AMA | September 2024

723.467 - 748.784 Sean Carroll

Now, instead of that, say that someone tossed a coin out of your view and wrote down, recorded the outcomes, and then you revealed the outcomes one at a time, and you bet on that, right? In one case, the event hasn't happened yet, but you don't know, and you don't know what the outcome is going to be. In the other... case, the event has happened yet, but you don't know. To me, it's identical.