Massive jobs revision, Kamala's wealth tax, polls vs prediction markets, end of race-based admissions

2665.373 - 2684.093 Freeberg

I think his simulation model has probably a thousand or 10,000 simulations that come out of it. And those simulations, he says, look, there's a 29% chance of this happening, 70%. He's not trying to say, here's what's going to happen. He's trying to give everyone a point of view on the distribution of things happening in the future, just like weather forecasting is not perfectly predictable.