Simon Willison
👤 PersonAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
Yeah, I've never done predictions before. This is going to be interesting.
Yeah, I've never done predictions before. This is going to be interesting.
I listened to last year's. Oh, interesting. Just to get an idea of how it goes. And I was very pleased to see that the goal is not to be accurate with the prediction.
I listened to last year's. Oh, interesting. Just to get an idea of how it goes. And I was very pleased to see that the goal is not to be accurate with the prediction.
I'm going to push back at the one slightly, not on the Doomerism. I think the Doomerism's gone, but the AI skepticism, the argument that this whole thing is useless and it's all going to blow over, that's still very strong. Oh.
I'm going to push back at the one slightly, not on the Doomerism. I think the Doomerism's gone, but the AI skepticism, the argument that this whole thing is useless and it's all going to blow over, that's still very strong. Oh.
I think my absolute favorite thing for the last two weeks was when DeepSeek in China dropped the best available open weights model on Christmas Day without any documentation. And it turns out they'd spent $5.5 million training it, and that was it. It was such a great microphone drop moment for the year.
I think my absolute favorite thing for the last two weeks was when DeepSeek in China dropped the best available open weights model on Christmas Day without any documentation. And it turns out they'd spent $5.5 million training it, and that was it. It was such a great microphone drop moment for the year.
Absolutely. My original idea was going to go utopian and dystopian. And it turns out I'm just too optimistic. I had trouble coming up with dystopian things that sounded like they'd be more than just sort of blank sci-fi. But for the one year one, I've just got a really easy one. I think this whole idea of AI agents, I think is going to be a complete flop.
Absolutely. My original idea was going to go utopian and dystopian. And it turns out I'm just too optimistic. I had trouble coming up with dystopian things that sounded like they'd be more than just sort of blank sci-fi. But for the one year one, I've just got a really easy one. I think this whole idea of AI agents, I think is going to be a complete flop.
Lots of people will lose their shirts on it. I don't think agents are going to happen. Yes, again, they didn't happen last year. I don't think they're going to happen this year either.
Lots of people will lose their shirts on it. I don't think agents are going to happen. Yes, again, they didn't happen last year. I don't think they're going to happen this year either.