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Chapter 1: What is the significance of the simultaneous sip?
The dopamine, at the end of the day, the thing that makes everything better, it's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now. Go. Oh, deliciousness. Incredible. Speaking of coffee, do you think there's some new scientific studies about it being good for you? Let me check. Yes, there are. Turns out there's a new scientific study.
Chapter 2: How does morning coffee consumption affect health?
But it says that you get more health advantage if you drink your coffee in the morning versus sipping it all day. So if you're a morning drinker, like you are, because you just sipped with me, you're 16% less likely to have died compared to non-coffee drinkers. 31% less likely to have died from heart disease, according to Chronicle Live. So there's that.
And by the way, on top of that, at the CES show, there's a new coffee maker that sucks the water for the coffee is sucked out of the air in your house and put in your coffee. So you never have to fill up your little portable coffee maker. Well, not portable. You never have to fill up your coffee maker. It just grabs it out of the air.
Now, the question I have for you is, would you drink coffee that was made from the water that was in your house in the air. Because it feels like it would taste like your dog's hair and whatever was in your carpet. Now, I know it's perfectly clean because I'm sure they do it so there's no contamination. But the mental part, it's like, mm-hmm. I'm just imagining me have that, like, mm-hmm.
It tastes a little like a... However, I will say that I did recently buy one of those devices separately that can take water out of the air. So I'm a consumer of the taking water out of the air inside my house. It's a real thing, and I recommend you get one in case you lose your water but not your electricity. That's what it's for.
Well, according to SciPost, did you know that sexual humor can boost your intimacy? And it can enhance your sexual satisfaction. So according to the study in SciPost by Mainkara Yakubian, that the sexual humor, sort of joking around and keeping things light while you're being intimate, is really good for your intimacy. However, it was a little lacking in useful tips.
So I'd like to give you a useful tip in this domain. This comes from a professional humorist. It goes like this. Don't save your best jokes for just before she finishes. That's all I have to say. Don't ask me how I know that, but just don't save your best material for right before she finishes, because it's not going to help your intimacy at all.
Well, according to Rasmussen, people are a little skeptical in the country about the odds of... Congress cutting the U.S. budget. 44% consider it likely that they'll actually cut the size of government, the Republicans. But apparently that would leave more people who don't think it's likely. And let's see, 49% don't think it's likely at all. Here's what I think.
It seems very unlikely until Doge gets a real, you know, grasp on things. So I feel like it might be at least a year before we see a budget that looks like it might be going down or even could go down. I feel like Trump is going to increase the budget. I feel like he's going to say, you know, I need some money for Greenland and, you know, war on Panama or whatever it is.
I feel like he's going to cut taxes, which increases the deficit. So everything is pointing toward our fiscal situation getting a lot worse before it has a chance to get better at all. So that's probably what you should expect. I don't think Congress has the ability without really strong doge recommendations that everybody agrees with. And that's going to take a while.
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Chapter 3: What are the implications of the California fires?
The pattern's a little hard to avoid at this point. Anyway, if we can, I'm going to try to stay away from the conversation about the heavy part of that, just because it's hard to handle. Let's talk about Trump on Greenland and Panama and Canada. So the big question all the fake news are asking is, he says, is he going to use the military?
He's going to use the military in Greenland and Panama and Canada. So Trump said, according to the Daily Wire, Trump said in answer to that question, I'm not going to commit to not using the military to get Greenland or the Panama Canal. So Trump said he would not promise that he would not use the military for Greenland or the Panama Canal. Now,
Have I explained enough how Trump works so that you can understand that in context? The context is he's negotiating. If you're negotiating with Panama and you say, I take the option of using the military off the table, how's that negotiation going to go? Well, you already know. Panama's going to say, get lost, and that will be the end, right? But if he says, I'm keeping that option open,
And the larger context is that it has a geopolitical homeland defense element to it, and it does, because China is getting control of the canal, and that's unacceptable. As long as he keeps it as a military homeland defense issue, he is perfectly entitled, and it's the smart play, to say, no, I'm not taking that off the table.
Now, how many times have I had to explain to the country, Trump never takes options off the table? taking options off the table is maybe the biggest mistake you could make. I mean, there could be other ones, but that would be about the biggest mistake you could make, taking your own options off the table. No, keep that one on there.
Now, what are the odds that he would actually use military force to get Greenland? Well, let's discuss what that would mean. Would that really mean we'd go in and start shooting the Greenlandiers. I don't know what they're called. Greenlandians? Greenlanders? No. No, we're not going to go shoot anybody from Greenland.
Is it possible, potentially, that there would be a large military entity that simply lands and builds a base, whether they like it or not? Maybe. Because we might say, we don't want to own your country. We get it. but we have to protect it because it's relevant to our own defense. We're not doing it for you. We're not doing it to you. It's just for our own defense.
So that would be military, but it wouldn't be us threatening to shoot anybody in Greenland, which would be 100% unacceptable. But keeping it on the table is absolutely the right negotiating position. Now, you might say to me, but Scott... Are you saying that you would be in favor of the military going into Canada? Because he's also talked about Canada being 51st state.
When he was asked about using the military in Canada, he said, we don't need it because we only need financial. He called it pressure. but you could also call it a risk-reward. And the idea would be that he could make an economic argument that Canada would just be economically better off, so that's all he needs.
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Chapter 4: What does Trump's negotiating style reveal?
But I feel like there should be a crowd of 100,000 white people surrounding the jail and chanting for his freedom. Because if we let this one go, I don't know where it goes next. You got to stop this one hard. And I would make sure that the police officer who said this, if it can be demonstrated that it was an intentional lie, she needs to go to jail. Would you agree?
Like, I don't know what the exact crime would be in that case, but if she lied about training that, yeah, she needs to go to jail for a long time. Meanwhile, you heard about this before, that Biden is releasing several Yemeni, I guess, people who are accused of being terrorists or too close to terrorism, I guess, from Gitmo. Now, two of them were bin Laden's bodyguards.
Who in the world thinks that bin Laden's bodyguards can be reformed? Is that even a thing? And are we doing it just because we kind of want to do this slow drip of releasing people because ultimately we want to close Gitmo? We don't want it forever. And I get the whole part about closing it eventually. But none of this makes sense.
And there are so many things going on that the only way you could explain it is that there's a certain class of people, you know, whatever Soros wants and some other people, Biden. It looks like they're acting against the interests of the United States. And I don't understand it. Why can't we tell that they even have the right intention?
And this is very different from people who just have a different political opinion about how to get to the better place. That I fully understand. So, oh, you have a different opinion how to get to a place where we're all happier. Okay, maybe I'm wrong. But when you're releasing terrorists, why? Don't you think we need some kind of an explanation about that?
So I asked this question on X, and it got about 3 million responses, which I wasn't expecting. I said, is England intentionally becoming an Islamic country or did they really not understand how anything works? And I said, that's a serious question, which it is. It wasn't some other people, I think, said, are you trying to get engagement? No, this is how I use X. I have an actual real question.
It actually really, really matters to not only England, but to me. And I want to know. So I have developed a framework for understanding. why England apparently is doing something terribly bad for them, but acts like they're not. And also in the United States, Biden with his open borders, immigration stuff, it looked like he was doing something that was intentionally bad for the country.
And how do you understand that? So I have a framework for helping us understand the difference. between how the Republicans and how the Democrats are viewing immigration. And I think once you see the framework, everything will make sense. So first, I'm going to show you the Democrat framework. And of course, these are highly simplified, so it doesn't mean every Democrat, blah, blah, blah.
I don't have to give you all that, right? I'd love to get to the point where I don't have to do the And you realize that not 100% of everybody has the same opinion. I shouldn't have to say that. All right, so here's the poorly visible Democrat frame.
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Chapter 5: What are the risks of releasing Gitmo detainees?
It was good, good, good, good, good, good. So today it's still good now to back that point of view. I wasn't there. But don't you imagine, just commonsensically, that in our past, where we're looking at it from today's perspective, we say, well, it's good we did all that immigration. It was really good for the country.
But don't you think that the people who were in the country at the time were saying things like, look at all the Italians who are coming into the country. And, whoa, do we really want to bring in that many people from France? Don't you think? Don't you think the Germans and the Italians didn't like each other and the French didn't like the English?
So probably, probably the people who were already here said, this is a terrible idea. Stop bringing in people who don't look like me and don't act like me and come from another country. But it all worked out. So if you were the Democrat, you'd say, reasonably, this is a reasonable opinion. Throughout history, people said, don't do this. but every time they did it, it worked out. Is that correct?
Now, I'm not saying that you should agree with this frame. I'm saying, is this the Democrat frame? It always worked before, and everybody complained before, but they were always wrong, so let's do more of it. Simple. I think that would be the whole Democrat frame, and if this was all that was to it, I think I'd agree with it. If there was nothing else to the question...
That would be a good frame for understanding it. Now, here's the Republican frame. We'll talk about England in particular as my example. The Republicans say, wait a minute, you can't look at history because there are important differences. The first difference is the flow rate. It is ridiculous to say that immigration is good at any level.
Now, in the past, it probably was close to true that any level of immigration would be additive to our economy. Because again, we had unlimited need for manual labor and we had lots of space. So that's different. Today, we do not have lots of space, relatively, and we don't have unlimited need for manual labor. And when the robots come, it'll be even worse.
Because as long as they're unemployed Americans, we do not have unlimited labor needs. So that's different. And if you ignore the rate that there is some level that the country can't handle all at once, you're not really looking at this like a smart person. So when Democrats ignore the flow rate, they're not really being honest about the conversation, are they?
If they act like that, it doesn't matter. Now, The other thing that Republicans say is that the type of people you're bringing in matters. Now, here's where it gets dicey. Because as soon as you say the type matters, you're racist, right? Because those are rules. Those are rules. I don't make them up.
The Democrats will call you racist if you criticize a system, even though a system is not a person. Right. So Trump and a lot of Republicans would like to get the people who have the right skills so that we're not dealing with this, you know, unlimited manual labor thing. Rather, do they fit in the country with what we know about the country today? So this is brand new.
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Chapter 6: How does immigration relate to national identity?
But apparently South Korea's got some political problems at the moment and might not be functional. So it might be just the United States and Japan. which is more of a closer to parity and not really what you want if you're going into some potential conflict. Now, I hate to say that China might have a perfectly workable strategy, but it looks like they do.
I don't know if it'd be enough to get the Taiwan government or people to say, all right, all right, let's make a deal. I don't know, but you can see why they'd be doing it. I think Trump, when he's in office, probably would turn up the temperature on this until they back off. But I don't know. We'll see.
According to Gateway Pundit also, there's a leaked report that the presidential inauguration is seeking a lot of medical personnel. So the thinking is that maybe it's an unusual request for medical personnel for the inauguration. which would make you say, why do they think they need extra medical personnel? And I would say, obvious. They're worried about an attack.
It doesn't mean they know there's going to be an attack, but it's the obvious place that you would want to defend and the obvious place you'd want to have a lot of medical people. And beyond that, maybe they think there'd be some protests or something. I don't know. So it makes sense. I don't think I'd have to be specially worried about the increase in medical personnel.
That just seems like being smart. And James O'Keefe, I think, is the one who found out about that memo.
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All right, here's another thing that people keep telling me. I've been saying things like, I don't think the large language model AIs can improve much and they may be reaching their limit. And then the smart people say to me, Scott, You know, I hate to be the one to tell you, but you don't understand growth.
Of course, it's going to be the kind of thing where the growth is slow, slow, slow, slow, slow. But when it reaches this point, it's going to be like quickly do everything. And I don't understand the... the normal rate of improvement of technology, because when I say the current kind of AI I think can't do, it can never be accurate. That's my opinion, because it hallucinates.
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