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Real Coffee with Scott Adams

Episode 2706 CWSA 12/31/24

Tue, 31 Dec 2024

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Find my Dilbert 2025 Calendar at: https://dilbert.com/ God's Debris: The Complete Works, Amazon https://tinyurl.com/GodsDebrisCompleteWorks Find my "extra" content on Locals: https://ScottAdams.Locals.com Content: Politics, Governor Newsom, CA Homelessness, Matthew Graves Resigns, Sean Ono Lennon, Elon Musk, TikTok Algorithm Free Speech, META Interactive AI Users, BlueSky Bots, Trump Cabinet Stop Posting, MSNBC Trump Popularity Speculation, Democrat Party Collapse, Fine People Hoax, Democrat Hoaxes Promotion, 6B More Ukraine Aid, Biden Carter Comparisons, CarterBiden Loser, Top 10 Democrat Hoaxes, John Brennon, Trump's NATO Policy, Marco Rubio, Costco DEI, Robby Starbuck, Soros Funded DA Legal Guidance, Russia's Dark Fleet, Russian Ship Anchor Dragging, Scott Adams ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.

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Chapter 1: What are the highlights of Coffee with Scott Adams on New Year's Eve?

47.753 - 57.419 Scott Adams

Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams. It's the end of the year show, the best thing that ever happened to you, but...

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58.143 - 73.947 Scott Adams

If you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny, shiny human brains, all you need for that is a cup or mug or a glass, a tank or chalice, a stein, a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

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74.887 - 111.636 Scott Adams

Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now. Oh, my God, that was good. Well, we made it. We made it to the end of the year. Congratulations, everybody. You did it again. Now, we didn't all make it. I know some of you had some deep losses this year.

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113.756 - 143.662 Scott Adams

But at least the rest of us made it for now. Well, let me tell you the news. So China is building what's been called the Solar Great Wall. So it's a gigantic wall of solar, and they're going to be done by 2030, and it's going to power the entire city of Beijing, they think. That's kind of awesome. How long would it have to be? Well, 250 miles long. It's going to be three miles wide.

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Chapter 2: What is the significance of China's Solar Great Wall?

144.915 - 173.656 Scott Adams

and stretched for 250 miles across the desert. And I said to myself, I know where we could put a giant solar wall. I've got an idea. Yeah, on our border. Remember when it was the beginning of the first Trump administration, and maybe even before he was elected, and we were coming up with all these ideas for how to build a cool wall on the southern border.

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174.556 - 207.006 Scott Adams

And we had all these ideas like, what if you put solar panels all across it and you make it an energy plus? Well, China's doing it. But it looks like it's not a regular wall because it's three miles wide. So it's a solar wall. Anyway. Meanwhile, Good News Networks and Andy Corbley's writing that there has been invented a way to pull water and a fog.

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208.627 - 230.079 Scott Adams

So apparently there are places that have fog, but not enough water. It doesn't rain enough, but they get some fog. And now they have these little metal needle things that are like mimicking pine needles that don't require any electricity. You just set it up in the fog and it captures the fog water and drains it down into a pail or something. That's kind of cool.

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Chapter 3: How does relationship status affect men's sexual functioning?

231.49 - 262.23 Scott Adams

an actual no-energy-needed water-capturing machine. That's a first. No energy needed. According to SciPost, Eric Nolan is writing that men in relationships have better sexual functioning regardless of sexual orientation. So the study says that men who are in relationships... have better sexual functioning. What do you think I'm going to say about that?

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263.39 - 287.305 Scott Adams

Do you know me well enough to know exactly what I'm going to say? Yes, you do. Yes, you do. It's backward science. Let me ask you, who is more likely to be in a relationship in the first place? Probably people who are pretty good at sex because their partner says, well, I could certainly live with more of that. What about people who have bad sexual function?

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288.105 - 319.542 Scott Adams

Does their partner say, hmm, I'd like to do that for the rest of my life? No, it's backwards. It is not that the relationship is improving your sexual performance. Your sexual performance has improved your relationship. Backwards science. You should have asked me. I could have straightened that out. Well, over at X, X had a win that might have been not a win, but you decide.

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320.283 - 348.32 Scott Adams

Was this a win or not a win? So Governor Newsom in California bragged on X that he had dramatically slowed and reduced the growth of homelessness. But a community note quickly jumped in and said, completely misleading because X Homelessness has been growing year after year since 2019. So let me say it again, but listen to the exact words.

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349.26 - 370.751 Scott Adams

So Newsom said that he has dramatically slowed and reduced the growth of homelessness. He's reduced the growth of homelessness. The community note says it's misleading because homelessness is increasing. But not by very much. compared to how much it had been increasing in every prior year.

372.734 - 398.511 Scott Adams

I feel like Newsom is right on this, although he may have written it so that dumb people would think it was more than it was. But what he said is exactly and precisely correct. According to the statistics that were shown, he dramatically slowed. It is dramatic. It's a lot. He slowed and reduced the growth, which is the increase, the rate, basically, of homelessness.

400.132 - 424.88 Scott Adams

It's actually an accomplishment. I'm not sure that... I think Community Notes did a little overstep there. Because if you were to read his statement... And then you would read community notes correcting his statement. It would seem to be that he was claiming credit for something that wasn't worthy of credit or that he lied. He didn't lie.

425.841 - 448.207 Scott Adams

And it's totally worth mentioning because it looks like it's heading in the right direction. So I'm going to say that Newsom should have won that battle. But because it's on X, I think community notes Slapped him down. I disagree with this one. I think this was community notes. Should have said it's a little misleading, but keep in mind the total numbers going up a little bit.

449.488 - 486.334 Scott Adams

That would have been fair. Did you know that the U.S. attorney... who was named in Hunter Biden's IRS whistleblowing testimony. Let's see. Now, what? I think this is like two stories that got mixed up. Matthew Graves, a U.S. attorney for the District of Columbia, whose name surfaced in testimony by IRS whistleblowers about political interference in the case, will resign and then get out of here.

Chapter 4: What are the latest developments in California's homelessness issue?

848.487 - 873.425 Scott Adams

The citizens who use the platform, American citizens anyway, certainly do. And we would extend that to, you know, if it were an American platform, we would extend the free speech to anybody who was using it if it's an American platform, typically. However, that applies to individuals. Individuals in the United States have free speech. So that part of the argument is pretty strong.

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874.025 - 900.75 Scott Adams

Here's the part that I think gets a little sketchy. If I say something on social media and the algorithm that is controlled ultimately by China, not directly, but they can control it. If I say something and then the algorithm decides that you won't see it, was my free speech impinged by China? Maybe.

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901.49 - 919.643 Scott Adams

Suppose I say something that normally would not be seen by a lot of people, but it's really pro-China. I say, China will be the winner in the long run. Their country is great. And then suddenly it goes viral because somebody in China decided to make it viral. Was that my free speech?

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920.544 - 939.527 Scott Adams

Or is there a macro effect where the algorithm summing up all the speech of people and deciding which speech you see and what you don't, I would argue that the algorithm is a form of speech. but it's a form controlled by China, ultimately.

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940.547 - 967.966 Scott Adams

So does China have the right to use algorithmic manipulations on free speech if the thing they're manipulating is actual free speech, which would be individuals saying what they want to say, but then the platform sums it together and then changes it into an algorithmic messaging where you can hear more of something that they want you to hear and less of something else.

968.606 - 1001.254 Scott Adams

I would argue that the speech by individuals is protected, but the speech collectively by what the algorithm controlled by China does may not be. So I think we have to look at the collective effect of the algorithm as a form of its own speech. Is that protected? I don't know. I don't know. Now, I do agree with saving TikTok if we can get an American owner.

1002.626 - 1022.972 Scott Adams

I would ideally like that to be somebody who's compatible with the Trump world, which would give the political right the two biggest, most important platforms by far. Imagine if somebody who's at least friendly with the right, so they're not going to be sending negative messages about the right,

1024.626 - 1060.07 Scott Adams

Can you imagine if, by the end of the Trump administration, imagine if Musk owns X, some ally of Trump owns TikTok, and then the regular media landscape, the traditional media, continues to fall into irrelevance, and the podcasting atmosphere is really, really well done by conservatives. Probably better than the Democrats are doing, but I don't have much visibility on that. So I don't know.

1060.11 - 1081.925 Scott Adams

Things are heading toward how in the world can Democrats ever recover? I guess that's my theme for today. How in the world, what kind of path would they have to ever recover? They don't have a personality. They don't have a plan. They're losing all their platforms. They don't have messaging. They don't have skill. They don't have any understanding of what went wrong.

Chapter 5: What does the resignation of Matthew Graves signify?

1337.398 - 1365.736 Scott Adams

Because now if somebody posts some insult about him and they don't respond to it, you don't say, oh, it must be true because he's not responding. You can just say, oh, they've all been asked not to use social media for a few weeks. So I'm going to call this yet again another example of the Trump team. First the campaign and now the team that he's putting together. They're really good.

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1366.886 - 1395.827 Scott Adams

They're really, really good. It's hard for me to pick out mistakes. And this is one of those things where I've never seen it done before. But it's right on point. It's like 100%. Yeah, this is exactly what you should do. Ask them not to post. Smart. They just keep being smart. And again, I always feel like I have to say this. The boss still gets the credit. That's the way it works, right?

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1395.987 - 1421.084 Scott Adams

Trump is the one who picked his team. Trump is the one who says yes or no to everything. So no matter how good his advisors are, and they are very good, the boss still gets the credit. All right. MSNBC is wondering why there isn't more pushback on Trump, why the media isn't attacking him as much as they hoped or expect.

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1421.705 - 1448.237 Scott Adams

They pointed out one of their shows that there don't seem to be many protests and the foreign leaders are not bristling, they're sort of embracing him. And they're trying to figure out, like, why is it different? So MSNBC is the dumbest show on TV, which I treat as a comedy network, like literally. When I say I treat MSNBC as a comedy network, that's not a hyperbole.

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1448.878 - 1475.609 Scott Adams

It's literally the only reason I watch it, and I watch it a lot. I watch it because I can't even believe what I'm seeing. The propaganda is so thick. that they've sort of left the pretense of being news, you know, if you've been paying attention. They're just some humorously ineffective propaganda. If their propaganda were effective, it wouldn't be funny at all.

1476.73 - 1502.295 Scott Adams

But the fact that it doesn't work and all it does is make the Democrats weaker every day, that's funny because they haven't figured out that they're only making things worse. That's funny. Anyway, so here's their speculation. about why the public is being nicer to Trump, not as many protests, and foreign leaders are being nicer to him, and basically, there's just not enough resistance.

1503.336 - 1534.226 Scott Adams

Their best idea was sheer exhaustion, that Trump wore out the resistance, to which I say, did MSNBC not notice that he won the majority vote? Maybe one difference is that the majority of Americans agree with him, and they agree with him so much that after four years of Biden's failures, they practically begged him to come back in office.

1535.207 - 1556.959 Scott Adams

And they're pretty happy about what he's suggesting, because the top three things he suggests are exactly what the top three things the public wanted. Could it be that the reason there are no protests is that Nobody has the incentive. What, is there somebody who desperately wants to go back to the Biden economy? I've not met anybody.

1557.699 - 1585.694 Scott Adams

Have you ever met a Democrat who said, you know, there's some things Biden didn't get right, but I sure liked his economy. I haven't heard that. So could it be that it's not sheer exhaustion? Could it be that even the people who disagreed with him agree that they didn't run a better candidate on the other side. And isn't it true that the Democrats can see that everything they tried fell apart?

Chapter 6: How is Elon Musk's humor changing public perception?

1823.369 - 1852.05 Scott Adams

So why is it that MSNBC thinks it's the opposite of what it is? Well, it's projection. The MSNBC thing is just pure projection. And Well, that's all it is. Men are not in crisis over any of the political stuff. Not even close. Men are in crisis, but not over the politics.

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1853.712 - 1879.811 Scott Adams

According to Reddit, there's a suggestion that some large accounts on X that have a lot of followers are sometimes selling their account to bad actors who are using their big accounts to push their propaganda. And Musk says if he finds them, he's going to nuke them. But again, look out for fake accounts.

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1880.271 - 1916.003 Scott Adams

So the fakery and the persuasion from social media is kind of the biggest variable going forward. Meanwhile, let me just point out one other thing. So How many of you would agree with the following statement, that Elon Musk's support of Trump put him over the top? Now we don't know that, but does that seem seem real to you. Some say he spent $250 million.

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1917.864 - 1947.449 Scott Adams

Certainly, Musk made it safe for other tech people to support Trump. Wouldn't you agree? Because if Elon's doing it and he's the smartest person that we know in the public life, it just makes you say, wait a minute. Like, why is he doing this? He's smarter than me. So I think that Elon... that Elon's contribution to the campaign, especially in Pennsylvania, probably put him over the top.

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1947.81 - 1968.187 Scott Adams

Now, you could say that about other things. You could say Scott Pressler put him over the top. You could say, you know, Laura Trump and, you know, other people did such a good job that it put him over the top. And you could say that, you know, some influencer was so good it put him over the top. But you needed all of it. You probably needed all of it to go the way it went.

1968.827 - 1994.066 Scott Adams

But I do think that Elon's involvement... More important than others. How about Joe Rogan's? Yeah, you beat me to it. What about Joe Rogan's contribution? I think it's huge because Rogan doesn't even identify as a Republican. I mean, he was a Bernie supporter just recently. And Elon was also Democrat until recently.

1994.526 - 2020.258 Scott Adams

So when you see people who are lifelong Democrats say, we've left the plane of common sense. Let's just be reasonable and be smart about this. I think that between Rogan and Musk, it made it completely safe to support Trump. And it also made it, wait for it, it made it the manly thing to do.

2021.499 - 2045.509 Scott Adams

meaning that men could feel good about their identity if they're agreeing with Rogan and Musk, because men like those two. We admire both of their accomplishments in different ways. So if you accept that Rogan and Musk were really a critical part of putting Trump into the winning category,

2047.885 - 2070.338 Scott Adams

would point out that both of them have noted that the fine people hoax was their sort of the thing that woke them up so they both said that once you realize the fine people hoax was a hoax it kind of allows you to see the other hoaxes it almost like suddenly everything comes into focus and you say wait a minute

Chapter 7: What are the implications of AI users on social media platforms?

2255.737 - 2284.867 Scott Adams

And the reason I can't tell you it's the biggest story of the year that it got debunked and it collapsed the entire tent is that they were responsible for it. So the news can't tell you the news because the news is that the news were the bad guys who kept the tent pole alive. It wasn't the Democrats. It was the news. The fake news knowingly, knowingly kept that tent pole alive. And when it fell...

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2286.678 - 2318.523 Scott Adams

It fell hard. And I don't think they can recover. They're all buried under the tent. They have no idea what's outside the tent at this point. All right. So Biden found another $5.9 billion to send to Ukraine. And he said he's directed his administration to surge as much assistance to Ukraine as possible. So this is how Biden describes it. And this is actually a good communication-wise.

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2318.603 - 2339.45 Scott Adams

His advisors did him a solid on this one. So rather than making it sound like we're just shipping our money over to Ukraine, he tries to soften it by saying that what we're really doing is we're drawing down our older equipment, meaning that we're sending our older stuff to Ukraine, and then we're replacing it so that we have new stuff

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2340.56 - 2356.553 Scott Adams

And Ukraine still has stuff, but we have newer stuff, so we're better off. Now, that does soften it. It does soften it. So if you knew that $5.9 billion was just going to Ukraine, that would sound pretty bad.

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2357.233 - 2379.247 Scott Adams

If you knew that we were going to upgrade all of this equipment anyway, I don't know that that's true, but if you thought it was true, you'd say, oh, well, we were kind of going to spend it anyway. So... What were we even going to do with the old stuff? How do you get rid of the old stuff anyway? Might as well send it to Ukraine. So he does have a point. He does have a point.

2379.867 - 2416.935 Scott Adams

But there's a bigger point. Trump won. Trump won. And to me, once the people have spoken, especially by a majority of voters... Anything that the outgoing administration does that is designed specifically to thwart the ambitions of the incoming administration, that feels like very wrong. It's not just wrong because you don't like the policy.

2417.935 - 2443.394 Scott Adams

It's wrong because we're only a few weeks away from the new leader. The new leader probably has different ideas about how much to feed the monster. And if you're doing things that are dramatically in contrast to what the incoming administration wants, that borders on, it's not treason, but there's some kind of disloyalty to the public. That's the way to say it, right?

2443.434 - 2471.298 Scott Adams

There's not a criminal act, but the disloyalty, the disrespect to the voters, it's a little hard for me to ignore. Like, I feel I'm literally being insulted. because we had this system, there was a winner, and now they're acting as if we didn't vote and we didn't pick a winner. What they should be doing is consulting with the incoming, as if this could ever happen in the real world.

2471.779 - 2491.2 Scott Adams

But if they were acting as adults, the transition teams are talking, right? So they have lots of communication. Everybody says so. And Biden should be checking with Trump and saying, hey, Are you okay with us buying new equipment and getting rid of some of the old equipment?

Chapter 8: How are Trump's social media strategies evolving?

3568.598 - 3596.23 Scott Adams

They're not going to be manipulated by machines. Because if this were possible, then there'd be no free will. Right? No, I'm just joking, because I know you wanted to get into that conversation, but that's not what we're talking about. I don't know. I don't know what the potential is for the current versions of AI. Because the current versions are pattern recognizers.

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3596.97 - 3617.34 Scott Adams

And I don't know if they would know where to find the right patterns to be good persuaders. And I also don't know if they can read the room. So at the moment... AI doesn't do a good job of knowing what people are feeling and thinking at this exact moment, sort of the zeitgeist it's called.

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3617.881 - 3644.456 Scott Adams

The thing that we're all feeling, even if nobody said it, usually we do say it, but it's some kind of common feeling that we all get at the same time. I don't know that AI can do that yet. Maybe it can someday. But if it doesn't know how people are feeling at the moment, and it also can't test what it's doing against itself, So this is the big skill of persuasion.

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3645.476 - 3668.62 Scott Adams

So before I say something that I hope to persuade somebody, I roll it around in my head and then I feel whether it would persuade me. So persuasion is what you feel. It's not your rational common sense stuff. It's what you feel. So I can pre-test everything I say by running it through my mind and saying, how would that make me feel?

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3669.642 - 3697.32 Scott Adams

Well, it probably would make other people feel the same because we're not that different. So AI will always be limited by not knowing how people feel and especially not knowing how they feel right at this moment because that's when it matters. So for a short time, people like me will be able to out-persuade AI. People like Trump will be able to out-persuade AI.

3699.079 - 3732.016 Scott Adams

But we're going to lose our advantage soon enough. I don't know if it's in five years or one year or what. But those who know how to persuade, we're still ahead. And still ahead by a pretty good margin. But that's going to change. And I don't know what kind of world that looks like. Anyway... And I saw a post by ex-user Rick Hankins, who was commenting on this.

3732.896 - 3760.759 Scott Adams

And he said, study persuasion and hypnosis. And he points out that, unfortunately, certain personality types will have no defense against the AI trying to manipulate you. And I had to comment on that myself. because I have a little bit more experience in that domain, and tell them that he needs to, he said study persuasion and hypnosis, and I told him to study harder, because nobody has a defense.

3762.119 - 3785.79 Scott Adams

If he knew a little bit, it looks like he knows a bit about persuasion and hypnosis. If he knew a little more, you would know that there's no human defense. Everybody's persuadable. What's different is what you use to persuade them. A human can figure that out if they're experienced. And so a human like me could figure out what do I need to persuade this person?

3786.35 - 3811.835 Scott Adams

It's still, you know, you still use the same toolbox, but the tool that you pick out of the box will be based on that person and how much you hit that tool will be based on that person. So AI can't do that yet. Um, but it will. So no, nobody has any defense. Your strong mind, your free will, your greater knowledge of things, your understanding of propaganda, you think they would help you.

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