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Real Coffee with Scott Adams

Episode 2713 CWSA 01/07/25

Tue, 07 Jan 2025

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Find my Dilbert 2025 Calendar at: https://dilbert.com/ God's Debris: The Complete Works, Amazon https://tinyurl.com/GodsDebrisCompleteWorks Find my "extra" content on Locals: https://ScottAdams.Locals.com Content: Politics, AI AGI, TikTok Algorithm Stealth Persuasion, Kevin O'Leary, WaPo Tariff Reporting, Gitmo Terrorists Released, J6 Pending Cases, Mark Zuckerberg, META Censorship Modifications, Robby Starbuck, Anti-DEI Success, President Trump, Greenland Acquisition, Don Jr. Visits Greenland, Canada Caliphate Potential, Canada Acquisition, Trudeau Resignation, Elon Musk Raising Awareness, Andrew Tate's Talent Stack, Keir Starmer, Ed Davey, UK Diplomatic Ties, Reversing Biden's Executive Orders, Iran's Syria Assets Withdrawal, J6 Pipe Bomber Controversies, Victims of 46 Foundation, Jack Posobiec, Scott Adams ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.

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Chapter 1: What is the highlight of this episode?

1.055 - 10.857 Scott Adams

All right, let's make this official. Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and I don't think you've ever had a better time.

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11.637 - 29.88 Scott Adams

But if you'd like to take this experience up to levels where they could never understand it in Greenland and Panama and those other places we're going to conquer, all you need for that is a cup or mug or a glass of tanker chalice, a stein, a canteen, jug or flask, vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

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30.606 - 60.624 Scott Adams

Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine, the end of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now. Excelsior. Well, so I've got lots of tech news and a bunch of political news. I'm going to say most of the tech news too after the political stuff, but there are a couple of cool things.

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Chapter 2: What are the latest innovations from CES 2025?

61.744 - 90.782 Scott Adams

CES, the technology show, is happening right now for 2025. And one of the things that's being introduced is a 3D projector. Now, not the kind that projects on a flat screen and it gives it the appearance of being 3D. It actually creates the 3D holograph and can put it on your table and have it dance in front of you. Now, I don't know if they can do it with photorealistic stuff.

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91.502 - 111.248 Scott Adams

They did it with an animation. So you look at the table, and sitting on the table, apparently, is a little character that's dancing right in front of you as a 3D object. Kind of amazing. I didn't think that was going to come. Well, I did a little deeper dive on quantum computing.

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112.21 - 137.126 Scott Adams

Because I was trying to understand, I've told you this before, when I hear people explain how it works or why it works, it sounds like word salad. And I thought to myself, hmm, I guess maybe it's because I don't have the technology background. But if I did, I'd understand that word salad. And I went deeper and deeper, and I'm quite sure that nobody knows why it works.

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139.25 - 165.858 Scott Adams

I'm fairly positive and you've heard things like I think Joe Rogan said this the other day that quantum computing works because it accesses the infinity of other dimensions nothing like that's happening there's nothing like accessing other dimensions that's not happening we don't know what is happening but there's no indication it's accessing another dimension if there is one, what is it even?

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167.155 - 197.579 Scott Adams

So the things they say are things like, well, you know, this probability wave interferes with another one, and between the two of them, they can predict the future without using any logic or any calculation. They just see the future. And that future they see could be like the solution to a difficult problem, like a math problem. And I say to myself... Really?

Chapter 3: How does quantum computing really work?

198.4 - 229.287 Scott Adams

You just interfere a couple of probabilities and then you can see the future. So what quantum computing is alleging to do is literally see the future. Or to peer into the past, I guess, too. None of this is really possible, as far as I know. So I thought to myself, it must be me, right? Just because I don't understand the field. And I've now seen two experts who do understand it.

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229.827 - 251.68 Scott Adams

Kind of suggests that nobody understands it, and we don't know if it could ever even be commercial in a big way. I mean, it might have some niche, you know, specific things it can do, but it's never going to be a general computer. So forget about having your own quantum computer. It doesn't look like that's going to happen. But NVIDIA just created a $3,000 personal AI supercomputer.

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Chapter 4: What are the implications of NVIDIA's new AI supercomputer?

255.766 - 282.624 Scott Adams

And it's only this little box, which if you wanted to work on AI, if I understand it right, it would be like a data center in a tiny little box. So if you were working with AI, instead of having to access a data center, you can access this little box on your desk. And apparently, you have like full AI capability. So

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283.371 - 310.761 Scott Adams

I don't know the ins and outs and the pluses and minuses of doing that versus having access to the actual full data center. But it's got 200 billion parameters, and it looks like a big deal. And then they also have a secret chip that's going to go in humanoid robots. So with all those new introductions, I guess the stock for NVIDIA would be... And it's down.

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313.044 - 338.924 Scott Adams

I don't know, maybe people expected more. Seemed pretty impressive to me. I think NVIDIA is worth well over $3 trillion now. And, you know, they're talking about things that looks like it would have a big impact on Tesla. Because if they put these humanoid chips in robots, does Tesla buy some of those chips? Or do they have their own chips for the robots?

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339.975 - 368.936 Scott Adams

So I don't know who's smart enough to know if any of these NVIDIA things have any impact on Tesla's future, but I don't know. We'll see. In The Guardian, they're saying that virtual employees could come this year. In other words, an AI agent that can take instructions and act like a person and get things done. I'm going to go contrary. I'm going to say it won't happen.

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369.755 - 390.036 Scott Adams

And that's based on my experience where I tried to create over the summer. I tried a lot. I worked pretty hard at it, trying to create a AI agent that could just answer some questions on my Dilbert.com webpage. And what I learned is it doesn't look like it's possible. And here's the problem.

391.078 - 416.604 Scott Adams

With the current AI, which would be different from the future versions, which are AGI, but the one that uses a large language model and just use patterns, it can't answer questions reliably because it hallucinates and you can't stop it. Even if you have a database and you say, AI, do you see this database? Yes, I can read it. Can you tell me something that's on the page? Yes, here it is.

416.864 - 438.465 Scott Adams

You go, okay, you can definitely read the data. Here's my instructions. When I ask you a question, only look at this database, which is just a document, and only answer from that. Okay, got it. And then you ask a question, it'll just make something up without even looking at the document. So that was on a commercial product.

440.227 - 463.606 Scott Adams

It was actually a launched commercial product that, as far as I can tell, doesn't work. And I don't think there was any competitor involved. So there was nobody who had figured out how to make it stop hallucinating. And as far as I know, it might not be possible because the large language models don't just follow rules. They've got a whole different mechanism.

464.047 - 486.467 Scott Adams

I don't think you could make that reliable. I think by its nature, it's unreliable. And I don't know that you could tweak it, fix it, patch it. I don't think you can get there from here. So that's why they need the AGI. That would be a whole different technology that we haven't seen yet. I don't think it's invented, but I guess Sam Altman thinks we're getting close and it could happen pretty soon.

Chapter 5: Why is TikTok suppressing anti-China content?

1435.091 - 1462.18 Scott Adams

What does that sound like? That's MAGA. That's pure MAGA. The fact-checkers are fake, so he's getting rid of them. Do you know what he's going to replace fact-checking with? He's going to copy community notes from X, and he says that's what he's going to do. I'm going to basically copy X and use community notes because it works. So Musk went first. Community notes is quite successful, I would say.

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1463.18 - 1495.653 Scott Adams

And Zuckerberg noticed, and so he's copying. Now, it's not easy to be a social media network and say, you see my kind of a competitor? I'm just going to copy that because it was a good idea. That's what Zuckerberg can do. Like, it's just brilliant. But there's more. They're going to get rid of the automated censoring and only consider censoring some situations where somebody's being reported.

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1495.893 - 1522.758 Scott Adams

So there'll still be things censored, you know, the worst violent stuff, you know, the usual stuff. But it won't be automated. You'll have to report it. Now, do you approve of that? Yes, you do. Because you want humans to decide whether humans can or cannot do something. You don't want the algorithm deciding. So yeah, that's good. He says explicitly that the new process is going to let a lot more

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1523.522 - 1549.186 Scott Adams

inappropriate stuff on the platform, but that the principle of free speech is more important. Do you have a problem with that? No, that's America. He just described a perfect MAGA opinion about free speech. It's messy, it's violent, sometimes it's dangerous, but it's free speech, and the alternative is worse. Now here's one that will blow your mind.

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1550.1 - 1575.047 Scott Adams

The moderation, the human moderators, apparently they're in California. What's going to happen if your moderators live in California? Well, it's all going to be liberal opinions of what should be allowed and what should not. So here's what he's doing. He's moving the moderation from California to Texas. Let that sink in for a moment.

1575.627 - 1601.118 Scott Adams

He's moving the moderation from California, because they're too biased, to Texas. Does that sound like MAGA? Yeah. It sounds like exactly what you would have done. It's exactly what you would have done. You would have moved it to Texas. And he says he's going to, this might be the the real money shot here.

1601.479 - 1629.101 Scott Adams

He says he's going to work with Trump to, I'd say, influence or pressure other countries to not try to put Facebook better in a business. And that's smart. So he's completely aware that he needs the Trump administration and the government of the United States to back him and threaten other countries and say, look, if you're going to censor us over there,

1629.804 - 1658.043 Scott Adams

And that has an impact on our American company. We're going to tariff you or we're going to stop protecting you or something. So I love this. So some other countries probably had back doors and everything else. And you want to get rid of that, I think. So a lot of people said, is Zuckerberg just chasing the money? And this is not his own philosophical opinion.

1658.083 - 1683.988 Scott Adams

He just knows he has to do it to chase money. To which I say, so? So? Why is that bad? He's the head of a major commercial enterprise. He's not allowed to chase money. Chasing money means being compatible with the country you're serving. So, I don't care. I don't care if that's his only motivation.

Chapter 6: What is the significance of Trump's tariff negotiations?

2054.025 - 2082.874 Scott Adams

I've got a feeling that there's a lot of smartness behind Trump's idea of buying Greenland. that he might know that the population is just ready to be seduced. And if Trump himself went there, you would agree that would be the wrong move, right? At this point, he's not even sworn in. So it would definitely be the wrong move for Trump himself to go. But who would be more perfect...

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2083.993 - 2113.965 Scott Adams

to basically seduce the blue-collar people who probably like outdoorsy things. They're probably just like Don Jr. It's probably just a bunch of Greenland Don Juniors. And he lands in the middle of it. And here's what I think he's going to do. First of all, he takes this wild idea and he turns it concrete. Because there's a real person who really matters, who's really there. It's not conceptual.

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2114.485 - 2147.095 Scott Adams

So Trump has already turned it from conceptual to it's underway. It's amazing. The level of his persuasive instincts are just crazy. I mean, I've never seen anything this good, honestly. So I ask you again, is there anybody on the planet who would have been a better choice to send to Greenland today? Answer, no. No. Best one on the planet for what the intention is. Is it likely that Don Jr.

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2147.135 - 2173.105 Scott Adams

will touch a lot of people, meaning that a lot of people will know he's there, see him, interact with him? Yes. There are only 56,000 people in the whole country of Greenland. My little town is twice that size. He's going to be able to reach, touch, have some impact on a healthy little chunk of that. And it's probably enough to make them all get serious about it.

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2174.305 - 2199.446 Scott Adams

Now, I think that the only thing required for Greenland to say yes is for the Greenland people to feel good about Trump. How are you going to feel when he sends his son out to hang out with you? You're going to feel good about it. You're going to feel like, oh, this Don Jr. is like a regular guy. Don Jr. does the best job of being a rich guy acting like a regular guy.

2199.926 - 2225.624 Scott Adams

I don't think he's acting exactly. I think that's his actual personality. He's perfect for this job. Just perfect. I love everything about this. Anyway, let's talk about these other countries. Oh, and just one last thing about Greenland. I'm sure it would be good for Denmark to sell Greenland because they can't afford to protect it.

2225.824 - 2248.964 Scott Adams

And it will be important to protect it going forward because the ice melting above it and Russia and China are going to be having their ships around there. And it's got resources that people care about, rare earth materials, minerals, et cetera. So Denmark would not want to admit it because they'd rather stay in a negotiating mode and say, no, no, there's no way we'd ever sell this.

2249.534 - 2278.477 Scott Adams

but they would be better off. I don't think they're getting a lot of international prestige for being colonizers of Greenland. Do the people in Denmark wake up and say, I feel good about my country because of our control of Greenland. There's nothing in it for Greenland except expense. Yeah, they're just paying for what's there. So it's good for Denmark. It's probably good for Greenland.

2279.93 - 2305.937 Scott Adams

Almost certainly. And it could be good for the United States. And definitely good for Canada to have us protecting on both sides. So that would put Canada between Greenland and Alaska. If you can tell me that there would be a safer place on Earth than being between our two assets of the United States, that's a pretty good situation.

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