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Becker Private Equity & Business Podcast

Private Equity Sentiment, Market Momentum & Access to Capital with Rick Kes of RSM 5-17-25

Sat, 17 May 2025

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In this episode, Rick Kes, Partner at RSM, joins Scott Becker to discuss the cautious optimism in private equity, the impact of public market news on investor sentiment, and ongoing challenges around interest rates and access to capital.

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Chapter 1: What does RSM do and who is Rick Kes?

0.285 - 19.942 Scott Becker

This is Scott Becker with the Becker Private Equity and Business Podcast. Thrilled today to be joined by regular guest, Rick Kess. Rick talks to us regularly about issues he's watching in private equity and trends he's seeing. Rick, let me ask you to take a moment to tee yourself up. Tell us a little bit about RSM and about yourself.

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Chapter 2: What trends are currently impacting private equity?

20.843 - 27.789 Scott Becker

Then we'll talk a little bit about what trends you're watching currently, whether the market's rebounding, the trade thoughts are going to help the private equity markets.

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29.065 - 49.07 Rick Kes

Yeah, Scott, thank you. Yeah, for those of you who aren't familiar with RSM, we are the leading provider of services to the middle market. So we are the fifth largest professional service firm in the U.S., very focused on companies, you know, around a hundred million dollars to about $5 billion of revenue.

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49.09 - 70.348 Rick Kes

So big swath of the GDP, roughly about a little over a third of the overall GDP is represented in that client base. So, you know, we provide tons of services to private equity companies and their portfolio holdings due to the fact that many of them kind of sit in the middle market. And we have been doing so for a very long time and build a pretty robust

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71.128 - 91.319 Rick Kes

both brand reputation in the market as well as just kind of infrastructure of managing our private equity relationships in a way that we think differentiates us from the competitors. You know, me, myself, I've been at the firm about 20 years, served in many roles within the industry of healthcare and overall just private equity related management.

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91.379 - 96.862 Rick Kes

So I'm glad to be part of the conversation and, you know, talk a little bit about what's going on and what we're seeing.

Chapter 3: How are public markets influencing private equity sentiment?

98.677 - 115.903 Scott Becker

Thank you so much. So the markets have been rebounding recently, almost back to flat year to date, the public markets. Literally, it feels like for the last six weeks, the private equity markets have been on sort of a pause. What is your sense of how those are going to start rebounding or moving? Any thoughts on that?

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117.011 - 144.538 Rick Kes

Yeah, I mean, obviously, with the news that broke this morning about a 90-day pause on certain tariffs with China, I think that's interesting news for sure. And I wasn't surprised to see the markets react in a favorable fashion to that. I do think, like we've talked about before, Scott, that The public market is obviously very easy to read. It's very easy to obtain data about.

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144.599 - 165.875 Rick Kes

It's very easy to kind of get insights. You can pop on CNBC or Bloomberg Television or whatever you want to watch and get a lot of great intel and kind of the sentiment of the street, if you will. It's a lot harder in the private equity world, as you know, because, you know, a lot of that stuff is just quite frankly private. And so really harder to get to it.

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Chapter 4: What factors are contributing to cautious optimism in private equity?

Chapter 5: How do tariffs affect market momentum?

98.677 - 115.903 Scott Becker

Thank you so much. So the markets have been rebounding recently, almost back to flat year to date, the public markets. Literally, it feels like for the last six weeks, the private equity markets have been on sort of a pause. What is your sense of how those are going to start rebounding or moving? Any thoughts on that?

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117.011 - 144.538 Rick Kes

Yeah, I mean, obviously, with the news that broke this morning about a 90-day pause on certain tariffs with China, I think that's interesting news for sure. And I wasn't surprised to see the markets react in a favorable fashion to that. I do think, like we've talked about before, Scott, that The public market is obviously very easy to read. It's very easy to obtain data about.

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144.599 - 165.875 Rick Kes

It's very easy to kind of get insights. You can pop on CNBC or Bloomberg Television or whatever you want to watch and get a lot of great intel and kind of the sentiment of the street, if you will. It's a lot harder in the private equity world, as you know, because, you know, a lot of that stuff is just quite frankly private. And so really harder to get to it.

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166.376 - 183.349 Rick Kes

You know, I think we spent a lot of time, obviously, with fund fund managers, you know, people within private equity groups, people at the portfolio level. I think the overall sentiment is that a lot of them are kind of cautiously optimistic and they've been that way for a long time.

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183.369 - 204.142 Rick Kes

I think we all see a lot of the data points, whether it be dry powder or hold periods or other things where we start to think, well, if we just get a couple nice, you know, momentum changes, whether it's interest rate cuts or, you know, good deal environment or any, you know, any little thing that could help, you know, push the ball down the hill.

204.242 - 220.93 Rick Kes

Once that ball starts, I think a lot of people are hoping that it keeps rolling. And, you know, I think that there's some truth to that. So I think, you know, The news that broke today is great. I think it pushes people into a positive sentiment overall, even though it's more probably from the public markets.

220.99 - 236.48 Rick Kes

But I think overall, positivity is going to help push that ball forward and start to gain momentum and speed and have it go down the hill and start the deal flow volume that I think we've all kind of been waiting for for the last 18 months or so.

236.5 - 253.051 Scott Becker

Thank you. And at the end of the day, margins and debt, and the cost of debt are still very important. So a company's margins performing, and are the interest rates going to be too high or not, are still very, very important.

253.511 - 267.759 Scott Becker

And so to your point, even though the public markets explode upward today, that doesn't mean that margins have gotten better for a lot of privately held companies, where the interest rate costs are yet down, where it makes it easier to buy things with financing.

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