Find my Dilbert 2025 Calendar at: https://dilbert.com/ God's Debris: The Complete Works, Amazon https://tinyurl.com/GodsDebrisCompleteWorks Find my "extra" content on Locals: https://ScottAdams.Locals.com Content: Politics, WaPo Mission Statement, SpaceX Launch, America Under Attack, Chinese Transformers, Gen Z Non-Drinkers, China's Government Rationality, Marc Andreessen, China's Manufacturing Ecosystem, Sea Level Prediction Flaw, Climate Prediction Incentives, Democrat Cause & Effect Education Failures, Bill Pulte FHFA Nomination, Trump's Secret Service Nomination, Sean Curran, Kevin O'Leary, President Biden's Net Worth, VP Harris Farewell, Mouth Chemistry, Scott Adams ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
Chapter 1: What does Scott Adams think about coffee and health?
Sometimes not on laundry day, but most of the time. Well, did you know that unsweetened coffee is associated with reduced risk of Alzheimer's and Parkinson's disease, according to Sipos? Yes. There's nothing that coffee can't do. And this is the reason that I stopped doing cold plunges. You know, everybody's like, oh, take a cold plunge. Take a cold plunge. It hurts a lot. It's so painful. Do it.
Do it. It's good for you. And I say... How painful is that? That looks like really painful. Oh, it's really painful. It's good for you. So instead of cold plunges, I have a big vat full of warm coffee and I just roll around in it every day. And that's why I don't have Alzheimer's or Parkinson's. Yeah, it's not an accident, people.
Well, I hope you see the video that's going around of an Air Force veteran who was assigned to pick up alien wreckage, and he would take his helicopter out. So the military assigned him to do this. And he said most of the things he picked up were just, you know, secret government programs and stuff.
Chapter 2: What are the latest UFO sightings discussed?
But once, once he saw non-human egg-shaped aircraft while working on his secret UFO retrieval program, according to the New York Post. Now, here's what's funny. You'd have to see his eyes when he's describing it. I always tell you that the lying eyes are the ones who get wide.
If you watch the politicians, you can turn off the sound and you can still tell when they get to the lie because their forehead gets wrinkled because their eyes are so wide. Now that you know that that's what a lie looks like, it's like, yeah, I'm going to take office on the 19th and I'll probably eliminate the deficit on the day one. You know, wouldn't they get the lie?
But this guy's eyes are these giant, they look like saucers themselves. I saw a UFO. It's not even slightly, slightly credible when you see his face. If all you did is read about it or hear about it, you'd say, hmm, military veteran, probably credible. Probably found an egg-shaped UFO. Sounds good. And then one look at his face and you go, oh. All right, you got to see it.
Oh, my favorite story of the day. Every time the Washington Post does worse, I get a little charge of pleasure. I know I shouldn't. You know, I shouldn't be reveling in the complete incompetence and destruction of a newspaper that canceled me worldwide. They're the ones who kicked it off, by the way. But here's the... Oh my God. So the Washington Post came up with a new mission statement.
Thank you, God. All I pray for is that I can use my Dilbert filter to mock the Washington Post.
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Chapter 3: What is the new mission statement of the Washington Post?
And today you gave me, they have a new mission statement. Oh, thank you. Thank you. I'm so grateful.
Here's their new mission statement. I'm not making this up. This is actually, I swear to God, this is what their new mission statement is. You ready for this? It's... They're going to highlight their focus on... No, their new mission statement is, quote, riveting storytelling for all America. Storytelling? Storytelling? Storytelling? newspaper, news, facts, storytelling.
I think they just created a mission statement that says their news isn't real. Because do you use that language when you're talking about facts? How about, we're going to tell you what you need to know. How about all the important facts? No, it's storytelling. Now, Are they completely unaware of what that sounds like? When you hear storytelling, you don't think fact. You think fiction.
You think narrative. And indeed, that's exactly what they are. They accidentally picked a mission statement that describes exactly what they are. They're storytellers. They're storytellers. Their own mission statement of a news organization left out the news. They left out the news. Stories. Stories are not the news. I mean, they can be based loosely on the news. But then it gets better.
They said they're keeping their little tagline that they've had for a long time, that democracy dies in darkness. What do you think causes the darkness? Let me see. Causes the darkness that would destroy democracy. What would cause such darkness? Would it be storytelling? Could storytelling, instead of telling real news, do you think that might cause the darkness that destroys democracy?
Now, you have to admire their transparency. They basically told you that they're going to destroy democracy by telling you stories instead of news. Am I over-interpreting this, or is that exactly what they're telling us? I don't think you could be more clear about what you're doing. I don't think it's intentional, but it's clear. Washington Post failing again.
Meanwhile, I'd like to give you a SpaceX update. I was watching the news yesterday and I was looking at clips about the SpaceX launch and I was reading all the news. And sometimes the clip would say that it was a success. And sometimes another clip would say that it failed. And so all yesterday, I had this Schrodinger's cat experience about the launch.
It was like, wait, did it fail but also succeed? Wait, were there two rockets and one failed and one succeeded? Because nobody told the whole story. Every clip I had was like a you know, one pixel out of the story. So I'm like, do I have to assemble this whole story in my head?
And I'm still not entirely sure what happened, but my best, my best understanding reading all these clips, but of course I didn't want to go to the news. Duh. You know, if I went to the news, I don't know what I'm going to see. It might be a storytelling, you know what I mean? Um,
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Chapter 4: How did SpaceX's recent launch go?
You know, it would be cool if they found out, oh, everything worked. But either way, if you find out, you're moving forward. So I like the whole attitude about it, that it's a successful, successful test because they learned critical things from the test that will move them forward. Here's something I didn't know. Nick Cruz-Petain on X said this, and then Elon Musk said yes to it.
So this sounds like it might be something SpaceX plans, which would be to be a general Earth transport to other places on Earth. Now, you probably know that if you're in a vehicle that goes into space and then comes down in another place on Earth, it can go there faster than some airplane that's trying to go through the air because of resistance and whatnot. So that could take a trip from L.A.
to New York, Oh, Supreme Court upholds the TikTok ban. Oh, okay. New news. Supreme Court upholds the TikTok ban. Well, I guess it's gone. We shall see. I think there's more to happen on that story. But anyway, if SpaceX does create a product where you can just take the rocket ship to another place on Earth, LA to New York, which would normally be five and a half hours, would be 25 minutes.
Can you imagine getting from LA to New York in 25 minutes? How about London to New York? 29 minutes. Wow. Why is that 29 when the six-hour flight is 27? I don't know. The numbers don't look right. But that would be pretty amazing. But what would it cost to be on a rocket that uses that kind of fuel, even if it's you know, re-landable. I don't know. But Yilan said, yes, maybe this is the future.
Meanwhile, according to interesting engineering, China is testing a microwave weapon with what they call nuclear bomb-like power to kill satellites. So Christopher McFadden and interesting engineering is writing it. It's still experimental. They haven't rolled it out, but it has the potential to take out swarms of drones or satellites. So you can kind of see the future, can't you?
We've got all this high-tech stuff, the satellite drones and the smart missiles and the robot dogs. And then probably the superpowers will have these ginormous electronic devices to cancel out the electronics on these other weapons. the better robot military equipment is going to meet with the race to find out a thing that can cancel all electronics in the area. We'll see where that goes.
There's a massive fire. It's probably still burning. It was yesterday at the lithium battery storage plant in California, of course. Of course. Now, when you hear that a lithium battery storage plant has a fire, you'd probably say to yourself, that's sort of lithium batteries. That's not the biggest surprise in the world.
But when that fire has an impact on our whole power grid, presumably, and it comes right on the heels of several other fires in LA, not all of them have known causes, Here's what worries me. If we were already under attack, this is exactly what it would look like. Wouldn't it?
If the homeland was under a serious attack, you would see fires started in different places, in places that are highly valuable and hard to start. You wouldn't see a fire in maybe the center of Detroit, because that could be kind of limited to one building. But you would see it where you're seeing them. and then you would see attacks on the grid, and you would see them happening in bunches.
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Chapter 5: What concerns are raised about the power grid?
But apparently there's a back door, and we bought more of them instead of phasing them out, probably because we can't make stuff in this country affordably. Anyway, Megyn Kelly reports that she had a woke friend who lost a home in the California fires and says, quote, this is what the friend said, the woke friend. Everyone I know is ready to vote Republican.
Nick Garamond, Red State's reporting that. And here's what I think. You know, I live in California, and so I know lots of Californians. I don't know any woke ones. I don't know any woke ones. You know, even my famous smartest Democrat friend that I often talk about,
He's not really woke, just prefers the policies of the Democrats and thinks the Republicans are evil and stuff, you know, normal stuff, but not, you know, he's not like hosting drag queen hours or anything. I don't know any, I don't know any woke people. I live in California. I don't know any, I literally don't know one. I mean, I know they exist.
I think I've seen them, you know, in public, but I don't know one. So I cannot confirm or deny that the people who are in that category that I don't even know one have decided they've had enough and they're going to vote Republican. I honestly don't believe that.
I believe that only the people who lost their houses or got displaced are even thinking in that way, because whatever it is that makes the Democrats the way they are, it would have to be a personal tragedy that would change their minds. So those who are unfortunately having the personal tragedy, I definitely would agree that they're thinking about voting Republican.
You don't even have to ask them. That's just sort of obvious. But I'll bet you if you were one mile outside of the danger zone and you didn't have a good friend who was affected, you'd be like, well, Biden's still better than Trump, et cetera, and my local mayor should be blue and all that stuff. So we'll see how real that is.
Meanwhile, you know, I've reported this before, but I now have a hypothesis for it. So Gen Z, who are the people between 13 years old and 28 years old at the moment, they're barely using alcohol compared to all the prior generations.
If you saw the bar graph, it'd be like, you know, there'd be a bar that's a foot tall, and then it immediately goes down to like two inches tall for the current generation. What is up with that? You would think that the one universal throughout time has been, if you have alcohol, you're going to drink it. And kids unfortunately have access. So they drink it.
Why would it just suddenly fall off a cliff? I have a hypothesis. My hypothesis goes like this, that alcohol people don't do it because it feels good. They do it because it helps them socialize when they're shy. And that among the young, it's not so much, yay, I like this feeling of being drunk. It's, wow, I can finally figure out a way to talk to strangers and I'm not as shy.
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Chapter 6: Why are Gen Z drinking less alcohol?
Do I want to feel drunk? Do I want to take the chance? It isn't really cool. So I don't know. So I just put that as a hypothesis that the internet way of meeting people just replaced the utility of alcohol. I mean, if that happened, maybe it's more good than bad. Just to guess. All right.
Well, the Wall Street Journal is talking again, you've heard this, that China's population continues to decline. So it declined again last year. The births edged up, but for the first time, There are more deaths than births. Wow. First time in eight years. China had more deaths than births last year. Wow. That's definitely a turning point. So that would be an indication of doom.
Kyle Bass, investor of Kyle Bass, who often talks about China, much the way I do, but he's far more informed. He said today on X that China is experiencing a complete financial crash. The The 10-year government bonds are yielding only 1.65 and the overnight rate just spiked to 16%, which would be very bad.
And that maybe all of this economic unfolding in China might cause them to move on Taiwan sooner because that would unify the country maybe and be a distraction from their other problems. I'm going to go opposite on that. I agree that China has got some big economic challenges, no question. But my take on China, just as an observer, no expert, right?
So I will defer to the experts if they say, Scott, you've got this totally wrong. There's a history of them doing this exact thing. My take on China is that they keep acting rationally. Just rational, rational, rational. Now, that's the current leadership who have lots of engineers in office. Did you know that?
Did you know a lot of the top officials in the Chinese Communist Party, the top officials, many of them are engineers. So you have a really practical, level-headed, what do we need to do to get from here to there? The Chinese government always seemed to me rational. Right. There's some governments that maybe have a religious driving force and to others they would not look rational.
But China was rational. So my my belief is that you could do a pretty good job of predicting what China will do because it's what you would do if you were in the same situation. And if I were struggling with all these domestic problems and our China, the last thing I'd want to do is make a move on Taiwan.
Because while there's some chance it could make things better, there's an equal risk it could make things so bad it would be the end of the regime. Because China doesn't really know how the rest of the world would respond. They think they do, but they don't. And they certainly don't know what Trump would do.
So my take on China is they're too risk averse to do something that aggressive when they're already teetering on the edge.
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Chapter 7: What are the implications of China's economic situation?
Russia looks like it might be on the edge of economic collapse because of the war, but maybe not. China looks like it might be on the edge of economic collapse because of various real estate crashing and demographics and whatever, but maybe not. And the United States looks like it's circling the drain with no hope of recovery because of the debt. But maybe not. So I'm going to call it.
We're already in the middle of a world war. It's just not with bullets. Well, you could argue that Russia and Ukraine is a proxy war, but We are now in a total full-out world war, at least the three major powers, in which we're not trying to beat the other as much as we're trying to be the one that survives.
So beating China might be simply as simple as, I say as simple as, as simple to describe, really hard to do, to survive. The war between the three superpowers may be down to
you still here in 10 years yes or no because i think that if all three of them you know find a way through these extraordinary economic times that would be great i guess i mean i don't i don't really want to see china crumble because that feels like that would create more risk than it than it solves but it's kind of weird that we're already in a world war
What America has to figure out, Mark Andreessen did a good job of explaining this. China has not just good manufacturing, but they have a network of component manufacturing for all the things that are most important. So if we tried to build a, let's say an iPhone assembly manufacturing thing in the United States, we wouldn't just build one factory that makes iPhones.
You would need the entire network of suppliers to that one factory. And we don't have any of that. China does. If we want to be good at making robots, we wouldn't build a robot factory. You'd have to build an entire network of suppliers that make the parts that end up in the one factory. We don't have any of that.
Now, Elon Musk would be the one exception because he's the one person we know of who's made manufacturing, at least some of the manufacturing in the United States work. But even Elon Musk depends entirely on China for parts. All right. At least the battery parts. I don't know what else. But so China has all of these things. They can make the phones. This is Mark Andreessen's point.
They can make the drones, the cars. According to Andreessen, China is rolling out cars that are going to be high quality, meaning competitive with existing cars that might cost a third or a quarter of the price of existing cars.
you know how big of a problem that is for us if they can make a car for 25 of what our cars now cost and they're just great that's a problem if they can do if they can make phones and drones and robots and cars because they have a complex you know ecosystem for manufacturing we don't have any of that
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Chapter 8: How does manufacturing in China compare to the U.S.?
So the odds of them closing their gap and learning software and being better at AI, that's not as big a stretch as what we'd have to do to catch up with them. So it does seem that the U.S. and China are going to depend on each other to a degree that war would just be stupid. War would be stupid for both sides. So I hope we avoid it.
Meanwhile, at Iowa State University, talking about how their glacier experts have found a critical flaw in the sea level predictions, sea level rising because of climate change. What they found was that the way cold ice acts is different than warm ice. So I learned today that there can be warm ice and cold ice. Warm ice would be ice that's already slightly melting, like it's just barely ice.
And then cold ice would be something that's so cold that it's a solid. What they found was that if you were to predict ice like it's all the same, you would get the wrong answer. But it took them 10 years of experimenting. They studied for 10 years because of various hiccups. And they got to the point where, wow, this should change your sea level predictions.
Now, have you ever noticed that no matter how many times I tell you stories about some major assumption or variable being updated or changed or added to the climate models, that they still predict the same thing? You can change all the inputs almost every day. All right.
If you watch my show, you know that almost every day, seven days a week, I tell you about a new thing in climate change that would change the variables you put in the model. But yet the models are all about the same. That is the biggest tell that it's not real. If no matter what the situation is, the models still say the same thing, or at least they're still within that narrow band.
What are those models really doing? That's a pretty big signal. But here's what I've learned by experience with persuading people to have a more reasonable understanding of climate change. Now, a reasonable understanding would be things might be getting warmer, and that should be paid attention to. The humans might have something to do with it.
I don't know what percentage, but we should pay attention to it just to make sure we're not doing something dumb. But the climate models, the projection models, those are clearly bullshit. And if you try to explain it to people, you run into the same roadblocks. So here's the problem.
If I were to try to explain to somebody who was not exposed whatsoever to these arguments, it would be a long conversation and it wouldn't be one that you could possibly do over, you know, a thread on X, which is where everybody debates. So you can't really break through if you're on a, you know, a quick messaging thing where people are just arguing and blah, blah, blah.
You'd have to really sit down with somebody for like two hours to get them to the point where they understand why not that the, climate models are inaccurate, if you think that's what I'm saying, I'm saying more than that. I'm saying they couldn't be accurate, except by pure luck. So here's what you'd want to explain if you had time.
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