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Becker Private Equity & Business Podcast

The Stock Market, Tariffs & Reactionary Perspectives 3-24-25

Mon, 24 Mar 2025

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In this episode, Scott Becker discusses the stock market’s positive reaction to hopes that President Trump will ease tariff policies.

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Chapter 1: What is the main topic of this episode?

0.089 - 14.954 Scott Becker

This is Scott Becker with the Becker Private Equity and Business Podcast. Thank you for joining us. Today's discussion is on the stock markets, tariffs, and reactionary perspectives. So here's the deal.

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Chapter 2: Why is the stock market reacting positively?

15.154 - 41.42 Scott Becker

I mean, the first news today really is that the stock market is surging based on thoughts that President Trump will start to calm the tariff fares and sort of soften the tariff war that's been ongoing. The second thought for the day is that I am generally not a pro-tariff guy. Generally, I've been a bigger fan of free trade and more trade between nations.

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41.44 - 60.195 Scott Becker

I think it's good for a lot of different reasons aside from lowering the cost of goods in the U.S., It also more economic relations between countries tends to lessen the chance of conflict in wars, which I think is a good thing. Now, the only thing that makes me pro-tariff is really a couple of things that caused me to become pro-tariff.

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Chapter 3: What are the implications of tariffs on trade?

60.215 - 79.897 Scott Becker

And again, the big news of the day is that the markets are way up based on Trump dialing down tariff affairs in hopes that he'll try and ease up on some of the tariffs that he's doing. But the thing that makes me change sides or become a reaction on this issue is as follows. The U.S. traditionally has had lower tariffs than the rest of the world. The U.S.

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Chapter 4: How do tariffs affect the U.S. economy?

79.917 - 102.732 Scott Becker

has also ran trade deficits like no other country in the history of the world, meaning we're buying a ton of stuff from other countries and exporting a lot less. Our net trade deficit is really high. We export a couple trillion dollars in goods a year, but we import a ton more than that. And that can generally lead to

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Chapter 5: What makes Scott Becker reconsider tariffs?

103.849 - 133.264 Scott Becker

uh lower wages here uh because we're not keeping our workforce busy doing some of the jobs that we're buying from overseas uh and it could also lead to in lots of deficits as a country which has done a marvelous job of rolling up so again i'm generally anti-tariff but the only thing that makes me pro-tariff is when countries that import almost nothing from the united states then threaten retaliatory tariffs we import a ton from them

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134.624 - 158.867 Scott Becker

in part because we've had low tariffs on goods coming in. They import next to nothing from us in part because they have high tariffs coming into their country. And then when we start to use tariffs to sort of even the playing field some, they start to go crazy about imposing retaliatory tariffs. And they're often imposing retaliatory tariffs on literally

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159.708 - 186.097 Scott Becker

a small fraction of the goods that we import so they import almost nothing and threaten tariffs and this is the only natural sort of jingoistic type of national nationalistic type of fervor that leads me to become pro-tariff it's this sort of whining from countries that go crazy when we impose tariffs that become close to their tariffs and then they threaten tariffs on us

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186.94 - 208.623 Scott Becker

on the nothing that they import from us to begin with. And remember, this whole debate starts because we're essentially importing a ton more goods than we're exporting. These other countries are buying goods from us, and they've traditionally had higher tariffs than us. In any event, that's the gist of today's discussion. And the good news is the market's way up on potential reduced tariffs

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209.497 - 214.038 Scott Becker

The second and third thoughts here are essentially that I'm not a pro-tariff guy.

214.358 - 236.583 Scott Becker

When these countries that import nothing from us and charge us already big tariffs on goods exported into their country start complaining about us imposing some tariffs, then I can't get more further behind the tariffs just as a reaction to this ridiculous behavior from some of these countries that have already been so soft on importing from us and why we run such a huge trade deficit.

237.276 - 255.631 Scott Becker

I hope people follow the line of thought here and love your thoughts on it. Please feel free at any time to text Scott Becker, 773-766-5322. You know, I know people have all kinds of different views on this. Thank you so much for listening to the Becker Private Equity and Business Podcast. Thank you very much.

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