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Morning Wire

Will Trudeau Resign? Canada’s Leadership in Jeopardy | 12.22.24

Sun, 22 Dec 2024

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Justin Trudeau’s Liberal Party teeters on collapse after Chrystia Freeland’s resignation which highlights growing discontent regarding a housing crisis and massive debt. Get the facts first on Morning Wire.

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Transcription

3.132 - 17.421 Georgia Howe

Last week, Canada's finance minister and one of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's closest allies resigned, sending shockwaves throughout Parliament. Krista Freeland's resignation caused a chain reaction of Parliament members demanding that the Prime Minister resign.

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17.942 - 35.977 Georgia Howe

In this episode, we speak with Heritage Foundation Vice President for National Security and Foreign Policy Victoria Coates about the uphill battle Trudeau faces and what comes next. I'm Georgia Howe with Daily Wire Editor-in-Chief John Bickley. It's December 22nd, and this is a Sunday edition of Morning Wire.

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76.673 - 96.236 Georgia Howe

Joining us now is Victoria Coates, vice president of national security and foreign policy at the Heritage Foundation. So, Victoria, quite a bit of chaos happening in Canada. First off, Krista Freeland, Canada's finance minister, resigned this past week. How significant is that and what does her departure suggest about the internal fractures within the Liberal Party?

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96.756 - 115.761 Victoria Coates

It's a really chaotic situation, and your listeners will be forgiven. There are so many. We have South Korea, we have Japan, we have Germany, we have France. All of these governments are sort of falling into chaos, largely because their populations feel that the governments are not responding to the issues that are important to them, and particularly in Canada.

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116.241 - 133.414 Victoria Coates

You know, Prime Minister Trudeau, who has been the card-carrying poster child for a woke liberal agenda, very extreme policies on immigration, on gender issues, all of these things has become deeply unpopular to the point of 23% popularity, which is pretty bad.

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133.574 - 149.306 Victoria Coates

And as you said, Krista Freeland, their finance minister and deputy prime minister, has resigned essentially based on the catastrophic economic situation. And I think you're seeing the Liberal Party really fall apart What is the catastrophic financial situation in Canada?

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149.706 - 174.721 Victoria Coates

Well, I think this has all come from very liberal economic policies of Prime Minister Trudeau, where the currency is depreciating dramatically. He is prioritizing DEI issues, for example, going very heavily into an extreme green agenda, all of which is disastrous for Canada's economy. Bear in mind, Canada is one of the world's great energy producers globally. quietly behind the scenes.

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174.781 - 183.946 Victoria Coates

Canadian conservatives have been saying, hey, why aren't we selling more oil to the United States? You know, why aren't we refining together? Why aren't we developing our natural resources?

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184.046 - 196.793 Victoria Coates

And I think the Canadian people realize there's a much more productive relationship, particularly with the United States, if we have new leadership in both countries that aren't as committed to an extreme green agenda.

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197.293 - 206.337 Georgia Howe

Now, a lot of people are pointing to Trump's return to power as one of the factors that's causing some of this turmoil in Canada, particularly relating to his tariff threats. Is there any truth to that?

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207.197 - 228.809 Victoria Coates

I think that's very real, and I'm calling it the Trump effect. It is something that seems to be sort of impacting almost the entire globe. But in this case, there has been an uneven playing field between Canada and the United States. And while USMCA is an improvement factor, on the old NAFTA deal, it has not completely leveled the field. And I think that's what President Trump was saying.

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229.189 - 248.267 Victoria Coates

And, you know, the impact of that on Canada's economy would be devastating. I think that's why you saw Prime Minister Trudeau hightail it down to Mar-a-Lago last week to try to talk President Trump out of that position. And you had the president offer to make Canada the 51st state and started to refer to him as Governor Trudeau.

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248.847 - 259.69 Victoria Coates

which was pretty hilarious, but very much, I think, an indicator that the United States is the big brother in this relationship. And, you know, under President Trump, we're not going to be taken advantage of anymore.

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260.31 - 273.813 Georgia Howe

Justin Trudeau's popularity, you mentioned, is at an all-time low. And you did mention that there's some economic factors there contributing. What other issues are leading to his unpopularity? Is it primarily just the depreciating dollar or what else is going on?

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274.335 - 291.233 Victoria Coates

I think economic is king in these situations, that when you have a suffering economy, you have inflation, you have increasing energy prices, you're going to just have overall unhappiness. And then the threat of increasing economic woes because of Trudeau's policies personalized this.

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291.933 - 311.031 Victoria Coates

And I think from what I've seen from a lot of Canadians online is they feel like he is very allied with a kind of global elitist class that consider themselves the betters of Canada and aren't paying attention to the issues that matter to Canadians. And I think that's very much the sentiment we got from the recent U.S. election situation.

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311.691 - 329.62 Victoria Coates

And so I think this is an opportunity because the Conservative Party is led by a politician named Pierre Poilevre, who is a much more staunch, rock-ribbed Conservative in the tradition of Stephen Harper and other great Canadian leaders who I think would be a super partner for President Trump.

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329.74 - 347.867 Victoria Coates

So the Canadian election isn't necessarily going to happen before next October, which is when they have to do it. But the situation is certainly very fluid. So, you know, Prime Minister could resign at any time, call for a snap election. So that could happen sooner rather than later. Now, what motivation would Trudeau have to actually resign?

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348.328 - 364.414 Victoria Coates

I think if he feels like the situation is untenable, that he is facing so much nonconfidence, he can't get anything done. If he has additional resignations in his government and he can't find people to replace them, you know, he may realize that the writing is on the wall. He might also hope for a Hail Mary resignation.

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364.674 - 382.786 Victoria Coates

that maybe the people who have been voting for him for lo these many years might come out again and give him another term. We've seen that attempted before. It rarely works, but doesn't stop people from trying. So all of those factors could contribute to a resignation. But as I said, I think it's more likely he kind of tries to limp along as long as he can.

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383.186 - 394.334 Georgia Howe

Now, we recently saw Trudeau visit Mar-a-Lago and be somewhat deferential to Trump. Is that a good strategy for him with regards to his relationship with the U.S., or is that just going to weaken him further?

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394.894 - 411.032 Victoria Coates

No, I think it's maybe his only strategy. You know, he realizes Trump is coming back. He realizes that, you know, Trump has a lot of problems with what they've been doing economically. And I think this was kind of his attempt to mend bridges. I think, unfortunately, that's simply not going to work. I don't think he...

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411.813 - 428.559 Victoria Coates

is capable of implementing the kind of sort of sweeping conservative reforms that would be required to evade those Trump tariffs and return, as I said, to a level playing field. So I unfortunately don't think that was much more than kind of an exercise in ritual self-humiliation.

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429.239 - 436.842 Georgia Howe

Now, opposition leader Pierre Palliev is gaining momentum all while Trudeau craters. What do you think his chances are in the event of a vote?

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437.347 - 458.935 Victoria Coates

Oh, I think if a vote was called, the conservative party would win handily. He's about 20 points up on Trudeau. So that that points to a pretty sweeping victory. Polievra is a very compelling politician, growing in popularity, sort of seems like the next new thing. Trudeau is increasingly yesterday's news. So I'm pretty optimistic about their chances if a vote is called.

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459.875 - 470.565 Georgia Howe

Now, the housing shortage in Canada was voted the most consequential story of 2024 by Canadian press outlets. How big is the crisis there in Canada and how is it shaping the discontent?

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471.186 - 498.293 Victoria Coates

Well, I mean, I think it's for many of the same reasons. The policies that Trudeau has espoused are these what you might call anti-human and anti-growth policies. Thank you so much for having me. tanked his popularity.

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498.573 - 519.607 Victoria Coates

And again, I think this is the same lesson we had from November 5th here in the United States, that the insistence on climate change as the most existential threat to the United States or to Canada just simply isn't resonating with voters. They don't want to live this way. They want a plentiful, affordable energy. They want readily available, affordable housing.

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519.627 - 526.532 Victoria Coates

I mean, these are pretty basic needs that this extreme agenda related to climate issues is making untenable.

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527.392 - 540.544 Georgia Howe

All right. Well, Victoria, thank you so much for coming on. Absolutely a pleasure. Thank you, Georgia. That was Victoria Coates, Vice President of National Security and Foreign Policy at the Heritage Foundation. And this has been a Sunday edition of Morning Wire.

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