He goes, I think this one's a coin flip. So that doesn't mean that this is a done deal.
It means that the judge can't determine that it will definitely go in one way or the other. So there's at least a 50% chance, according to one judge, that Elon Musk will be able to block them from turning into a for-profit company.
Now, it feels to me that OpenAI has way too much backing and money and geniuses working for it that it could get in this situation, which is an existential risk to the entire company, and not have a way through it. So, of course, they're up against Elon Musk with all of his resources and all of his brains and all of his personal involvement and
and i think his case is really strong you know if he gave a gazillion dollars as part of the founding thing and the part of the agreement for taking that money was it would remain non-profit which was really the central thing he wanted it was the central thing he didn't say go by build an ai He said, if we're going to build an AI, it's got to be open source and nonprofit.
So it does look like fraud to me. And I don't know what argument they would use to make it not fraud. If you take 50 million or whatever it was from somebody with a given set of assumptions that are agreed, and the most important one, the most important one is to stay nonprofit. and then you violate that, how could you possibly win that case in court?
Now, obviously, the judge is smarter than I am, so the judge thinks it's a coin toss, but it doesn't look like one to me. To me, it doesn't look like a coin toss, but we'll find out what happens. Anyway, this was reported by Julia Shapiro in The Hill. So this is cool. Johns Hopkins University. has developed a bionic hand that knows what it's touching.
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Chapter 8: How are oil prices affecting the economy?
What I mean is that the country of Turkey is apparently a big egg producer. Is that real? And that we've already increased our number of eggs that we're asking some gigantic amount to make up for the shortfall. Is that true? I'd love to know more about that. So maybe, maybe an affordability czar could do stuff like
Well, we don't usually get our eggs from, I don't know, Canada or something, but now we will. So there might be some regulations that need to be loosened, something like that. Yeah. Dressing not eggs. Yeah, I've never heard we get our eggs from Turkey, so I'm not 100% sure it's true. And then somebody clarified for me something that I had gotten completely wrong.
So this is me doing a fact check on my prior reporting. I'd looked up how long it takes a baby chicken to grow up and create its own eggs. It looked like it wasn't very long. It looked like it was basically a few months and your hen can make chickens. I'm sorry, or your chicken can make eggs. So I thought, well, Why would we ever have to wait more than two months?
Because obviously the high price of eggs would mean that, you know, as long as we're not afraid of the bird flu. Let's see. Perplexity says, yes, eggs are being imported from Turkey to the U.S. Set to export 420 million eggs. I'm surprised that eggs can last that long. Doesn't that surprise you? You know, because the shipping is not going to be short. from Turkey. I don't think they fly them in.
So I'm a little surprised about that. But apparently somebody said that I was wrong about it only taking a few months for a baby chicken to grow up into a hen that can make more eggs. Because I guess it takes longer than that. So maybe they can start laying eggs in a few months, but maybe they're not productive.
meaning that they can't produce much or it's not the right kind of egg or it's not what you would want to buy at the grocery store. So I think it just takes longer. So the U.S. should be back in eggs just in the normal free market way, but it might take over a year. It could be closer to two years. So the free market will clearly, clearly...
adjust to the fact that eggs cost a lot and there's a shortage so let's make more chickens it's just going to take a little while um anyway so if you have the right affordabilities are maybe you could make a difference i just don't know exactly what kind of things they would do meanwhile oil prices have going down to a three-year low, according to Financial Times. Tom Wilson is reporting.
And so the Brent type of oil has dropped below $70 a barrel because of a larger-than-expected increase in U.S. crude stocks. So are we already going to see a big difference in oil prices, which would then work through the entire economy fairly quickly. I don't know. And then my question is, OPEC had just announced it was going to do a major increase in production.
Is OPEC still going to do a major increase at the same time prices reach the three-year low? Or is that still high enough where they think, yeah, it's still worth doing a little extra production. So oil prices are just so hard to predict. There's politics in there and there's free market in there and there's physical constraints in there. There's a lot going on.
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