Dexter Filkins
Appearances
Apple News Today
The key Democrats forming a resistance to Trump
When, for instance, you hear that the Navy is deploying ships that don't have enough sailors on them, Or, you know, the Army came up 15,000 recruits short of its quota in 2023. Those things are concerning because what if terrible prospect, but what if we had to go to war? What if we were attacked? Could we defend the country?
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
I mean, literally, Ahmed al-Shara, the leader, the sort of leader of the new leader of Syria, Like he gave an interview to The Economist like a week or so ago, and it was remarkable. He was they found him, you know, or they went to meet him sitting in Assad's old palace, which is, you know, six or seven times the size of the White House. And there's basically no one there.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
And it was it was like him and five other guys. And then there was like a room where they went to pray. And it's like there's nothing there. And like the lights aren't on. So so there's a lot of space there for bad guys to run around. Right.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
I think the concern – ISIS has been kind of bottled up in the desert for a long time, you know, ever since Obama and then Trump, you know, I think very effectively, you know, destroyed them. Or not destroyed because they're still out there. But they've been infiltrating back into, you know, Damascus and other places.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
And so I think there's a lot of concern that, like, they're going to start to move and they're going to take advantage of the kind of big open space and the lack of government authority in Syria. And so – You know, that's a real concern. And then there's like, you know, the group that took over Syria was just part of a coalition of a bunch of other armed groups.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
Those armed groups are still around. They don't necessarily, I mean, some have been quite clear about it. They don't buy into the kind of the idea that al-Shara is the leader. And they're like, well, what about us?
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
Well, he wants to reimpose the really strict sanctions on Iran that were in place During his first term and what the really important piece of that is, is, you know, it's all aimed at Iran's oil. And so a lot of that was lifted when Biden came back in, you know, and the Biden administration had this idea that, OK, like, well, we'll try being nice. Let's let's see if that gets us anywhere.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
It didn't. The Iranian regime has been enriching uranium as fast as they possibly can and they're – I think Trump said this yesterday. How close are they to a nuclear bomb? And he said, well, they're too close. They're very close. It's basically turnkey at this point. Maximum pressure campaign is going to be reimposed and it's going to be hard because I think –
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
They were very effective Trump sanctions in the first term. It's squeezing the Iranians like like all their clients out in the Middle East, like Hezbollah. They like weren't getting paid. It really it really, really hurt them. And so when the Biden administration took those off, they got kind of a shot of life. So now they're going to try to reimpose these. I think the really hard part of this.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
It's going to be like Iran is selling a lot of oil and they're selling a lot of oil to China. And China's happy to buy it. You know, they have an inexhaustible appetite for oil. Can we like call the Chinese up and go, hey, do you think you can just stop buying all that Iranian oil every day? That's going to be hard. That's going to be really hard.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
Well, they've been doing a fair amount. So when Biden came in in 2021, he appoints Lloyd Austin as Secretary of Defense, former general. And essentially signs an order saying set up DEI, you know, diversity, equity, inclusion across the Pentagon. And, you know, the U.S. military, we're talking 3 million people, civilian and military.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
And so they set up this bureaucracy that kind of, you know, there's like required classes and stuff. They sort of don't amount to all that much, but they also do a bunch of things. You know, this stuff is so sensitive and it's so controversial. And so, for instance... the Navy did a recruiting ad by a transsexual.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
And I think the Navy also did an ad, maybe it was in the Army, but they also did an ad, a kind of animated ad, showing a female couple in the military kind of, you know, getting along fine and thriving in the military. And so they did stuff like that that was kind of, you know, substantively, it might not have been all that much, but it was very visible.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
And I think it got a lot of people's attention.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
That wasn't my sense of the motivation. I talked to a lot of people, a lot of veterans particularly, who are really opposed to DEI in the military. And what they typically would say is everybody's for diversity in the military. It's that DEI essentially in practice amounts to reverse discrimination and amounts to quotas, even if that's not true. What it says in practice.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
But I think, and this is important, I think whether or not the DEI in practice was what they said it was, that is a very widespread perception. And it's a lot of people, and if a lot of people believe that, and a lot of people are talking about it, and a lot of people are online about it, I think there's a pretty good case to be made that that hurt recruiting in the military.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
Because it's just because this stuff is so hot button, it's so sensitive that, you know, immediately you lose half of America, right? And so it's like we live in a polarized country. And so when you mention something like DEI, a lot of backs go up. And I think that was happening here. And so I think in this case, it kind of matters less, right?
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
what the Pentagon was actually doing than what the perception was.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
It's really bad. I think the worst place, the toughest place is the Navy, where, you know, you got to go out to sea for months at a time. But for instance, some huge number of ships and submarines in the Navy, in the U.S. Navy, can't go out to sea for lack of maintenance. It's, you know, just an amazing number, like, you know,
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
I think it was like 40% of the attack submarines are like in port because they're waiting for maintenance. And what somebody explained to me, former naval officer who works in a think tank, studies the stuff in Washington, said that typically what's happening is the Navy is so undermanned that they're sending ships out to sea without enough sailors on them.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
And what that means is the priority is to put sailors on deck. So everybody on deck to your job. And what that means is that they're not below deck. Maintaining the engines, maintaining the ship, maintaining the computers. And so the maintenance is slipping on the ships and on the subs because they don't have enough people. So I think for the Navy, the Navy is just, their problems are gigantic.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
I mean, I think they've really had to lower some standards to get people to come in.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
Well, they don't have enough ships to do everything that they want to do. And that's really the big question, right? So since 1945, the United States has basically taken upon itself world leadership. And that means, among other things, kind of policing the sea lanes, the international sea lanes, which basically keep you know, international commerce kind of flowing.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
The Navy, for instance, has a goal of having 75 service ships at sea all the time. They can't meet that number. And they can't meet it for any number of reasons. I mean, we have about 300 ships in the Navy. It used to be close to 700 ships in the Navy at the end of the Cold War. So they don't have enough ships to do the things that they want to do. And so it raises this
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
really large question, which is, if we don't have the armed forces to support the global commitments that we've made, do we make the military bigger or do we scale back the commitments? And, you know, that's the really big question, the hardest one to answer.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
I think the moment we're in right now, 2025, if you kind of look at the history of the 20th century, to me looks, you know, more and more like 1938. every day. There's all these authoritarian powers, China, Russia, North Korea, Iran, who increasingly are working together. They're North Korean troops fighting for Russia against Ukraine. They're all cooperating with one another.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
And they are in the kind of classic sense, revisionist powers. They do not support the status quo. They don't support International law as we know it, which is, you know, basically the edifice of kind of world order for the past 75 years. They're pushing against that. They ignore these things all the time. You see the Chinese ships that are suspected of cutting the undersea cables.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
They're pushing everywhere. The most obvious places are Ukraine, where, you know, Russia has been at war there for three years, and Taiwan, where, you know, the Chinese... refuse to recognize the sovereignty of Taiwan, which is an American ally, a vibrant democracy, and one of the world's most important economies.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
And so it's a really big question, you know, what do we need to kind of hold all that together? And is it just up to us? But I think the international order as we know it, you know, such as it is, is under more stress than it's been at any time, I think, in the last 75 years.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
The Navy has definitely had to lower the requirements. I think what the future soldier training course represents is kind of a – it's like a pre-boot camp preparation course. So, yeah, there's all these young people, 19, 20 years old, and they want to enlist. But then I went down to Fort Jackson and you kind of see it.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
And, you know, I started reporting the story thinking it was going to be mostly about the military. But for me, it ended up being mostly about America. You know, America has like what, like a 40% obesity rate. Well, you can see it there at Fort Jackson. And America's got a lot of failing schools. You can see that at Fort Jackson. And so Fort Jackson is sort of the place where the U.S.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
military comes face to face with America's youth, such as it is in 2025. For instance, yeah, they're overweight. And so the military's got pretty strict weight standards. They're not really onerous. You know, you don't have to be super ripped to be in the military. It helps. But they're strict about making them. So if you come in and you're, I think it's if you're less than 10% overweight,
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
You can get into this course, and they'll try to take the weight off of you. And so you have three months to basically lose the weight to get under the Army standard. And the same goes with the aptitude test. So, like, you go to these classes, and they're basically, you know, I hate to say it, but they're basically teaching the test.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
So, you know, you do your math problems and your reading comprehension over and over and over, and then you take the aptitude test. And if you pass, you can get in. But they're trying to hold the standards where they are. I think what's remarkable is that there are so many people out there that can't meet these minimum standards.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
Yeah, she was remarkable. Her name was Savannah Thorne. I think she's 20 years old. And she's from a little town in... in Georgia, and I met her in the weight loss camp. And she was great. She was smart. She was curious. She was super energetic. And she kind of told me her story. And I think she said she came from this pretty broken family. I think her father was in prison.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
Her mom had had a bunch of drug problems. She'd been raised by her grandparents. She went to a recruiting station at age 19, weighing 305 pounds. And she said at one point, I spent most of my childhood watching, playing Call of Duty and eating fast food. And the recruiter looked at her and said, thinking he'd never see her again, lose 100 pounds and I'll talk to you.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
So she went out and lost 100 pounds. And so she came back to the recruiting station a year later, weighing 200 pounds. And they took her into the course at Fort Jackson to get down to, I think she had to get down to like 105. 65 or something like 165 pounds or something like that. So they took the last 35 pounds off of her.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
And so when I saw her, she was like, she said, I have three more days and I got one more pound to lose. And if I don't lose that one more pound, I'm out. They're going to send me home, but I'm going to make it. And she did. She made it. And she's in boot camp right now.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
So far, I think the program's working. It's definitely working in terms of numbers. 25% of the Army's recruits go through either the weight loss clinic or the aptitude course. This year, you know, the year we're in right now, they're projecting it's going to be 30%. Do they keep the weight off? I think they have to.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
You know, unless the standards get relaxed, they have to pass a physical test and a weight test twice a year. Now, like the Navy, again, the Navy's really suffering. The Navy's kind of, they've kind of played around with that standard. As well, you know, they've kind of like recently they wiped the slate clean and said anybody who failed to make weight, you know, we're going to forget about that.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
And so if you typically if you fail to make weight two times in a row, you're out. And so at least on paper so far, it's working. Like the kids who have lost the weight and passed the tests, the aptitude tests, they're, you know, they're hanging in there.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
You know, it's like Trump throwing a hand grenade once again. But, no, look, he's right about certain things, right? We've tried it again and again and again. It hasn't worked. And so, you know, he's throwing the bomb. But, no, it's not serious. It's a cool headline. But, no, it was dead before it, you know, left the building.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
Well, the big way is, so you take this test. It's called like the Armed Forces, you know, aptitude test or something like that, qualifications test. And it's basically like, you know, kind of miniature, you know, SAT or whatever. And you take that test, and then they score you, you get a score, and then they rank you. And then they rank you in one of five categories, depending on...
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
how well you did. And so, you know, from one being the top to five where you can't get in, you know, like you're out, you know, these are people that scored really low. The category four is like the lowest category that you can score in and still get in. And so what the, there used to be a rule at the Pentagon that said no service can take more than 4% of its recruits in category four, no more.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
Well, they had to relax that rule in 2022 because they weren't getting enough recruits. And so I think last year, 20% of the Navy's recruits are Category 4. So they drop. And that means essentially that you're basically below average in your score. And it's not really an intelligence test. I mean, I think they kind of claim that it is, but it's more of like an achievement test.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
But you're basically under 50th percentile. So the Navy has definitely had to drop its standards to keep people coming in.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
Well, they used to be really strict about it. You know, you just couldn't have any kind of visible tattoo on your body, but also you As it was explained to me, there's a whole range of prohibited tattoos. So you can't have a gang tattoo. You can't have like a white supremacist tattoo. You have these, you're gone. And so they've had to modify those, not as regards—
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
gang tattoos or white supremacist tattoos, but you can have, and you know, just because so many people have tattoos now, but like you can have a, I think you're allowed to have like a small tattoo in your neck, like behind your ear. You can have one on your hand that's kind of visible. So to me, what was interesting about the tattoo question is that
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
Now Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth has a couple of tattoos, which I think he might have been – it's very hard to track this down, but he was in the Army and the Army Reserves and the National Guard for a long time. So it's not exactly clear when he got his tattoos, but he's got two tattoos that I think if you tried to get in now with those tattoos, they wouldn't let you in.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
Or if you got them when you're in, they'd throw you out because they're associated with – white supremacist groups. And so, for instance, when I think Hegseth was going to be present, his unit was going to help kind of keep order at President Biden's inauguration, one of his fellow soldiers complained about those tattoos and Hegseth was ordered to stay home.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
So he's like right on the edge on those, you know, our own secretary of defense.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
One is the Jerusalem cross and the other is this kind of saying, Deuce Vault, which the latter I think was popular in the – the saying was popular in the Crusades. But they're associated – they've been associated with kind of Christian nationalist and or white supremacist groups.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
Yeah, I think he said they're just Christian symbols. You know, they're harmless.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
Yeah, yeah. Well, let's see how far Exeth gets down that road. I think he'll probably fail. But yeah, like I talked in the story. She's quoted in the story. I talked to this woman. female F-18 pilot. And, you know, boy, she was impressive. You know, an F-18, they're based on an aircraft carrier, and she was like a top gun. And really impressive.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
You definitely want her with you if you're flying into battle. But I think the Look, I think the military wants everybody they can get. I think there's a debate about – and this is kind of – this is normal and natural. But it's like we'll take women if we don't have to relax our physical standards to do it.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
Like if you can do the push-ups and you can do the pull-ups and you're a female, we don't care. You can come into the combat unit. But if you can't, you can't. Most women can't. But I think, yeah, Hesketh has basically said, yeah, I want them all out. My guess is he's going to fly right into a storm if he tries to do that.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
Well, I mean, it's like try. Try what? So we're basically talking about ethnically cleansing Gaza of its people. OK, that's one thing. You know, they tried that in Bosnia. But the other thing is like just just look at the practicalities of it. He's like, well, the Egyptians, you know, they'll take in the Gazans. The Egyptians don't want the Gazans.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
There's a lot on offer. It's, you know, they'll... In most cases or in many cases, they'll pay your student loans off. If you join, they will send you to college if you want to go. They'll send you to med school. They'll send you to dental school. 20 years in the military and then you can retire. So imagine that if you're 39 years old or 38 years old, you can retire at half salary.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
You can qualify for subsidized mortgages. You can qualify for subsidized child care. It's a good system. I mean, it really is. I mean, you got to give up a lot of your freedom to join the military. But if you're willing to do that, they will definitely take care of you.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
I don't think they can. I mean, I don't think they can because so they're, you know, they're paying to pay a lot more than they used to. And they they're paying really big bonuses. I mean, I think I talked to and this is how hard it is for the military. So I had a long conversation with. a submarine commander, a nuclear submarine commander. He runs a nuclear reactor that's on board the submarine.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
And I can't remember if the missiles that were on that submarine were also nuclear, but he's running a nuclear reactor. He can go out in the private sector and make way more than he's making in the military. And I interviewed him. He was interesting because he decided to stay in. They gave him...
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
The Navy, to keep him, to reenlist for, you know, five or six years, they gave him, I think, a $200,000 or $250,000 signing bonus, like spread out over. It was like $50,000 a year for five years extra, like on top of his pay. So it's like, it sounds like, you know, it sounds like the NFL, but it's, if you get a signing bonus.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
So, and they're paying, you know, you can be 18 years old or 17 years old, sign up for the military, right? And you get $50,000 cash in hand. And if you're 17 years old, that's a lot of money. So they're laying out the money to get people to join. And that's why personnel costs are so expensive, because there's no draft. And so the military is in the private sector competing for talent.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
And so when the military is getting more complicated every day, I mentioned the example of nuclear reactors that you have to be able to run. And then there's cyber warfare, there's cyber defense, there's radar systems. Stuff is super complicated. And those are smart people and they have to be really smart. And so the military literally goes to places like MIT to recruit people.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
We tried to do that when the war started in October 2023. They don't want them. They closed the doors. Nobody wants them. You know, I think that President Trump got this idea from Jared Kushner, his son-in-law. Who kind of expanded on it, you know, some time ago and said, you know, it's great stretch of beachfront property there.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
And so they're competing with companies that can pay a ton of money. And so they try to offer, you know, like various, you know, we'll give you a bonus. Well, you know, you can retire in 20 years and all that. But I think it's fair to say the one thing they can offer that no one else can offer is adventure.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
And so, you know, like I was talking to the F-18 pilot and she was saying, yeah, I love my job. You know, I'm a carrier pilot. And I fly an F-18 and I can fly, you know, 1,500 miles an hour and can't get that anywhere else. You know, or the submarine commander I talked to, he said, look, I'm working with some of the smartest people in the world that are running this submarine force.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
And he's like, I'm not a cubicle guy. You know, I want... I want to be out there. And that's what the Army and the Navy and the Air Force can do for it.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
We'll ship the Palestinians out into the Negev, you know, which is the desert. And so, like, did anybody ask the Palestinians? No, it's just it's not serious. Who's going to do it? Who's going to pay for it? And in fact. As soon as he was done talking, the Saudis, who would ultimately end up financing, you know, any kind of reconstruction that there is, they just dismissed it out of hand.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
They said, you know, we reaffirm our support for a Palestinian state. You know, again, kind of cool to talk about, but I don't think it's a – it's not serious. You know, Bibi loved it, but it's not serious.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
You know, everybody loves the Mediterranean. But look, I mean, give Jared and give Trump credit the last time around. Jared came in, I think, not knowing very much about the Middle East, but he pulled off the Abraham Accords, which is, you know, the biggest peace deal in the Middle East since Camp David. You know, it's fresh thinking. It's like thinking outside the box.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
But there's thinking outside the box, and then there's like living in fantasy land. And I think this is the latter.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
Well, it did. I mean, yes, not not with the Saudis, but a number of other Middle Eastern countries, you know, step forward. Smaller ones. Yeah.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
Yeah. And the Saudis are kind of on deck. And that's sort of, you know, there's a kind of idea of a big of a big grand Middle Eastern peace deal. And that would involve something like a Palestinian state, the Abraham Accords, including Saudi Arabia.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
you know, look, there's a lot of destruction there right now, but it's also, it's an opportunity because there's so much destruction because these really evil actors like Hamas and Hezbollah are dead in the water. And Assad and Syria, they're gone. So maybe it's an opportunity to kind of reshape the Middle East.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
And I think it probably is, but it's like, again, I think there's plausible, there's bold, and then there's ridiculous. And I think what we heard yesterday was... You know, the latter.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
Yeah, I mean if like – if Jared Kushner and family are building hotels on the Riviera of Middle East, yeah, that's going to arouse resentment. Of course, it would arouse hatred. There's a lot of hatred already. There's tons of hatred. He did that press conference yesterday with Bibi Netanyahu who the United States has –
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
armed completely, you can agree with what the Israelis did in Gaza that it had to be done. Or you can conclude that Netanyahu was a war criminal. But the fact is, we armed him. And everybody knows that. And I think earlier this week, the United States just agreed, just announced the Trump administration, they're sending a billion dollars worth of arms to So it's like that's no mystery.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
Like everybody already knows that. And so whatever resentment there is, and I think there's quite a lot, all the Palestinians know where those guns came from. And they came from us.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
Well, it's really, really difficult. And look, this is what we're talking about right now is the world's most intractable problem. And Trump's right. You know, we tried and tried and tried and we've failed. Or the world, you know. So what does the future pretend? I think...
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
What's been happening, I think kind of out of view, is that as the Israelis have been prosecuting the war in Gaza, you know, after being attacked by Hamas, they've kind of pushed forward very rapidly with new settlements in the West Bank. And some of those settler groups have been attacking Hamas. Palestinians and Palestinian residents and civilians. And that's been proceeding very rapidly.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
And because the people around Bibi who basically keep him in power, it's a coalition government, that's what they want. And that's their price for keeping him in power, which is basically unfettered authority to do what they want to do in the West Bank. And that's been happening very rapidly. So it's a fair question in 2025 to
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
Is a Palestinian state even viable anymore or is it just kind of a pipe dream that like everybody just kind of pays homage to? But is it essentially a pipe dream? Like it's not going to happen anymore. And that is what has been happening on the West Bank, which is – They're trying to make it impossible by flooding the West Bank with more settlers.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
And so it just makes a settlement every day more difficult. It makes the formation of a Palestinian state, which, you know, has been – has been or had been American policy for many, many years, which is to support a homeland for the Palestinians and that ultimately that is the best – that gives the best chance to have a lasting peace in the region is to give them a homeland.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
So every day that becomes less and less possible under the current government of Netanyahu.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
Well, exactly. Exactly. And we don't know. Like, right. We don't know. Maybe this is all like a big distraction, you know, as Elon Musk dismantles the government or as, you know, Bibi prepares some big surprise for Iran. Like we maybe we'll find out. But my own sense, because we know we all know Trump. I mean, you know, he did this throughout his entire first term.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
Somebody asked him a question and then he gives an outrageous answer. And then, you know, the press corps dutifully loses its mind and and and kind of, you know, writes about it and writes about it and talks about it and talks about it. And then it goes away. And like we've seen we've seen this before.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
Yeah, let's see what happens over there. But CIA is a giant place. They have an enormous budget. Let's see what happens. And are there areas of the CIA that could probably be run more efficiently? Probably.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
Yeah, yeah. Well, I mean, let's see. Yeah, it's a radical proposal. Let's see how many people take it. But I think, yeah, I mean, when you get a press conference like we did yesterday, It is a great distraction from the other stuff that's going on of kind of Elon taking USAID, putting it in the wood chipper.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
Yeah, it's a great way to change the subject while this other stuff is going on that we ought to be talking about.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
I think we're kind of still in the same place, which is the Iranian project, this grand Iranian project, the Shiite crescent, which consisted of – even though Hamas is Sunni Muslim, but it consisted of Hamas – Hezbollah, Assad in Syria, it's gone. It's been destroyed.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
And again, that was a grand multi-billion dollar, incredibly ambitious project to basically take over these states in the Middle East with Iranian allies. It's dead. So it's an incredible opportunity, not just for the individual states, like whether that's Lebanon or Syria or Gaza or
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
But it's an opportunity to kind of stand back and say, like, is there a possibility here of a kind of grander, bigger, you know, all-in-one peace deal? And I think that's what, you know, there's been a lot of conversation about that. You know, it's the Middle East. It's really hard to pull anything off there.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
But it's like when you talk about bringing Saudi Arabia into the Abraham Accords and then... Yeah. And then whatever idea ultimately comes in place in Gaza and like, you know, there's a lot of discussion on Gaza, like what is to be done with what is now, you know, a vast stretch of ruin and misery. What can be done?
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
And so there's a lot there's a lot of I mean, Trump's plan is one of many or Trump's idea is is one of many. But it's got to be rebuilt. The people are going to need a place to live. There's no government in Gaza. The people that were running Gaza are dead for the most part. And so, yeah, like that's all got to be re-envisioned or re-imagined and then kind of implemented.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
And it's going to take a really long time. But it's an opportunity because the most malevolent actor in the Middle East for the past 30 years has been Iran. And Iran has – they're still standing there in Tehran. but they're on really weak legs.
Fresh Air
Trump's Plan For Gaza / The U.S. Military's Recruiting Crisis
Yes, they're still out there. There's a lot of bad guys out there. One of the first things that Trump did as president, he just did it last week, was order airstrikes against ISIS in Syria. There's tons of ISIS still out there. And everybody's been watching him really closely because there's effectively no government in Syria right now.