Eoghan McCabe
Appearances
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
Most VC money is going to support a lot of excitement around AI and actually not do better than the S&P 500. I think that building your own AI agent platforms is going to be as smart as in the previous generation, building your own SaaS workflow. A terrible fucking idea. I'm a big believer in individual liberty and peace. or in a time where both of those are being threatened.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
They'll learn new things over time. When I got into the technology industry, I was making crappy websites, writing HTML by hand. Now we have so many different ways to generate websites. You certainly have seen so much web designer work disrupted by Wix and Squarespace and Shopify and all of these tools and technologies and frameworks. But actually, these people were never put out of work.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
The demand, the greater demand that these people could not serve was catered to. And those people got more specialized. That's going to continue to be the case.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
There is no such thing. There's no such thing. Even Apple don't have it. Apple very famously championed their patented iPhone technologies. And yet Samsung came and actually beat them on many different criteria. Technology is a cat and mouse game. It's about who builds it first and brings it to market, helps customers understand and adopt it. Always been the case.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
And so talking about moats, it's kind of silly. Now that said, some of the greatest technology companies of our generation then go on to build networks and other things that do become defensible. whether it's Apple's iMessages or their ecosystem, whether it's Google's data, whether it's Facebook's network.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
At some point, you can build some degree of defensibility, but software companies and technology companies in particular, they don't tend to have any defensibility other than the fact that they can build better and faster than anyone else. And that's okay.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
It's one of them. Working your ass off, working very hard.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
I think it was really acute and fun branding for a thing that anyone who's built a company has deployed since the start of companies. There's nothing new about it. There's countless books about Steve Jobs and how he operated. Maybe it gives permission now to founders to trust their gut and instinct, which I think is a really, really good thing.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
But business is very much an art, particularly starting a business from scratch is a deeply creative endeavor. The worst type of art is art produced by committee. I would say it's just not art if you're trying to find the lowest common denominator and something that satisfies everyone.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
And so highly agentic individuals and acting on their own intuition, I think is how greatness has always been made.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
It's in the hundreds of millions. So we'd be one of the larger private software companies. Why don't you go public?
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
I mean, of course a VC would say go public. These VCs need liquidity. Founders who have a different mission and a longer time horizon and who actually need to operate the businesses, unlike Gurley, have different priorities. My goal is to build a giant, highly impactful, really fucking cool technology company.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
It means absolutely nothing to me whether or not my stock is traded on the public market or the private market.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
They're the things that the analyst. want. They're the things that the investors want. I want a shit ton of customers, a shit ton of revenue. I want a really impactful organization. I want to have a really, really big amount of influence on technology at large. I don't need all of the regulatory compliance to do any of that. All the regulatory compliance gets in the way of that.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
But the reason that people take public companies private during crazy moments like this post COVID, now post AI is is so that they can make really big swings and big bets without all of the rigmarole of being public. We nearly went public in 2022, and I'm so grateful that we did not. Talk to me about that. I didn't know that. Yeah, 2022. I think it was June 15. We had a stock ticker that I hated.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
Nothing cool was available. We had written our S1, and the markets collapsed. We were not the only ones. How did people respond?
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
Liquidity coming. The right investors want value long term. And they know that in these moments of great change that the best value will be created behind closed doors. All the big swings and changes I made at Intercom that has dramatically accelerated our revenue growth. I don't think I could have made that if I was a public company CEO.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
There will be IPOs, there will be liquidity, maybe on private markets. M&A will warm up again. There's a lot of money in PE. It'll have to unstick itself. But admittedly, we're currently in an awkward patch where a lot of people are asking themselves, does this VC model even make sense? I mean, Intercom is a 13-year-old company. When people were invested
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
Investing in Intercom, they thought maybe they'd get liquidity in, what, eight years? And we are by far not the only company of that tenure. So the game has changed. Do you think the VC model still works? The amount of capital at an early stage available today suggests to me that that's got to be a crappy end of the market for VCs. It's just a raw commodity now.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
Early stage VC, I don't know how you make a return there.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
We forced more and more customers to talk to sales. It certainly increased ACVs, but it actually cut out a phenomenal amount of growth in SMBs and small customers. And those small customers were actually the lifeblood for our sales customers. They just needed some time to grow. That was a really, really, really, really big mistake. Our total customer count started to shrink. That's one example.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
Others were pricing. We got greedy. We wanted people to sign big contracts up front rather than allow them to expand into them. So it was just going against all our intuition. Bad commercialization. That was the main thing. Do we want to talk about the internal changes at Intercom about restarting the startup and the culture? Yeah. Companies are this deeply interconnected system.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
You know, you can't change one thing without changing another. You can't pick and choose. It's not an a la carte menu. It's a deeply interconnected system. We needed to totally change our values, make clear that hard work and a focus on our mission was key, was crucial. I gave permission to people to act in quick and scrappy and messy ways. I rolled up my sleeves and got involved myself.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
I set this project called Project 52, where I gave us 52 weeks to reinvent the company. I spoke to the company every single week. I just created this very high degree of intensity.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
I rolled out these new performance management processes where people who didn't fit with the new values I wrote and the values were things like hard work and resilience and a focus on our mission were respectfully moved out.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
Is that true? Yeah. Is that true that no one's against hard work? I think so. Many, many employees are against truly hard work. Don't you think so? Have you not met lazy people? Why do you have your value?
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
There was kind of a meme that started 10 years ago where people would say work smart and not hard. Started to promote ideas like work-life balance. And I think that that's great. There's no objectively right or wrong way to live your life. But if you're trying to do something insanely difficult, it will just require a lot of energy and focus.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
There are people out there who think that there are smarter ways to work, that maybe four days a week is better than five, or maybe some version of work-life balance is more productive. I think that that's false. Really fucking hard work cannot be beat. Did people push back on that? Yeah. And on all the things, of course, they did. Yeah. But they were wrong for the company.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
And that's totally okay. I guess they push back on some of the tops down way of working, you know, I would dictate values, I would dictate policies, the way professional CEO runs an organization is by consensus. So imagine they want to feel out an opportunity to bring people back to the office. They'll go and they'll poll leaders and staff on their opinions.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
And if it's not popular, they won't do it. And so they're stuck in stasis and mediocrity. The way a highly agentic enabled founder who will not apologize does that is simply tell people, we're going to be two days in the office. This is for a good reason. If you're not into it, God bless. Certain people are allergic to that way of working. They want to be part of the communist consensus approach.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
And that's not where greatness comes from.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
We only mandate two days a week. I think on average, it's something like three. If I started all again, I would definitely do five days a week. I think just being a person is just far superior. So much more fun.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
Because it's important for humanity. I'm a big believer in individual liberty and peace or in a time where both of those are being threatened. Western establishments, Western governments are impinging upon a lot of individual liberties, whether it's freedom of speech, freedom to start and run certain types of businesses. They don't like crypto. They don't like AI.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
And they're starting a lot of wars between nuclear powers. And I think that that's just really
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
really really really really fucking dangerous that's the only reason i'm in any way involved i hate politics i tend to dislike politicians i have always been deeply apathetic about political games but this time is different why then be pro trump i'm naive i'm a naive brit but talking about his impact on democracy his ability to impact supreme court participation and attendance why be pro trump
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
Yeah, like I'm pro freedom. I will vote for and support and donate to the person who promotes the most freedom. I have no team, no tribe. At the moment, it's crystal clear that Trump and fans are the people who are promoting the most personal liberties and freedoms. They're not the ones who are wanting to shut down speech or to shut down crypto or to try and ban AI or
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
or do a range of other things that are just going to be straight up bad for society in the world. And they're the ones who want us out of these wars. Really obvious, patently clear the solution or the person that needs to get voted for. Very few people I talk to in technology who are not voting Trump at the moment. Very, very few. There are so
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
people who are either triggered by trump but most people have decided that that's the side that is going to support liberty and peace the most do they admit it publicly of course not why would they be so foolish it's totally okay i i'm not going to judge people for making decisions about what they want to involve themselves in i just think it's really important that people speak publicly if it's a thing that we're afraid to speak about then everything gets worse i think it's inappropriately
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
to hate on people and criticize them for choices they make, particularly when the choices are designed to protect humanity and peace in the world.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
It's an effective, practical solution. I introduced that years ago also, and we do not talk about politics in Intercom, and I never do that within the company either. For me, it's also important that Intercom never tells employees what to do in their personal lives. I'll never tell employees what they can or cannot say.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
And if any employee is ever attacked for their political positions online, especially and particularly if they're positions that I disagree with, it's important that I demonstrate these principles in those moments. I will defend them. And it's important, I think, that the CEO exercises and demonstrates their alignment with these policies. And so similarly, I'm going to be myself.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
I'm going to represent the things I believe in. Again, particularly when they're aligned with things that are designed to better humanity and peace in the world.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
No. I'm a really, really big believer in authenticity. Great leadership is all about being who you truly are. If you're completely open, honest and vulnerable, then people can... can opt in and out accordingly. Because of the values I instituted and the performance management processes I followed to curate a certain set of people in the company, we're now really resilient.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
Thank you for having me back.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
There was literally one person who left. And if you're not going to work with me because you're not willing to accept my individual beliefs and support my efforts to better humanity and find peace in the world, then we're not a good fit for each other. I've heard of no problems with customers. I've heard nothing from the board or investors.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
If you stay close to the moral high ground, you communicate the reasons you do what you do, and you stay strong, don't apologize or flinch when the tiny minority of people come after you, you'll find that the masses will be very supportive. And really, I've had no problems whatsoever by my openness.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
Maybe during the DEI days, I never really promoted DEI. I always thought it was a really bad idea to discriminate against people for their race or their gender or things like that. So I never was cool with DEI. But publicly, I didn't speak out about it. There was a
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
point in the bay area where minority candidates were thrown around like poker chips like it was really gross i would go into meetings with recruiters and they would say good news we've got a minority candidate and i'm like that is the fucking most disgusting thing you could say about that person you didn't care to mention what company they worked with what their achievements are just that they're black the most egregiously disgusting way to treat a person so that used to happen but that doesn't happen anymore here
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
So I think we've moved on a little bit from it. Thankfully, we're a lot more sober, but I think in conventional industries and maybe in conventional cultures, and I think London and New York are a little more like that. There might be a little bit of it still, but thankfully we're waking up. What have we not moved on from that is totally fucked?
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
I think it's totally fucked that we try and censor people. The institutions and the big tech companies are still censoring people. It's evil, really, really evil.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
Yeah, I think companies are very different from the wider world and the public forums. I think it's deeply evil to decide what can or cannot be spoken about. It's really dangerous. It's the hallmark of totalitarianism, and it has always signaled far worse things.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
Jokes are protected by freedom of speech. And if Elon repeatedly does that, his reputation should take a hit. No greater power should ever be trusted. And it's proven that they can't be trusted, for example, during the COVID times to decide what is or is not fake news or right or wrong or appropriate. That's very dangerous.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
And I know you're playing devil's advocate right now, but there's very, very few people that agree that that's a good idea.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
Because who gets to decide? During COVID, it turned out that these gene therapies were really bad for you and that these traditional treatments were really, really helpful. Don't slap your face like I shouldn't have said that because it's fucking true. Then I could just blast anything out as a fucking joke. Yeah. Yes, you can. And you should.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Why Most AI Investments Will Do Worse than the S&P 500 | Why Early Stage VC is F******* | The Danger of Kamala Harris and Why Trump and Vance are Best | Freedom of Speech, Censorship and Government Control with Eoghan McCabe @ Intercom
And that's the power and magic and beauty of freedom of speech. No one gets to decide what is or isn't appropriate or true. And people frequently make mistakes. And often it's worse than a mistake. It's very purposeful massaging of truth for various certain interests.
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
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Said with love. I appreciate that. I mean, everyone's fucked by AI in the fullness of time. I mean...
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The kind of hard and fast rule in the United States is you can't yell fire in a crowded theater. If your quote unquote joke causes egregious harm to someone, maybe your joke, I don't know, it doxes someone and it tells people go and attack a certain person at a certain address. You've passed the threshold there. That's no longer speech.
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That's kind of conspiracy to cause harm and inflict damage on a person. So I don't think you could say that that should be protected.
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Abso-fucking-lutely. Are you crazy? You think that a higher power should tell you, the sovereign individual, the beautiful human that is Harry, what opinions you can and cannot have. Governments become insanely and dangerously powerful when their citizens cannot say what they believe is true or not.
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Fuck. then you should be shamed. You should be criticized. People should stop following you. I think that that's really, really inappropriate. That's not a cool thing to do. But the powers that be cannot decide what's right or wrong and what's a joke. Because then they can just decide that various things that they don't like is a joke. Look, all freedom comes at danger.
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That's the intro, that's the segment. Unfortunately, I regret that already. Yeah, in the fullness of time, increasingly powerful and abstract AI will do away with all of the work we need to do today to deliver software experiences. That has always been the case with technology. There's no new technology that won't be obsolete in some period of time.
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The freedom to own a knife, the freedom to drive a car, the freedom to say what you want comes at risks. But we are born sovereign people. and free and for us to be able to live our own beautiful lives and create and love who we want, build companies we need and deserve full freedom. And it's never been government's job to take that from us. The government works for us. They are our employees.
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Their job is to protect us, not shut us down and shut down our freedom.
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I think that is part of a UK thing. I think when there's a monarch and I think when you live under generational experiences of being a serf and people of a kingdom, then you do tend to feel less freedom. The people who came to the new world in the United States, by definition, are people who decided that they didn't want that and they separated themselves from it.
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So Europeans, people in the UK and Ireland, they don't feel that same level of freedom.
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That's a problem. And that's because of the institutions, the culture, big tech. You're saying you're speaking to a problem that is happening today. And it would be made far worse if we let governments shut down things like jokes.
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No fucking clue. No clue.
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Vance did an outstanding job. I think he was like, he did a good job of being calm, collected, smart, empathetic, thoughtful, communicator.
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It's true. You know, when I left Intercom, I left chiefly because I was sick, also because revenue started to slow, also because I was attacked in the press, and I was spiritually crushed, physically crushed, psychologically crushed. That process... What did you tell yourself when you had all of that shit happening? Not good things. Versions of like, am I a fucking loser? Like I fucked up.
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It's crystal clear that Trump and fans are the people who are promoting the most personal liberties and freedoms. I think it's deeply evil to decide what can or cannot be spoken about. It's really dangerous. Governments become insanely and dangerously powerful when their citizens cannot say what they believe is true or not.
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And in doing so, when you go through a process like that, your ego is eviscerated. Your identity as whatever perfect little image that your ego wanted to create for yourself is by necessity burned. And so when you go through these processes, but then manage to survive it, what comes out the other side is a far more authentic person.
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All these ideas of perfection can't possibly be held to be true anymore because they've been proven otherwise. So when I came back to Intercom, yeah, I felt so much more myself.
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That's just helped me speak my mind, be authentic and real with people, create and curate the culture and environment that I believe will be successful and do so making no apologies and being okay with people being upset by it.
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And I wouldn't be working my ass off in Intercom if I thought that it was about to die and be crushed by AI in a year or two, so... I think we've got a decade, two decades.
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I have a lot to prove still. I'm still just a boy who was bullied in school and is trying to find love and validation. You know, tends to be the case for all founders. I've never met a founder that's really well balanced. You can't possibly imagine someone who is grounded and centered, part of a loving community, deeply at one with the universe, who then says,
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I think I'll start a technology company. That doesn't exactly happen. Most people that start companies, they have so much to prove, big chips in their shoulder. To get to your question, if there's anything I'm ashamed of, it's that. I'm still trying to prove myself. That's what tends to give us our edge and that's what creates artists.
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And I think the secret is not in fighting that, but learning to love that. And I've learned to love that.
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Yeah. Well, I'll start with the SF commentary and where you framed it. SF is just a really, really, really, really fucking great place to get work done. It can be incredibly boring. Everywhere shuts at 10 or 11. People go to bed on time. Really great place to be productive. Great place to balance your nervous system in these stressful endeavors, getting out to nature.
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It's not a place for sensuality and sexuality and excitement and connection. And so in part, I wanted to change that a little bit, but I wanted to do so under the guise of my mission to promote freedom and individual liberties and things like merit and capitalism and growth and humanity.
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These American and Western values are under threat, but they're actually supported by the vast majority of people. People are so afraid to speak publicly about their support for such things. They're afraid that they'll be looked at as being the bad ones, that there's something wrong with them, that they're not cool, that they're not sexy. I believed that was untrue.
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And so I felt like if I could get the masses wanting to be involved in a very fucking sexy, popular, fun thing, I could prove that these things were exactly those things. The San Francisco Freedom Club is designed to hold only epic parties four times a year for people who love freedom and all these other values. We got
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Well, I'm not just going to move on post that one, am I? Like, can you unpack that for me? Yeah, I mean, the United States and Russia have many thousands of nukes pointed at each other, ready to go. And the United States is fighting a proxy war with Russia. It's super easy for these things to tumble into nuclear war. And if nuclear war happens, 5 billion people on the planet die.
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read nuclear war scenario brand new book harrowing book do you think we'll see the middle east erupt into a no idea looks bad what book written before 1965 would you most recommend the only one that comes to mind is 1984 there's a theme in this whole conversation forgive me do you like freedom owned is that a thing for you Tell me, what blog post written post 2000 is your favorite?
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I listen to interviews by smart people. I just want to listen to conversations by as many smart people as possible. That's why I love podcasts. Who, when you see their name, are you like, ooh, I want to listen? It's great because we're talking about, you know, national security and whatnot. I think Eric Prince is fascinating. He's the former Blackwater guy, Eric Prince.
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That the LLMs are going to eat software. I don't think that's going to happen anytime soon. Who's your favorite VC? Apart from Harry Stebbing.
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If I was raising a Series A or B, I really like Ilya Fushman at Kleiner Perkins. I think he's just got good intuition and he's just chill. He's just a natural. I really love Mamoun, who he works with also. Me and Mamoun have history. He invested in our Series A. Maybe it'd be Ilya.
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You know, the reality is that adoption of new technology takes far longer than we always imagine. We were the first to come out with an AI agent that would do customer support for you, like actual conversations with customers and closing tickets. We now have, forgive the fucking pitch, we now have the highest performing AI customer service bot.
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And it's only because I have a firm and a hard, if not a cheesy answer. And that's by being truly yourself. I know very few leaders, even the most celebrated leaders today that are truly authentic. But the closer you can get to being yourself, the more powerful leader you'll be.
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I appreciate it too. Thank you for having me, Harry. Really appreciate it.
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You look at everything that's on the market, they can't resolve tickets at the rate we can. The average resolution rate of our bot is now approaching 50%. How is that, Owen?
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Yeah, it's all the existing data sources. With intercom, it's your historical conversations that your human reps are also having. But what's really interesting and what's key to understanding how AI is going to develop, and we can go back to your questions if I manage to remember, is that building domain-specific AI systems requires a phenomenal amount of work on top of these LLMs.
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Of course, yes, over a decade or two, the LLMs will get powerful enough that they will disrupt away all of these detailed intricacies that we've built. But Finn, our AI agent, for example, is the product of over 100 unique experiments to figure out how exactly to understand customer questions and resolve tickets. There's patented components to it.
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I think there are somewhere around seven different LLMs intricately connected together. There's homegrown AI, and just a lot of very detailed prompt engineering and massaging to make it highly effective at closing tickets. When we first released our AI agent, the average resolution rate was in the high 20s.
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So that's the rate at which it successfully closes tickets when it gets involved in the conversation. And now, like I said, it's approaching 50%. I think Zendesk is still high 20s. And so it just takes a long period of time and a lot of work to build all of the functionality on top of the LLMs to make them really, really great at these domain-specific things.
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That's why these AI application companies are going to win. That's why they're going to become so big, because I don't think, at least in the next five, 10 years, that any of the AI labs are going to build all the domain-specific stuff.
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Yeah, I think that's right in the fullness of time. And again, if you held on to your stock in fax companies, you'd be crushed. But for the first 10 years, you would have made a fucking fortune. So in technology, it's all about timing and it's all about waving success of growth cycles and riding the trends in that moment in time. And then you must reinvent yourself and kill yourself.
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You asked an interesting question at the start. We've already forgotten what it is. Well, I asked the question, which is like, why are you not fucked by AI? And that's the answer. It's because sure, AGI crushes all of software in the fullness of time, but it takes a really long period of time to pick up these technologies.
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There's various aspects of it. The rate at which AI is going to change the whole world is a little overhyped. You know, the raw technologies will be built long before they have real impact in the world. That said, even the technology community at large has not yet made contact with technology. how valuable AI already is.
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There are 100, 200, maybe there are 500 companies globally that have built AI-first products that are blowing up. I saw some statistic that showed that the average time it took for a SaaS company to reach 30 million an hour or from a specific investor who was picking great SaaS companies was something like four or five years.
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And the average time for these AI companies to reach 30 million ARR was less than two years. AI application companies are currently blowing up in a way that people don't realize. They're currently delivering a lot of value.
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Of course, when anything new happens, any new trend, there's going to be so much noise. And it's your job to be one of the few investors who can spot the signal and the noise and beat the market. Most VC money is going to support a lot of excitement around AI and actually not do better than the S&P 500.
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Yeah. Now, they were the very early days. And still, this has to be the very early days of AI. And there will be a lot of AI companies that totally flame out. I stand by the assertion that there are AI companies delivering really tangible value. And the things you pointed to are exactly right. Usage and retention is how you spot the difference.
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So there is definitely a lot of revenue that's driven by just excitement, people kicking tires. But there are AI businesses out there where they retain customers. Those customers have totally changed the way they've worked. They're expanding on the product. They're not going anywhere. They've forever changed.
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Well, I have no choice but to say that that's a terrible fucking idea. And just like Intercom is eventually fucked by AGI, we'd also be fucked by companies building their own AI systems. The reality is, hand on heart, independent of my association with Intercom, I
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I think that building your own AI agent platforms is going to be as smart as in the previous generation, building your own SaaS workflow tools. These things are super deep. Like I said, with Finn, our AI agent, it's the product of over 100 different experiments, many patented parts. We've got 30 ML engineers and counting, 100 other engineers working on all the application components.
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You're just not going to build a highly performant, rich AI agent on the side. not going to be done. And I think any attempt to do so may yield some short-term excitement, but even Klarna long-term, I'm pretty sure it will move on to a professional purpose-built system.
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technology is deflationary technology gets cheaper and cheaper and cheaper over time look at these statistics where they show the real prices of various products and goods and even as currency inflates the price of say tvs flat screen tvs goes down and so these ai agents will be way cheaper than humans while they're also better that said
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What you're going to see people do is augment their savings they make in their budgets or use the savings they make in their human budgets to spend on as much AI as they can until they're now totally over-serving their customer. I think people are going to start to find that if...
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If, for example, in our e-commerce story, these companies can generate substantially better sales through providing these epic AI assistants, they'll happily spend more money for them. But when those themselves become commodities, then it'll get cheaper over time too.
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Valuable businesses have got smaller with technology. The size of Google or Facebook, when they were worth $100 billion in employee size, was substantially smaller than General Electric or Ford. The long arc of technology and automation requires less humans. So it'll perpetuate that arc. You're not going to see mass layoffs.
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At Intercom, for example, we've been using this AI agent, Finn, for nearly two years. And we've not let anyone go, but we've stopped growing the size of our support team. I think any future growth is going to be catered to by the AI agents. The AI agents will first do a lot of low-level and simpler work. And the humans will do the higher level work.
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Now, when we hire for customer service, we're hiring a more talented, experienced person who can do the creative things that the AI agents can't. Eventually, as these teams get smaller and through attrition, the AI will be doing more and more of them. And there just will be less humans in the mix.
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There must be some loss.
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certain use cases where the distribution of the types of questions is really tight rather than this big long normal distribution of so many different types of questions we'll be able to create these tight custom experiences if you're a clarinet for example you might only get three questions that cover 80 percent three types of questions that cover 80 percent of your inbound
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And therefore, you can actually create AI or AI-ish experiences to do big swaths of your customer service. Most businesses are not like that.
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Again, in the fullness of time, if they manage to become ever closer to something we call AGI, they will. Storytellers and visionaries are very different from builders and business people. These are just different types of disciplines and different individuals.
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And so the people that tell these big visionary stories about how LLM companies or AGI is going to crush all of software, they're not actual business people. They're not actual builders. And they don't realize that businesses, consumers have real practical problems that need solving. And it takes them a really, really long time to adopt these technologies.
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I think we're going to see a giant rise of robotics in many different areas. A lot of blue-collar work will probably be done by robotics. The one thing that's important to say while I'm celebrating this human work being done is that technology has always put humans out of work when the work has been dangerous shit and demeaning.
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Whether it's individuals on factory floors where they lose limbs, humans dying in mines, So much of these types of work that humans fucking hated, that actually killed them, has been replaced by technology. And all the while, the population of the world has increased, GDP has increased, longevity has increased. We have no reason to believe that we're not still on that same trajectory.