Digital Social Hour
How Discipline Wins Big in Sports Betting | Steve Stevens DSH #1299
Sat, 05 Apr 2025
How does discipline lead to big wins in sports betting? 🏆 Tune in to this thrilling episode of the Digital Social Hour Podcast with Sean Kelly as special guest Steve Stevens shares his insider secrets to success! 🎙️ Packed with valuable insights, Steve breaks down why money management, discipline, and treating betting like a business are key to winning – especially in baseball where underdog value can change the game. ⚾ From March Madness strategies to navigating scams in the industry, this conversation is full of real talk, eye-opening stories, and laughs. 🚨 Curious about NIL deals, betting trends, and why Steve calls the NFL "WWE"? You don’t want to miss this! Join the conversation and discover how smart strategies and discipline can make all the difference. Watch now and subscribe for more insider secrets. 📺 Hit that subscribe button and stay tuned for more engaging episodes of the Digital Social Hour with Sean Kelly! 🚀 CHAPTERS: 00:00 - Intro 00:27 - Steve Stevens 02:38 - March Madness Betting 07:38 - NBA Insights 09:33 - LeBron James Jr Overview 13:23 - AI in Sports Betting 15:35 - Steve Will Do It vs Sean Perry Showdown 17:14 - Money Talks New Era Overview 19:20 - Managing Stress Techniques 20:44 - Betting Preferences: UFC and Soccer 22:00 - Steve’s Prostitute Analogy Explained 23:51 - NFL Rigging Controversy 26:15 - Conor’s Final Thoughts 26:39 - Where to Find Steve Online 26:54 - Money Talks New Era Air Date 27:55 - Future of Sports Betting Legality APPLY TO BE ON THE PODCAST: https://www.digitalsocialhour.com/application BUSINESS INQUIRIES/SPONSORS: jenna@digitalsocialhour.com GUEST: Steve Stevens https://www.instagram.com/vipsportslv LISTEN ON: Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/digital-social-hour/id1676846015 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5Jn7LXarRlI8Hc0GtTn759 Sean Kelly Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/seanmikekelly/ #collegebasketball #draftkings #mlbpicks #bettingtips #arbitragebetting
Chapter 1: What is the importance of discipline in sports betting?
Every day, well, Steve, what do you think is a lot? 80% of the time, you're walking these guys off the ledge as half of your job. Because they've been robbed by a fake discord or this guy that claimed to be this, that, or the other, whatever the case is, and they just flat out been burned and lost a bunch of money. So they're going to be skeptical right off the fucking bat.
Hmm.
All right. He's back. One of my most viewed guests, Steve Stevens. Let's go, baby. What's up? Let's get it. Let's go. Baseball starts today. It sure does. I couldn't be more excited, brother. You know, that's where all the money's at. MLB. That's the one sport that isn't rigged, huh?
Chapter 2: Why is baseball considered a favorable sport for betting?
Well, one thing about baseball, all I got to do is win the game. There's no point spread. There's no losing by a hook and all that type of shit. I don't know what you're doing.
Do you bet from day one on baseball or are you going to wait a little bit?
Well, one thing about baseball, as you know, brother, the lines are soft. All right. The sports, you know, the guys that make the lines, it's a very soft time. The lines are soft. They're going off last year's power rankings, last year's players. A lot of shit changes over the years. So you follow baseball closely and the trends and the different things. It's unbelievable.
Do you bet on every baseball game? Absolutely not. Every baseball game. No, I'm money management and discipline, brother. One game a day, not every day. There's games I'll bet two games in a day, but no.
like that because some people try to bet on every single thing.
Yeah. And those are the same guys living in a two bedroom apartment, broke as fuck. So looking for a free beer and a hot dog at the fucking sports book. I do this as a business. I treat it strictly as a business. No degenerate level, no feelings. You know, there's no feelings when it comes down to sports betting, brother. Straight the fuck up. It's all facts, right? It's all facts.
And one thing that's great about baseball is hitting 60% in baseball is is equivalent to hitting 75% in NBA or football because it gives you a 15% to 20% edge with the underdog value.
Damn.
I'll give you an example. Let's say you bet $2,000 a game, okay?
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Chapter 3: How do March Madness strategies differ from regular season betting?
Absolutely. And there's other things about baseball as well that you don't see on the little game sheet that you go get when you fucking bet. You got to look at a lot of pitcher umpire matchups, you know, strike zones.
You know, there's so many different things in baseball and elements and current up-to-date information with trends to where if you're actually watching and know what you're doing, you can actually get paid versus all the theatrics and bullshit that happens, as you know, in football, college basketball, the whole nine yards. How's your March Madness been going? Yeah. Absolutely blessing.
We've been tearing them up. Underdogs. Like I said, throughout the year, I pretty much in college basketball, I played, you know, a lot of favorites, you know, more than underdogs this particular year. But during the tournament, been playing these dogs. You know, there's a lot of teams, like, let me give you an example. Auburn. Let's talk about Auburn.
Do you know that Auburn led college basketball 70% of the year as the number one team? No, I didn't know that. But nobody gives them no respect, no nothing going into the Sweet 16. You know, so it's hype, hype teams. You know, this NIL is in full effect. Motherfuckers are getting paid and they're out there grinding, doing whatever it takes.
You know, when me and you were kids, when we'd be out there balling, like I'm a little older than you. I wanted to be Jordan, whatever the fucking case is. I'm out there doing my thing. You know, I'm looking to make it to the NBA one day in my dreams, right?
These youngsters now, brother, they're just looking to make it to a bomb-ass fucking college school where they could get some NIL and become a multimillionaire. The dream has changed. You know how many kids, like back in the day, think about our UNLV running Rebel team back in the 90s when we won the championship.
We had three, four players like Anderson Hunt entered the draft and he never got picked up or anything like that. But do you know how much NIL money that these guys would have made back then? You know, they prostituted them out. They put these guys front page every magazine, make them go meet all the boosters, make them do this, that, and the other. And they didn't get a fucking penny.
They're probably bitter, to be honest with you. People wish they'd be born in this time and age with that NIL. But, you know, with NIL in full effect, brother, a lot of these teams are going to get stronger. You know, that's why I was saying the other day, you know, Cinderella, you always hear the term Cinderella. There's not going to be too much more Cinderella's with NIL.
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Chapter 4: How does NIL affect college basketball dynamics?
Hmm.
I mean, let me ask you. I play, let's just say I'm from Xavier. I'm going to offer you 250,000 NIL. You get the same offer, 250 for Duke. Where are you going?
duke there you go so that's the prime example how the strong will get stronger and a lot of these teams uh you know will be very difficult and you can put together a little dream team here pretty soon yeah well the colleges that got money are going to just keep getting better 100 and their teams will get stronger and stronger and stronger and a teak like duke they don't really disassemble you notice they know how to keep their players and now that you could legally pay them they've probably been doing it for years they just never got caught oh easily no we got caught like a motherfucker if you don't think motherfuckers are out there getting milked and paid to do their thing and
That's why UNLV program is just such a fucking embarrassment for me being a guy that's born and raised in Vegas. And, you know, seeing what the program has turned into today. I mean, who did we just get, Josh? I mean, who gives a fuck? What's this guy going to do for us?
Did they even make the March Madness this year, UNLV?
Fuck no. March Madness. They didn't make NIT. They couldn't even get the job done. But my point is, like, who's running the program? You need to get the president of UNLV on here. Let him know Steve Stevens to take that organization over. Get you a fucking coach. Get you some top-notch players. Pay these motherfuckers. Bring them to Las Vegas and show you a championship team within five years.
Let's set that up, man. I mean, please do. Vegas is willing to support it. It's just they can't get their shit together. Same with the Raiders, dude. I don't know what's going on over there.
Oh, they're ass, bro. Are they on their fifth coach now in like seven years?
But March Madness, it's for any sports better out there that's serious about getting money, this is it. You know, for two months, from March all the way to the beginning of April, March Madness owns sports, if you haven't noticed. You don't turn on your TV. They own every commercial. They own sports. So, yeah, it's a great time to make money. Now, do you get inside information?
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Chapter 5: What are the challenges of betting on NBA and WNBA games?
Is that because a lot of people are sitting out and it's unpredictable or?
uh that and you smoke a bunch of weed they fuck about six times a day they're fucking drunk they're at the club they're hanging with rappers they're fucking every bitch in fucking town and yeah it's not a sport that i'm looking to put my hard-earned money on real fucking simple and anybody else does they're they're just guessing or a borderline degenerate you know there's some information that you can get but you see all these guys catching cases they were betting on their own team and fucking losing yeah they were fucking trying to fix shit and still losing how stupid can you get
No, I've seen that. What about WNBA?
You bet on that? No, well, yeah, you can't bet enough. I would love to be able to fire $50,000 a game on WNBA. You won't find a place in town or any sports book ever that'll let you bet more than $2,000, $5,000 max. Floyd Money May, he's been asking me for... Last year's D, dude, we got to find someone to let me fire, you know, 50, you know, 100 a game on these WNBAs.
You can't because you could win easily if you know what you're doing.
The market's not big enough.
Yeah, yeah. The lines, it doesn't seem like the lines makers have really keyed into that with the women's, especially college.
Did you see the look off? College? It's big too, dude. College women's?
Oh my God, yeah. Like if I could bet big money on that, I'd be super paid.
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Chapter 6: Can AI revolutionize sports betting?
If LeBron wins this year, would you put him as the GOAT?
No, I never will. I'm from that Jordan era, brother. I used to watch the games, get the chills and seeing what Mike did. There's just no comparison. I mean, I wouldn't say there's no comparison because, I mean, people will fight me all day on that. Just my opinion, Jordan all day. The feeling I used to get seeing Mike doing what he did and take over a game and Just really get it done, yeah.
I mean, is LeBron a bigger, stronger, new-aged fucking player? Like the mannequin you see at fucking Nigtown? Yeah, 100%.
But no, Jordan all day. Steph Curry or Magic Johnson? I got to go with Steph. Really? Yeah, I got to go with Steph. I'm surprised because you're from that era.
Yeah, 100%. So Magic's no joke. Like I said, everything about him I love, but I'd take Steph on my team.
Damn. Yeah. Okay, okay. You bet online or are you betting all in person these days?
Most of my, well, I got accounts, you know, I do local, you know, bet MGM and stuff like that. But yeah, I usually go with accounts and stuff like that, you know, with filming the show. And actually the last couple of years, I don't, I don't get in the casino much, brother. The kids will weigh you down like that. You know, I don't live that life no more. Go sit in a casino.
Even when my clients come into town, I don't go watch games with them. Just one thing I don't do. I treat it as a business. Now, if you have big money on it and you want to go cheer and watch it, God bless you. I'll meet you for dinner after the game. I'm not into sweating out games and stressing out.
I'm too old for that shit. I feel that. Are you worried about AI getting good at sports betting?
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Chapter 7: How effective are algorithms in sports betting?
No.
You don't think it'll be as good as you?
I can't say that because the shit these guys are coming up with. You're a tech dude. You better tell me. They ain't fucking around, homie. You wouldn't be asking the question if you didn't think it wasn't possible.
So I think it's possible. Here's why. It's already the best at chess. It's the best at poker. It's the best at a lot of shit. Oh, my God. But sports betting is a little more complicated, I think.
Yeah.
Because it's not just about stats, right?
So what they should do is the AI should just focus on being the book and collecting as much money as they possibly can.
Well, the casinos probably use AI to make their lines, right?
That's another thing I wanted to talk to you about, you know, because, you know, I know you've had some of these dudes on your show with algorithms or blah, blah, blah, blah, blah. You don't think the guys that make the lines use the most advanced fucking algorithms there are in the fucking planet? I mean, can you answer that for me, brother? You're a tech dude. No, they do. Okay, they do.
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